2266 State Route 7 · Windsor, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.8/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming home situated on a spacious and quiet lot, located close to your needed amenities. Home offers a nice open floor plan allowing lots of natural light to flow throughout, dont miss it!
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Built 1962
- Listed 94 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $629 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $50k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#513 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Harpursville Central School District (rural): math 43% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #518 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
- Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.09%
- DSCR
- 3.18
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $84,690
- List price
- $54,900
- Delta
- -35.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
7.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.97×
- Total profit
- $61,082
- Equity at exit
- $39,999
- IRR
- 55.4%
- Equity multiple
- 10.59×
- Total profit
- $147,492
- Equity at exit
- $77,821
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13787
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,276 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $824/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $629
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $54,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $54,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $54,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $54,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $54,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $54,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $54,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $54,900 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Charming home situated on a spacious and quiet lot, located close to your needed amenities. Home offers a nice open floor plan allowing lots of natural light to flow throughout, dont miss it!
-
2026-04-15price $69,900 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Charming home situated on a spacious and quiet lot, located close to your needed amenities. Home offers a nice open floor plan allowing lots of natural light to flow throughout, dont miss it!
-
2026-03-16$74,900 Active 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Charming home situated on a spacious and quiet lot, located close to your needed amenities. Home offers a nice open floor plan allowing lots of natural light to flow throughout, dont miss it!
-
2010-07-23soldstatus $55,000
-
2006-02-15soldstatus $45,000
-
2006-02-10soldstatus $45,000 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Cute and cozy ranch home, some hardwood floors, new berber carpet in living room. Great starter home for a small family or perfect for a single or retired couple. Convenient location. Call today.
-
2005-07-05$49,900 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Cute and cozy ranch home, some hardwood floors, new berber carpet in living room. Great starter home for a small family or perfect for a single or retired couple. Convenient location. Call today.
-
2005-06-23historical
-
2005-04-14$57,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,316
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$824
- − Insurance
- −$274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,225
- − Management
- −$1,225
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable income
- $7,095
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,703
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,844/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harpursville Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3613710
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,233
- Composite
- 34.36/100
- National rank
- #5222
- State rank
- #518 of 590 in NY
Livability — Windsor
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #513
- US rank
- #9132
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,120
Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,989 people
- By 2030
- 183,066 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 172,228 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 163,161 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 153,641 · -18.3%
- By 2100
- 140,851 · -25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Italian 4% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Broome
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.54%
- Current HPI
- 304.4145
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-3.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $54,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $69,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-03-16 Listed $74,900 UNYREIS
- 2010-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2006-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2006-02-10 Sold (MLS) $45,000 UNYREIS
- 2005-07-05 Listed $49,900 UNYREIS
- 2005-06-23 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2005-04-14 Listed $57,000 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,838 · +42.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…