116 Hobbie Dr · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LARGE HOUSE FOR THE AREA. SLAB. BRICK AND WOOD SIDING. LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, KITCHEN, DEN. DRIVEWAY. PARTIAL FENCE. AS IS - WHERE IS CONDITION, WITH NO WARRANTIES OR CONTINGENCIES. EARNEST MONEY IS 2% OF CONTRACTED PRICE OR 1000, WHICHEVER IS GREATER. CALL AGENT FOR ADDENDUM. CONDITION AND TYPE OF SYSTEMS UNKNOWN.
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1950
- Listed 37 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Utilities: Unknown (per listing)
- Home design: Single-story; Brick and wood siding construction; Slab foundation
- Construction: Built (year per public records); Brick and wood siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; City lot
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Carpet and wood flooring; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $788 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities D-.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Davis Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #601 of 627 statewide, top 98%, 509 students, 97% FRL, charter); Bellingrath Middle School (math 0% / reading 12%, grade F, #252 of 257 statewide, top 98%, 607 students, 96% FRL, charter); Lanier Senior High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #265 of 305 statewide, top 89%, 798 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 70% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Montgomery County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $39k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 75.02%
- DSCR
- 4.34
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $126,537
- List price
- $45,000
- Delta
- -64.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Arlington Rd | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 2,231 (-5%) | 0mo | $57,500 | $26 | 70 |
| 116 Stuart St | 0.11mi | 3/3.0 | 2,486 (+6%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $50 | 68 |
| 3524 S Perry St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 2,314 (-1%) | 7mo | $79,900 | $35 | 61 |
| 3374 Gilmer Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,348 (+0%) | 5mo | $56,000 | $24 | 60 |
| 3126 Gilmer Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 2,130 (-9%) | 7mo | $39,900 | $19 | 52 |
| 27 W Edgemont Ave | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,065 (-12%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $75 | 49 |
| 3396 Gilmer Ave | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,249 (-4%) | 13mo | $161,000 | $72 | 49 |
| 3638 Whiting Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 2,388 (+2%) | 20mo | $22,000 | $9 | 48 |
| 338 N Anton Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 2,657 (+13%) | 20mo | $125,000 | $47 | 44 |
| 3455 S Perry St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 2,026 (-14%) | 11mo | $127,000 | $63 | 41 |
| 3458 Gilmer Ave | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,400 (+2%) | 22mo | $101,000 | $42 | 36 |
| 3222 S Hull St | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,687 (+15%) | 21mo | $133,000 | $49 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 74.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.40×
- Total profit
- $42,898
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 78.6%
- Equity multiple
- 9.10×
- Total profit
- $102,044
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36105
- Home prices YoY
- -32.6%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,393 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $694/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $788
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $813 | -5% $800 | +0% $788 | +5% $775 | +10% $762 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $678 | -5% $733 | +0% $788 | +5% $843 | +10% $898 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $810 | -0.5pp $799 | base $788 | +0.5pp $776 | +1.0pp $764 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139 Mount Vernon Dr Unit A Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $1,000 | $0.59 | 46d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3616 Gaston Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1629 | $1,300 | $0.80 | 46d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3304 Gilmer Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2009 | $1,400 | $0.70 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3544 Southmont Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1774 | $1,300 | $0.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3235 Norman Bridge Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1873 | $900 | $0.48 | 46d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3386 Lexington Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1950 | $900 | $0.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 144 Clanton Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3178 | $1,595 | $0.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 334 Felder Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2223 | $2,395 | $1.08 | 46d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1314 S Court St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,495 | $0.91 | 16d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1259 S Lawrence St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1728 | $1,300 | $0.75 | 46d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 519 Thorn Pl Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $650 | $0.40 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3485 Wellington Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2437 | $1,395 | $0.57 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 22 W Cromwell St Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1645 | $1,350 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1020 S Lawrence St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1711 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2655 W Edgemont Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1743 | $875 | $0.50 | 46d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3543 Berkley Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2067 | $1,575 | $0.76 | 16d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3556 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2718 | $1,200 | $0.44 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1029 Magnolia Curv Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3134 | $2,695 | $0.86 | 16d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $45,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $45,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $45,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $45,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $45,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-04-02$45,000 Active 459-char remark
-
2021-02-25soldstatus $38,800
-
2019-06-11soldstatus $49,000
-
2012-03-23soldstatus $49,000
-
2010-04-21soldstatus $15,300 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (319 chars)
LARGE HOUSE FOR THE AREA. SLAB. BRICK AND WOOD SIDING. LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, KITCHEN, DEN. DRIVEWAY. PARTIAL FENCE. AS IS - WHERE IS CONDITION, WITH NO WARRANTIES OR CONTINGENCIES. EARNEST MONEY IS 2% OF CONTRACTED PRICE OR 1000, WHICHEVER IS GREATER. CALL AGENT FOR ADDENDUM. CONDITION AND TYPE OF SYSTEMS UNKNOWN.
-
2009-12-30$18,760 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (319 chars)
LARGE HOUSE FOR THE AREA. SLAB. BRICK AND WOOD SIDING. LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, KITCHEN, DEN. DRIVEWAY. PARTIAL FENCE. AS IS - WHERE IS CONDITION, WITH NO WARRANTIES OR CONTINGENCIES. EARNEST MONEY IS 2% OF CONTRACTED PRICE OR 1000, WHICHEVER IS GREATER. CALL AGENT FOR ADDENDUM. CONDITION AND TYPE OF SYSTEMS UNKNOWN.
-
2009-09-08$49,350
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $694 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $694 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,712
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$694
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,337
- − Management
- −$1,337
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $9,290
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,230
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,223/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,207
- Household income
- $41,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 679.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.17%
- Current HPI
- 64.4673
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-8.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Listed $45,000 MAAR
- 2021-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $38,800 Public Records
- 2019-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
- 2012-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
- 2010-04-21 Sold (MLS) $15,300 MAAR
- 2009-12-30 Listed $18,760 MAAR
- 2009-09-08 Listed $49,350 MAAR
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $694 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…