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10 Elm St
B Composite 73.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$127,990

10 Elm St · Porterdale, GA 30014
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,340 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 210 Days on market
Built 1906 $96/sqft · 32% below area Est $187k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located near the downtown district of this former mill village—listed on the National Register of Historic Places—this 1906 bungalow offers incredible potential. The home features a brand-new roof, original hardwood floors, tall ceilings, front and back porches, a carport, and an expandable attic. A small park sits just behind the property, adding to the charm of this unique setting. The home does need TLC, making it ideal for **cash buyers or investors** looking to restore and add value. Conventional financing may be possible, but this property is not eligible for FHA. Buyers considering conventional loans should speak directly with their lender to confirm program eligibility and requirements. This bungalow is in a prime location, within walking distance to local shopping, dining, entertainment, and the riverside park on the Yellow River. Join the many who are revitalizing these historic homes and investing in this quaint and growing community. This property is being offered as an investment opportunity.

Key facts

  • Tall ceilings
  • Carport
  • Expandable attic

Tags

EXPANDABLE ATTICORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSTALL CEILINGSFRONT AND BACK PORCHESCARPORTWALKING DISTANCE OF SHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $477 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 5.0% in Porterdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#447 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+, housing B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Newton County (suburban): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 174 in GA (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 486 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,480 units permitted in Newton County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $884 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Newton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 7% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $48k; list at $128k implies a 167% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $112,631 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.76%
Cash-on-cash
15.96%
DSCR
1.71
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$186,914
List price
$127,990
Delta
-54.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9 N Broad St 0.53mi 2/1.0 1,348 (+1%) 7mo $105,000 $78 68
7 Cotton Ave 0.45mi 2/2.5 1,506 (+12%) 1mo $215,000 $143 52
58 Poplar St 0.66mi 2/1.0 1,358 (+1%) 20mo $168,000 $124 50
29 Ivy St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,388 (+4%) 11mo $130,000 $94 48
595 Crowell Rd 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,162 (-13%) 10mo $184,900 $159 48
100 Wynfield Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,271 (-5%) 15mo $228,000 $179 43
45 Poplar St 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,454 (+8%) 13mo $82,500 $57 42
190 Wynfield Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,432 (+7%) 15mo $252,000 $176 35
18 Laurel St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,180 (-12%) 13mo $138,000 $117 31
285 Wynfield Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,250 (-7%) 21mo $256,000 $205 29
43 N Broad St 0.71mi 2/2.0 1,538 (+15%) 16mo $172,000 $112 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$5,472
Equity at exit
$19,084
10-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$27,664
Equity at exit
$11,066

Cash invested: $35,837 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30014

Home prices YoY
-19.2%
Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
486
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,712 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$671
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,814/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$359
Net cashflow
$477

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,108
Max offer price $127,990
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $549 -5% $513 +0% $477 +5% $440 +10% $404
Rent -10% $341 -5% $409 +0% $477 +5% $544 +10% $612
Rate -1.0pp $541 -0.5pp $509 base $477 +0.5pp $444 +1.0pp $410

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,998
Closing costs
$3,840
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
27 Elm St Covington, GA 3.0 2.0 1590 $1,800 $1.13 44d 1 0.08mi
15 Magan Ct Porterdale, GA 3.0 2.5 1656 $1,750 $1.06 44d 1 0.22mi
15 Magan Ct Porterdale, GA 3.0 2.0 1656 $1,725 $1.04 13d 1 0.22mi
14 Ivy St Unit A Porterdale, GA 1.0 1.0 880 $1,150 $1.31 6d 1 0.46mi
150 Wynfield Dr Covington, GA 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,798 $1.46 44d 1 0.63mi
10 Brandon Dr Covington, GA 3.0 2.0 1215 $1,950 $1.60 44d 1 0.87mi
65 Kenzi Way SW Covington, GA 3.0 2.0 1217 $1,000 $0.82 6d 1 0.97mi
150 Ram Dr Covington, GA 2.0 2.5 1022 $1,450 $1.42 23d 1 1.14mi
150 Ram Dr Covington, GA 2.0 2.5 1022 $1,600 $1.57 44d 1 1.14mi
150 Ram Dr Covington, GA 2.0 2.5 1022 $1,600 $1.57 25d 1 1.14mi
150 Ram Dr Covington, GA 2.0 2.5 1022 $1,600 $1.57 2d 33 1.14mi
105 River North Ct Covington, GA 3.0 3.0 1523 $2,195 $1.44 13d 1 1.39mi
70 Trelawney Dr Covington, GA 2.0 1.0 1750 $1,850 $1.06 19d 1 1.39mi
9220 Spillers Dr SW Covington, GA 3.0 2.0 1192 $1,455 $1.22 6d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $127,990 Active 210 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $127,990 Active 207 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $127,990 Active 206 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $127,990 Active 205 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $127,990 Active 204 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $127,990 Active 202 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $127,990 Active 201 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $127,990 Active 198 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $127,990 Active 197 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $127,990 Active 196 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $127,990 Active 193 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $127,990 Active 192 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $127,990 Active 191 DOM
  14. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 1041-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1041 chars)

