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116 Hobbie Dr
B- Composite 67.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$45,000

116 Hobbie Dr · Montgomery, AL 36105
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1950 $19/sqft · 64% below area ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LARGE HOUSE FOR THE AREA. SLAB. BRICK AND WOOD SIDING. LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, KITCHEN, DEN. DRIVEWAY. PARTIAL FENCE. AS IS - WHERE IS CONDITION, WITH NO WARRANTIES OR CONTINGENCIES. EARNEST MONEY IS 2% OF CONTRACTED PRICE OR 1000, WHICHEVER IS GREATER. CALL AGENT FOR ADDENDUM. CONDITION AND TYPE OF SYSTEMS UNKNOWN.

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 37 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Utilities: Unknown (per listing)
  • Home design: Single-story; Brick and wood siding construction; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Built (year per public records); Brick and wood siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; City lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Carpet and wood flooring; Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $788 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities D-.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Davis Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #601 of 627 statewide, top 98%, 509 students, 97% FRL, charter); Bellingrath Middle School (math 0% / reading 12%, grade F, #252 of 257 statewide, top 98%, 607 students, 96% FRL, charter); Lanier Senior High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #265 of 305 statewide, top 89%, 798 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 70% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Montgomery County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $39k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $43,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.09%
Cap rate
27.30%
Cash-on-cash
75.02%
DSCR
4.34
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$126,537
List price
$45,000
Delta
-64.44%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
25 Arlington Rd 0.45mi 3/2.0 2,231 (-5%) 0mo $57,500 $26 70
116 Stuart St 0.11mi 3/3.0 2,486 (+6%) 16mo $125,000 $50 68
3524 S Perry St 0.67mi 3/2.0 2,314 (-1%) 7mo $79,900 $35 61
3374 Gilmer Ave 0.61mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,348 (+0%) 5mo $56,000 $24 60
3126 Gilmer Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 2,130 (-9%) 7mo $39,900 $19 52
27 W Edgemont Ave 0.38mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,065 (-12%) 8mo $155,000 $75 49
3396 Gilmer Ave 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,249 (-4%) 13mo $161,000 $72 49
3638 Whiting Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 2,388 (+2%) 20mo $22,000 $9 48
338 N Anton Dr 0.32mi 3/2.5 2,657 (+13%) 20mo $125,000 $47 44
3455 S Perry St 0.58mi 3/2.0 2,026 (-14%) 11mo $127,000 $63 41
3458 Gilmer Ave 0.71mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,400 (+2%) 22mo $101,000 $42 36
3222 S Hull St 0.68mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,687 (+15%) 21mo $133,000 $49 19

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
74.9%
Equity multiple
4.40×
Total profit
$42,898
Equity at exit
$6,710
10-year hold
IRR
78.6%
Equity multiple
9.10×
Total profit
$102,044
Equity at exit
$3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36105

Home prices YoY
-32.6%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,393 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $694/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$788

Break-even live

Break-even rent $396
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 38%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $813 -5% $800 +0% $788 +5% $775 +10% $762
Rent -10% $678 -5% $733 +0% $788 +5% $843 +10% $898
Rate -1.0pp $810 -0.5pp $799 base $788 +0.5pp $776 +1.0pp $764

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
139 Mount Vernon Dr Unit A Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.5 1700 $1,000 $0.59 46d 1 0.54mi
3616 Gaston Ave Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1629 $1,300 $0.80 46d 1 0.54mi
3304 Gilmer Ave Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 2009 $1,400 $0.70 23d 1 0.58mi
3544 Southmont Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 1.5 1774 $1,300 $0.73 23d 1 0.74mi
3235 Norman Bridge Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1873 $900 $0.48 46d 1 0.86mi
3386 Lexington Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1950 $900 $0.46 23d 1 0.91mi
144 Clanton Ave Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 3178 $1,595 $0.50 23d 1 0.95mi
334 Felder Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 2223 $2,395 $1.08 46d 1 0.98mi
1314 S Court St Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.0 1650 $1,495 $0.91 16d 1 0.98mi
1259 S Lawrence St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1728 $1,300 $0.75 46d 1 1.02mi
519 Thorn Pl Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1632 $650 $0.40 23d 1 1.05mi
3485 Wellington Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 2437 $1,395 $0.57 23d 1 1.06mi
22 W Cromwell St Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1645 $1,350 $0.82 23d 1 1.13mi
1020 S Lawrence St Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1711 $2,000 $1.17 16d 1 1.19mi
2655 W Edgemont Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.0 1743 $875 $0.50 46d 1 1.20mi
3543 Berkley Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 2067 $1,575 $0.76 16d 1 1.23mi
3556 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 2718 $1,200 $0.44 23d 1 1.36mi
1029 Magnolia Curv Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.5 3134 $2,695 $0.86 16d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $45,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $45,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $45,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 16 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $45,000 Active 15 DOM
  17. 2026-04-02
    listed $45,000 Active 459-char remark
  18. 2021-02-25
    soldstatus $38,800
  19. 2019-06-11
    soldstatus $49,000
  20. 2012-03-23
    soldstatus $49,000
  21. 2010-04-21
    soldstatus $15,300 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    LARGE HOUSE FOR THE AREA. SLAB. BRICK AND WOOD SIDING. LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, KITCHEN, DEN. DRIVEWAY. PARTIAL FENCE. AS IS - WHERE IS CONDITION, WITH NO WARRANTIES OR CONTINGENCIES. EARNEST MONEY IS 2% OF CONTRACTED PRICE OR 1000, WHICHEVER IS GREATER. CALL AGENT FOR ADDENDUM. CONDITION AND TYPE OF SYSTEMS UNKNOWN.

  22. 2009-12-30
    listed $18,760 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    LARGE HOUSE FOR THE AREA. SLAB. BRICK AND WOOD SIDING. LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, KITCHEN, DEN. DRIVEWAY. PARTIAL FENCE. AS IS - WHERE IS CONDITION, WITH NO WARRANTIES OR CONTINGENCIES. EARNEST MONEY IS 2% OF CONTRACTED PRICE OR 1000, WHICHEVER IS GREATER. CALL AGENT FOR ADDENDUM. CONDITION AND TYPE OF SYSTEMS UNKNOWN.

  23. 2009-09-08
    listed $49,350

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$694 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$694 · $58/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,712
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$694
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,337
− Management
−$1,337
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$9,290
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,230
After-tax cash flow
$7,223/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
0102430
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,902
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9093
State rank
#106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

Score
65/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, AL
County
Montgomery County · 190,016 people
City population
175,913
Metro
Montgomery, AL
Population (ZIP)
9,207
Household income
$41,486
Rent vs Own
39.9% rent · 60.1% own
Severe rent burden
679.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
224,008 people
By 2030
221,460 · -1.1%
By 2040
214,179 · -4.4%
By 2050
204,912 · -8.5%
By 2075
177,821 · -20.6%
By 2100
145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 83% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.17%
Current HPI
64.4673
Rent YoY
Metro
Montgomery, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $45,000 MAAR
  • 2021-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $38,800 Public Records
  • 2019-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
  • 2012-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
  • 2010-04-21 Sold (MLS) $15,300 MAAR
  • 2009-12-30 Listed $18,760 MAAR
  • 2009-09-08 Listed $49,350 MAAR

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $694 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…