101 Pine Forest Dr Unit 12C · Maumelle, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is an end unit and boast lots of natural sunlight with a partial wrap around porch on the second floor. Large living space with open kitchen and 2 large bedrooms and 2 baths. All appliances can convey.
Key facts
- Natural sunlight
- Open kitchen
- $10 HOA
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.0% in Maumelle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#8 in AR, #2,885 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Pulaski County Spec. School District (rural): math 27% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #150 of 238 in AR (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.08%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-9,548
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-6,160
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72113
- Home prices YoY
- -17.0%
- Rents YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 261
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,119 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $837/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$10
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $182
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 Pine Forest Cir Unit 03 Maumelle, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 976 | $950 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 12 Edgehill Cv Maumelle, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 875 | $995 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 100 Commercial Park Ct Maumelle, AR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 879 | $1,048 | $1.19 | 14d | 6 | 0.36mi |
| 58 Southland Ct Maumelle, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $950 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 88 Oak Forest Loop Maumelle, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,550 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 12 Southland Ct Maumelle, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 100 Edgewood Dr Maumelle, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1065 | $1,095 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 101 Tuscany Cir Maumelle, AR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $1,690 | $1.14 | 14d | 4 | 1.08mi |
| 100 Park Dr Maumelle, AR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 858 | $1,395 | $1.63 | 14d | 24 | 1.19mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $10 · $120/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-01-22soldstatus $100,000
-
2025-12-21status Under Contract
-
2025-11-13$110,000 New Listing
-
2022-09-23soldstatus $90,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $837 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $837 · $70/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,431
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$837
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,074
- − Management
- −$1,074
- − HOA
- −$120
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $413
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$99
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,082/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pulaski County Spec. School District
- NCES district ID
- 0511850
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,218
- Composite
- 25.67/100
- National rank
- #7394
- State rank
- #150 of 238 in AR
Livability — Maumelle
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #2885
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Maumelle, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 25,596
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,596
- Household income
- $79,248
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 746.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 27% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.01%
- Current HPI
- 195.9346
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.08%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+11.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2025-12-21 Pending — CARMLS
- 2025-11-13 Listed $110,000 CARMLS
- 2022-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $837 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…