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84023 Lingayan Ave
C Composite 59.36
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$280,000

84023 Lingayan Ave · Indio, CA 92201
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1945 6,970 sqft lot Est $316k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 6,970 sq ft lot
  • Built 1945
  • Listed 13 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Curbs, street lighting, and sidewalks in the neighborhood

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Single-family house; Single story; No accessory dwelling unit
  • Construction: Year built per assessor
  • Exterior features: No pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central furnace heating
  • Interior features: One-level home; Entry on main level; Has view
  • Laundry & utility: Exterior laundry area (outside)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $278k (0.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $278k (0.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.3% in Indio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#927 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 514 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,775/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 2036% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $59k; list at $280k implies a 375% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $277,508 (0.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
8.29%
Cash-on-cash
7.12%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$316,160
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
84042 Lingayan 0.03mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (+1%) 4mo $195,000 $186 85
47770 Van Buren St 0.06mi 2/1.0 1,172 (+13%) 8mo $181,000 $154 66
83651 Cardinal Ave 0.46mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,110 (+7%) 0mo $378,000 $341 60
84221 Lingayan Ave 0.18mi 2/1.0 962 (-8%) 20mo $280,000 $291 58
83552 Canary Ct 0.53mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,120 (+8%) 1mo $380,000 $339 55
83539 Canary Ct 0.53mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,120 (+8%) 7mo $260,000 $232 49
84359 Margarita Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,085 (+4%) 12mo $415,000 $382 45
49199 Sierra St 0.69mi 2/2.0 1,120 (+8%) 23mo $340,000 $304 36
84360 Rosal Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,148 (+10%) 23mo $410,000 $357 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-14,884
Equity at exit
$41,749
10-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$28,769
Equity at exit
$24,209

Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92201

Home prices YoY
-28.4%
Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
514
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,775 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax from tax record
$142 /mo · $1,707/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$583
Net cashflow
$465

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,186
Max offer price $280,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$70,000
Closing costs
$8,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
83459 Caribe Ave Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1346 $3,200 $2.38 24d 1 0.61mi
83459 Caribe Ave Indio, CA 3.0 2.0 1346 $3,000 $2.23 2d 1 0.61mi
83405 Date Ave Apt 8 Indio, CA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,699 $1.70 43d 1 0.99mi
48380 Garbo Dr Indio, CA 2.0 1.0 704 $1,850 $2.63 24d 1 1.20mi
49058 Wayne St Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1156 $4,000 $3.46 43d 1 1.29mi
49058 Wayne St Indio, CA 2.0 2.0 1156 $4,000 $3.46 5d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $280,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $280,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $280,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $280,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $280,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $280,000 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    listed $280,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,707 · $142/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,128 · $177/mo
Expected delta
+$421/yr (+$35/mo · 24.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥115°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,301
− Mortgage interest
−$15,684
− Property taxes
−$1,707
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,664
− Management
−$2,664
− Depreciation
−$8,145
Taxable income
$1,036
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$249
After-tax cash flow
$5,332/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Desert Sands Unified
NCES district ID
0611110
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$54,957
Composite
37.77/100
National rank
#4346
State rank
#199 of 517 in CA

Livability — Indio

Score
53/100
State rank
#927
US rank
#24244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
100,560
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
65,825
Household income
$66,758
Rent vs Own
42.3% rent · 57.7% own
Severe rent burden
2036.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 74% Two or more races 39% White 19% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 69%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
41% English-only · Spanish 55% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.46%
Current HPI
348.6605
Rent YoY
▲ 3.34%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+374.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $280,000 CRMLS
  • 2007-02-16 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2006-10-26 Listed $290,000 GPSMLS
  • 1996-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,707 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…