70 Lawrence Ct Unit B · Valhalla, NY 10603

$295,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 950 sqft · Condo · 37 Days on market

Built 1952

---

Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.2/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.4/10.0
• Schools +6.2/10.0
• 1% rule +5.4/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

WELCOME HOME to this Immaculate & Spacious 2 Bedroom in Highly-Sought-After Edgebrook Cooperative! Comfort & Convenience is offered in this First Level Apartment on Quiet Cul-De-Sac in Park-Like setting w/ Benches & Gardens! Inviting Entry Foyer leads to a Kitchen with Breakfast Nook Relax or Entertain in the Grand Livingroom including Dining Area & Over-sized Picture Window with Scenic Views. 2 Generous-Size Bedrooms with Plenty of Closets + Modern Bathroom. Move Right into this Freshly Painted Home w/ Beautifully Redone Oak Floors & Washer Hook-up in Kitchen. Edgebrook offers Playground, Bike rooms / Storage units & Emergency Generators for your comf

Key facts

• Parking
• Built 1952
• Listed 37 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $295k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $295k).
• Recommended offer: $286k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.8% in Valhalla — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#795 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, commute A; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
• Valhalla Union Free School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #119 of 590 in NY (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Virginia Road Elementary School (317 students, 16% FRL); Valhalla Middle School (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B+, #136 of 729 statewide, top 20%, 301 students, 24% FRL); Valhalla High School (math 98% / reading 70%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 429 students, 25% FRL).
• Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $286,150 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.04% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.82%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.44%
• DSCR: 1.24
• GRM: 8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -9.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.66×
• Total profit: $-28,106
• Equity at exit: $43,985

10-year hold

• IRR: 0.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.01×
• Total profit: $1,129
• Equity at exit: $25,506

Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 10603

• Home prices YoY: -24.2%
• Active inventory: 111
• Price-to-rent: 8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,054 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,547
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$369 /mo · $4,425/yr
• Insurance: −$123
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$641
• Net cashflow: $308

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,665

Max offer price $295,000

Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $73,750
• Closing costs: $8,850
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
23 Custis Ave Unit 2nd floor White Plains, NY	3.0	1.0	1100	$3,500	$3.18	44d	1	0.45mi
4 Wyndover Woods Ln Unit 12 White Plains, NY	2.0	1.0	925	$2,500	$2.70	44d	1	0.65mi
13 Summitt Pl Valhalla, NY	1.0	1.0	566	$2,500	$4.42	15d	1	0.76mi
13 Granada Cres #1 White Plains, NY	2.0	2.0	1100	$3,500	$3.18	24d	1	0.95mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-02-16
   status Pending
2. 2026-01-05
   listed $295,000 Active
3. 2026-01-02
   historical $295,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $36,654
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,525
• − Property taxes: −$4,425
• − Insurance: −$2,272
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,932
• − Management: −$2,932
• − Depreciation: −$8,582
• Taxable loss: −$1,015
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$244
• After-tax cash flow: $3,938/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Valhalla Union Free School District
• NCES district ID: 3629400
• Math proficiency: 68% ▲ 3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 66% ▲ 7.00%
• Median HH income: $106,068
• Composite: 62.26/100
• National rank: #699
• State rank: #119 of 590 in NY

Livability — Valhalla

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #795
• US rank: #15361

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 7,180
• Population (ZIP): 19,201

Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,028,035 people
• By 2030: 1,051,636 · +2.3%
• By 2040: 1,098,520 · +6.9%
• By 2050: 1,136,044 · +10.5%
• By 2075: 1,196,925 · +16.4%
• By 2100: 1,175,147 · +14.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 35% White 34% Black 21% Two or more races 13% Asian 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 3%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 33% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 55% English-only · Spanish 31% Other Indo-European 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Westchester

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -101.72%
• Current HPI: 317.8177
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-16 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-05 Listed $295,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-02 Coming Soon $295,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid