1006 Vela Jackson Ave Unit B · La Joya, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Appreciation +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This approximately 0.50-acre property offers a rare opportunity to own a spacious lot with utilities already in place. With plenty of open land, mature trees, and an existing structure, this property is ideal for remodeling, new construction, or placement of a manufactured home. The expansive layout provides room for additional improvements, storage, or future projects, making it a great option for investors or buyers seeking space and flexibility. Property is being sold as-is, with value primarily in the land. Conveniently located with easy access while still offering privacy and room to grow.
Key facts
- Open land
- Easy access
- Existing structure
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $114 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($826 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.5% in La Joya — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,087 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- La Joya ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #759 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $653 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.10%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $191,988
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -58.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $1,894
- Equity at exit
- $20,020
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $18,206
- Equity at exit
- $21,632
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78560
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $826 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,033/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$174
- Net cashflow
- $114
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $159 | -5% $136 | +0% $114 | +5% $91 | +10% $69 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $49 | -5% $81 | +0% $114 | +5% $146 | +10% $179 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $154 | -0.5pp $134 | base $114 | +0.5pp $93 | +1.0pp $72 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 E 3rd St Apt 4 La Joya, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 916 | $850 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 305 Palm Shrs Apt B102 La Joya, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $895 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 401 E 2nd St La Joya, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 851 | $795 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 401 E 2nd St Fl ) (TXU 145209331) La Joya, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 632 | $745 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 0.64mi |
Listing history 19 events
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2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-04-07$80,000 Active 607-char remark
Show marketing remark (607 chars)
This approximately 0.50-acre property offers a rare opportunity to own a spacious lot with utilities already in place. With plenty of open land, mature trees, and an existing structure, this property is ideal for remodeling, new construction, or placement of a manufactured home. The expansive layout provides room for additional improvements, storage, or future projects, making it a great option for investors or buyers seeking space and flexibility. Property is being sold as-is, with value primarily in the land. Conveniently located with easy access while still offering privacy and room to grow.
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2025-08-26$78,000 Active
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1999-08-11soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,033 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,464 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- +$431/yr (+$36/mo · 41.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,915
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,033
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$793
- − Management
- −$793
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $87
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$21
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,345/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- La Joya ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4826130
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -35.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,845
- Composite
- 18.65/100
- National rank
- #8891
- State rank
- #759 of 826 in TX
Livability — La Joya
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #1087
- US rank
- #19243
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- La Joya, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,618
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 96% Two or more races 58% White 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 91%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 5% English-only · Spanish 94% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.82%
- Current HPI
- 245.1749
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+2.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Listed $80,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-08-26 Listed $78,000 MCALLENMLS
- 1999-08-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,033 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…