810 13th St · Clarkfield, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 112 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; One-story home; Main entry on main level
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Lot approximately 0.16 acres (about 59 x 140)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 11 x 9)
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Bedroom sizes include approximately 14.5 x 9.5, 12 x 9, and 10.5 x 11
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heat; Window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: Basement: block foundation, unfinished; One level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($974 rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#497 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A-; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, health & safety D+.
- Yellow Medicine East (town): math 31% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #227 of 301 in MN (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Yellow Medicine County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Yellow Medicine County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.32%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.49×
- Total profit
- $59,327
- Equity at exit
- $76,575
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.91×
- Total profit
- $164,461
- Equity at exit
- $165,136
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56223
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $974 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,004/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $205
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-08status Active
-
2026-03-17historical Contingent - Third Party Approval
-
2026-02-12status Pending
-
2026-01-30historical Contingent - Inspection
-
2026-01-23$85,000 Active
-
2025-07-01historical
-
2025-02-28$95,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,004 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,004 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,688
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,004
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$935
- − Management
- −$935
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $1,155
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$277
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,178/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yellow Medicine East
- NCES district ID
- 2700099
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,457
- Composite
- 33.74/100
- National rank
- #5369
- State rank
- #227 of 301 in MN
Livability — Clarkfield
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #497
- US rank
- #11957
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clarkfield, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,403
Population outlook (Yellow Medicine County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,959 people
- By 2030
- 8,451 · -5.7%
- By 2040
- 7,514 · -16.1%
- By 2050
- 6,650 · -25.8%
- By 2075
- 5,306 · -40.8%
- By 2100
- 4,453 · -50.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 33% Lithuanian 4% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Yellow Medicine
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.6) · D 28.7% · R 69.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.9pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -40.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.6 2020: R+37.0 2016: R+35.4 2012: R+6.3 2008: D+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 106.79%
- Current HPI
- 318.75
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
-10.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-17 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-12 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-23 Listed $85,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-01 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-28 Listed $95,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,004 · +16.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…