    Located near the downtown district of this former mill village—listed on the National Register of Historic Places—this 1906 bungalow offers incredible potential. The home features a brand-new roof, original hardwood floors, tall ceilings, front and back porches, a carport, and an expandable attic. A small park sits just behind the property, adding to the charm of this unique setting. The home does need TLC, making it ideal for **cash buyers or investors** looking to restore and add value. Conventional financing may be possible, but this property is not eligible for FHA. Buyers considering conventional loans should speak directly with their lender to confirm program eligibility and requirements. This bungalow is in a prime location, within walking distance to local shopping, dining, entertainment, and the riverside park on the Yellow River. Join the many who are revitalizing these historic homes and investing in this quaint and growing community. This property is being offered as an investment opportunity.

  15. 2026-05-01
    status Under Contract 1029-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1029 chars)

    Located near the downtown district of this former mill village-listed on the National Register of Historic Places-this 1906 bungalow offers incredible potential. The home features a brand-new roof, original hardwood floors, tall ceilings, front and back porches, a carport, and an expandable attic. A small park sits just behind the property, adding to the charm of this unique setting. The home does need TLC, making it ideal for **cash buyers or investors** looking to restore and add value. Conventional financing may be possible, but this property is not eligible for FHA. Buyers considering conventional loans should speak directly with their lender to confirm program eligibility and requirements. This bungalow is in a prime location, within walking distance to local shopping, dining, entertainment, and the riverside park on the Yellow River. Join the many who are revitalizing these historic homes and investing in this quaint and growing community. This property is being offered as an investment opportunity.

  16. 2026-02-25
    price $85,000 1029-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1041 chars)

    Located near the downtown district of this former mill village—listed on the National Register of Historic Places—this 1906 bungalow offers incredible potential. The home features a brand-new roof, original hardwood floors, tall ceilings, front and back porches, a carport, and an expandable attic. A small park sits just behind the property, adding to the charm of this unique setting. The home does need TLC, making it ideal for **cash buyers or investors** looking to restore and add value. Conventional financing may be possible, but this property is not eligible for FHA. Buyers considering conventional loans should speak directly with their lender to confirm program eligibility and requirements. This bungalow is in a prime location, within walking distance to local shopping, dining, entertainment, and the riverside park on the Yellow River. Join the many who are revitalizing these historic homes and investing in this quaint and growing community. This property is being offered as an investment opportunity.

  17. 2026-02-25
    price $85,000 1041-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1041 chars)

    Located near the downtown district of this former mill village—listed on the National Register of Historic Places—this 1906 bungalow offers incredible potential. The home features a brand-new roof, original hardwood floors, tall ceilings, front and back porches, a carport, and an expandable attic. A small park sits just behind the property, adding to the charm of this unique setting. The home does need TLC, making it ideal for **cash buyers or investors** looking to restore and add value. Conventional financing may be possible, but this property is not eligible for FHA. Buyers considering conventional loans should speak directly with their lender to confirm program eligibility and requirements. This bungalow is in a prime location, within walking distance to local shopping, dining, entertainment, and the riverside park on the Yellow River. Join the many who are revitalizing these historic homes and investing in this quaint and growing community. This property is being offered as an investment opportunity.

