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B- Composite 67.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

3137 S Washington Ave · Saginaw, MI 48601
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,147 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 382 Days on market
Built 1904 10,019 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Landlords/Investors, enjoy the guaranteed rental payments with this Section 8 rental property. This 4-bedroom property has undergone recent painting, updated bathroom, and other updates. Section 8 pays directly to the owner. The rent is $1550, the landlord receives Positive Cash Flow. Do Not Disturb tenants! Serious buyers only!

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1904

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story single-family residence; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.23 acres (59 x 170.07)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Full, unfinished basement; Six total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $527 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 8.3% in Saginaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 382 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $90k implies a 201% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 382 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
13.32%
Cash-on-cash
25.08%
DSCR
2.12
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$18,993
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
27.0%
Equity multiple
3.37×
Total profit
$59,849
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48601

Home prices YoY
-32.1%
Active inventory
199
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,465 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$121 /mo · $1,453/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$527

Break-even live

Break-even rent $798
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $90,000 Active 382 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 381 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 380 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 379 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 378 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $90,000 Active 376 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $90,000 Active 375 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Active 372 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 371 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Active 370 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $90,000 Active 367 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $90,000 Active 366 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $90,000 Active 365 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 364 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 363 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $90,000 Active 362 DOM
  17. 2025-06-02
    listed $90,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    Landlords/Investors, enjoy the guaranteed rental payments with this Section 8 rental property. This 4-bedroom property has undergone recent painting, updated bathroom, and other updates. Section 8 pays directly to the owner. The rent is $1550, the landlord receives Positive Cash Flow. Do Not Disturb tenants! Serious buyers only!

  18. 2025-06-02
    listed $90,000 Active 330-char remark
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    Landlords/Investors, enjoy the guaranteed rental payments with this Section 8 rental property. This 4-bedroom property has undergone recent painting, updated bathroom, and other updates. Section 8 pays directly to the owner. The rent is $1550, the landlord receives Positive Cash Flow. Do Not Disturb tenants! Serious buyers only!

  19. 2021-02-02
    soldstatus $29,900
  20. 2021-01-28
    soldstatus $29,900 Sold 289-char remark
    Show marketing remark (289 chars)

    TLC NEEDED! Spacious living room with fireplace and original hardwood floor/Formal dining room with custom built-in hutch/Updated kitchen with walls of cabinets and ceramic tile flooring/Over 2000sq. ft. of living space/15 Baths/2-Car detached garage/Deck/A BIT OF REPAIRS HERE AND THERE!

  21. 2021-01-28
    soldstatus $29,900 Closed
    Show marketing remark (289 chars)

    TLC NEEDED! Spacious living room with fireplace and original hardwood floor/Formal dining room with custom built-in hutch/Updated kitchen with walls of cabinets and ceramic tile flooring/Over 2000sq. ft. of living space/15 Baths/2-Car detached garage/Deck/A BIT OF REPAIRS HERE AND THERE!

  22. 2021-01-13
    status Pending 289-char remark
    Show marketing remark (289 chars)

    TLC NEEDED! Spacious living room with fireplace and original hardwood floor/Formal dining room with custom built-in hutch/Updated kitchen with walls of cabinets and ceramic tile flooring/Over 2000sq. ft. of living space/15 Baths/2-Car detached garage/Deck/A BIT OF REPAIRS HERE AND THERE!

  23. 2021-01-13
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (289 chars)

    TLC NEEDED! Spacious living room with fireplace and original hardwood floor/Formal dining room with custom built-in hutch/Updated kitchen with walls of cabinets and ceramic tile flooring/Over 2000sq. ft. of living space/15 Baths/2-Car detached garage/Deck/A BIT OF REPAIRS HERE AND THERE!

  24. 2021-01-05
    historical
  25. 2020-12-22
    listed $29,900 Active 289-char remark
    Show marketing remark (289 chars)

    TLC NEEDED! Spacious living room with fireplace and original hardwood floor/Formal dining room with custom built-in hutch/Updated kitchen with walls of cabinets and ceramic tile flooring/Over 2000sq. ft. of living space/15 Baths/2-Car detached garage/Deck/A BIT OF REPAIRS HERE AND THERE!

  26. 2020-12-22
    listed $29,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (289 chars)

    TLC NEEDED! Spacious living room with fireplace and original hardwood floor/Formal dining room with custom built-in hutch/Updated kitchen with walls of cabinets and ceramic tile flooring/Over 2000sq. ft. of living space/15 Baths/2-Car detached garage/Deck/A BIT OF REPAIRS HERE AND THERE!

  27. 2020-11-30
    status Pending
  28. 2020-11-30
    status Pending
  29. 2020-11-30
    historical
  30. 2020-11-12
    status Active
  31. 2020-11-12
    status Pending
  32. 2020-11-02
    status Active
  33. 2020-11-02
    status Active
  34. 2020-10-26
    historical Contingent - Continue To Show
  35. 2020-10-26
    historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl
  36. 2020-10-25
    status Pending
  37. 2020-10-25
    status Pending
  38. 2020-10-20
    listed $33,900 Active
  39. 2020-10-20
    listed $33,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,453 · $121/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,453 · $121/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,580
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,453
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,406
− Management
−$1,406
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$5,204
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,249
After-tax cash flow
$5,072/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saginaw School District
NCES district ID
2630390
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$28,940
Composite
19.6/100
National rank
#8755
State rank
#444 of 540 in MI

Livability — Saginaw

Score
63/100
State rank
#521
US rank
#15424

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saginaw, MI
City population
54,884
Population (ZIP)
32,069

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.46%
Current HPI
197.3359
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+165.5% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2025-06-02 Listed $90,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-02 Listed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records
  • 2021-01-28 Sold (MLS) $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-01-28 Sold (MLS) $29,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-01-13 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-01-13 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-01-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2020-12-22 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-12-22 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
  • 2020-11-30 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2020-11-30 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-11-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-11-12 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-11-12 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-11-02 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2020-11-02 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-10-26 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2020-10-26 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-10-25 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2020-10-25 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-10-20 Listed $33,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-10-20 Listed $33,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,453 · -16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…