104 Rick Dr · Dunkirk, IN 47336

$63,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 327 Days on market

Built 1971 6,621 sqft lot $61/sqft · 30% below area Est $92k · 30% under

---

Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +6.8/10.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

*This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details.* This property features 3 beds and 1 bath. It also has plenty of parking and a laundry room. Currently vacant.

Key facts

• 6,621 sq ft lot
• Built 1971
• Listed 326 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $64k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $313 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($957 rent vs $64k).
• Recommended offer: $56k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#404 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, amenities F.
• Jay School Corporation (rural): math 38% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #175 of 301 in IN (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Jay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($442 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
• Jay County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 327 days — a 12% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $36k; list at $64k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Recommended offer $56,232 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 327 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.50% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.17%
• Cash-on-cash: 21.00%
• DSCR: 1.93
• GRM: 5.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $91,809
• List price: $63,900
• Delta: -30.40%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
324 W Jay St	0.54mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,038 (-0%)	2mo	$163,000	$157	68
156 E Grand St	0.23mi	2/1.0	980 (-6%)	14mo	$72,500	$74	68
235 Moore Ave	0.30mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,075 (+3%)	14mo	$163,000	$152	62
702 S Franklin St	0.48mi	2/2.0	1,010 (-3%)	11mo	$135,000	$134	59
607 Hart Dr	0.69mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,053 (+1%)	2mo	$145,000	$138	57
434 N Main St	0.55mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,146 (+10%)	3mo	$91,000	$79	50
141 Highland Ave	0.59mi	2/1.0	1,165 (+12%)	4mo	$104,000	$89	49
651 N Hickory St	0.71mi	2/1.0	966 (-7%)	11mo	$15,000	$16	46
210 W Center St	0.49mi	1/0.5 (-1)	913 (-12%)	7mo	$10,000	$11	44
218 Moore Ave	0.30mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,188 (+14%)	17mo	$135,000	$114	42
615 Hart Dr	0.75mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,165 (+12%)	0mo	$160,000	$137	36
709 N Main St	0.74mi	3/1.0 (+1)	918 (-12%)	7mo	$65,000	$71	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 28.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.67×
• Total profit: $29,850
• Equity at exit: $31,062

10-year hold

• IRR: 28.5%
• Equity multiple: 5.23×
• Total profit: $75,699
• Equity at exit: $49,767

Cash invested: $17,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Indiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 47336

• Home prices YoY: 1.6%
• Active inventory: 32
• Price-to-rent: 5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $957 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$335
• Tax from tax record: −$81 /mo · $970/yr
• Insurance: −$27
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$201
• Net cashflow: $313

Break-even live

Break-even rent $560

Max offer price $63,900

Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $15,975
• Closing costs: $1,917
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 30 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $63,900 Active 327 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   price $63,900 Active 326 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $68,900 Active 326 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $68,900 Active 325 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $68,900 Active 324 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $68,900 Active 322 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $68,900 Active 321 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $68,900 Active 318 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $68,900 Active 317 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $68,900 Active 316 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $68,900 Active 314 DOM
12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $68,900 Active 312 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $68,900 Active 311 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $68,900 Active 310 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,900 Active 309 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,900 Active 308 DOM
17. 2025-09-07
    price $68,900 216-char remark

    Show marketing remark (218 chars)

    * This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details. * This property features 3 beds and 1 bath. It also has plenty of parking and a laundry room. Currently vacant.

18. 2025-09-07
    price $68,900 218-char remark

    Show marketing remark (218 chars)

    * This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details. * This property features 3 beds and 1 bath. It also has plenty of parking and a laundry room. Currently vacant.

19. 2025-07-25
    listed $69,900 Active 216-char remark

    Show marketing remark (218 chars)

    * This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details. * This property features 3 beds and 1 bath. It also has plenty of parking and a laundry room. Currently vacant.

20. 2025-07-25
    listed $69,900 Active 218-char remark

    Show marketing remark (218 chars)

    * This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details. * This property features 3 beds and 1 bath. It also has plenty of parking and a laundry room. Currently vacant.

21. 2024-02-28
    soldstatus $35,714 Closed
22. 2024-02-28
    soldstatus $35,714 Closed
23. 2024-01-08
    status Pending
24. 2024-01-08
    status Pending
25. 2024-01-05
    status Active
26. 2024-01-05
    status Active
27. 2023-12-28
    status Pending
28. 2023-12-28
    status Pending
29. 2023-12-08
    listed $59,900 Active
30. 2023-12-08
    listed $59,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $970 · $81/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $970 · $81/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,480
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,579
• − Property taxes: −$970
• − Insurance: −$320
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$918
• − Management: −$918
• − Depreciation: −$1,859
• Taxable income: $2,915
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$700
• After-tax cash flow: $3,059/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Jay School Corporation
• NCES district ID: 1804980
• Math proficiency: 38% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 37% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $40,841
• Composite: 31.56/100
• National rank: #5954
• State rank: #175 of 301 in IN

Livability — Dunkirk

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #404
• US rank: #14764

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Dunkirk, IN
• Population (ZIP): 2,793

Population outlook (Jay County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 20,586 people
• By 2030: 20,155 · -2.1%
• By 2040: 19,274 · -6.4%
• By 2050: 18,203 · -11.6%
• By 2075: 15,062 · -26.8%
• By 2100: 10,857 · -47.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (95%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 4% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
• Foreign-born: 0%
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jay

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+55.2) · D 21.6% · R 76.7% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -47.3pp toward R · 2008: -7.8pp · 2024: -55.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+55.2 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+20.0 2008: R+7.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 3.64%
• Current HPI: 238.768
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.90%
• F500 in state: 18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$37B
▸Healthcare	1	$177B
▸Pharmaceuticals	1	$45B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$18B
▸Agriculture	1	$17B
▸Packaging	1	$12B

Price history

+15.0% since first listed

14 events — show timeline

• 2025-09-07 Price Changed $68,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-09-07 Price Changed $68,900 IRMLS
• 2025-07-25 Listed $69,900 IRMLS
• 2025-07-25 Listed $69,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-02-28 Sold (MLS) $35,714 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-02-28 Sold (MLS) $35,714 IRMLS
• 2024-01-08 Pending — IRMLS
• 2024-01-08 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-01-05 Relisted — IRMLS
• 2024-01-05 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-12-28 Pending — IRMLS
• 2023-12-28 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-12-08 Listed $59,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-12-08 Listed $59,900 IRMLS

Property tax history

-2.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $970 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.