  18. 2025-12-06
    listed $119,999 Active 1041-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1029 chars)

    Located near the downtown district of this former mill village-listed on the National Register of Historic Places-this 1906 bungalow offers incredible potential. The home features a brand-new roof, original hardwood floors, tall ceilings, front and back porches, a carport, and an expandable attic. A small park sits just behind the property, adding to the charm of this unique setting. The home does need TLC, making it ideal for **cash buyers or investors** looking to restore and add value. Conventional financing may be possible, but this property is not eligible for FHA. Buyers considering conventional loans should speak directly with their lender to confirm program eligibility and requirements. This bungalow is in a prime location, within walking distance to local shopping, dining, entertainment, and the riverside park on the Yellow River. Join the many who are revitalizing these historic homes and investing in this quaint and growing community. This property is being offered as an investment opportunity.

  19. 2025-12-06
    listed $119,999 New 1029-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1029 chars)

    Located near the downtown district of this former mill village-listed on the National Register of Historic Places-this 1906 bungalow offers incredible potential. The home features a brand-new roof, original hardwood floors, tall ceilings, front and back porches, a carport, and an expandable attic. A small park sits just behind the property, adding to the charm of this unique setting. The home does need TLC, making it ideal for **cash buyers or investors** looking to restore and add value. Conventional financing may be possible, but this property is not eligible for FHA. Buyers considering conventional loans should speak directly with their lender to confirm program eligibility and requirements. This bungalow is in a prime location, within walking distance to local shopping, dining, entertainment, and the riverside park on the Yellow River. Join the many who are revitalizing these historic homes and investing in this quaint and growing community. This property is being offered as an investment opportunity.

  20. 2025-11-19
    listed $127,990 Active
  21. 2019-07-10
    soldstatus $48,000
  22. 2019-07-03
    soldstatus $48,000 Sold
  23. 2019-06-24
    status Under Contract
  24. 2019-06-04
    listed $65,000 New
  25. 2015-01-01
    historical
  26. 2014-08-31
    status Back On Market
  27. 2014-08-31
    historical
  28. 2014-07-30
    status Back On Market
  29. 2014-07-30
    historical
  30. 2014-03-22
    status Back On Market
  31. 2014-02-06
    historical Pending Approval
  32. 2013-10-25
    listed $39,800 New
  33. 2013-08-09
    historical
  34. 2013-05-14
    listed $39,800 New
  35. 2003-06-24
    soldstatus $49,000
  36. 1999-12-16
    soldstatus $43,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,814 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,814 · $151/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,542
− Mortgage interest
−$7,169
− Property taxes
−$1,814
− Insurance
−$640
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,643
− Management
−$1,643
− Depreciation
−$3,723
Taxable income
$3,909
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$938
After-tax cash flow
$4,782/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newton County
NCES district ID
1303930
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$50,768
Composite
19.2/100
National rank
#8816
State rank
#137 of 174 in GA

Livability — Porterdale

Score
58/100
State rank
#447
US rank
#21362

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Porterdale, GA
County
Newton County · 104,393 people
City population
76
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
41,425
Household income
$72,254
Rent vs Own
38.7% rent · 61.3% own
Severe rent burden
1934.0

Population outlook (Newton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
118,372 people
By 2030
124,234 · +5.0%
By 2040
135,550 · +14.5%
By 2050
145,309 · +22.8%
By 2075
166,843 · +40.9%
By 2100
175,800 · +48.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Newton

2024 margin
D (+15.1) · D 57.3% · R 42.2%
2008→2024 swing
+14.0pp toward D · 2008: 1.2pp · 2024: 15.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.1 2020: D+10.9 2016: D+2.4 2012: D+2.0 2008: D+1.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.50%
Current HPI
270.9868
Rent YoY
▲ 0.52%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+94.1% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending FMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $85,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $85,000 FMLS
  • 2025-12-06 Listed $119,999 GAMLS
  • 2025-12-06 Listed $119,999 FMLS
  • 2025-11-19 Listed $127,990 Fizber.com
  • 2019-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 2019-07-03 Sold (MLS) $48,000 GAMLS
  • 2019-06-24 Pending GAMLS
  • 2019-06-04 Listed $65,000 GAMLS
  • 2015-01-01 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2014-08-31 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2014-08-31 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2014-07-30 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2014-07-30 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2014-03-22 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2014-02-06 Contingent GAMLS
  • 2013-10-25 Listed $39,800 GAMLS
  • 2013-08-09 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2013-05-14 Listed $39,800 GAMLS
  • 2003-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
  • 1999-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $43,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,814 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…