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521 W King St
C- Composite 50.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

521 W King St · Aberdeen, WA 98520
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,736 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 241 Days on market
Built 1910 6,000 sqft lot $132/sqft · 13% below area Est $264k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

SHORT-SALE! Discover this single-level South Side gem! Featuring 4 bedrooms and 2 baths across 1,700 + Sq. ft. , this home offers incredible value and endless potential. The versatile floor plan, complete with French doors, allows you to customize spaces to fit your lifestyle, whether you need a home office, hobby room, or a guest space. Outside, you'll love the oversized backyard and deck with plenty of room for gardening, fruit trees, or simply relaxing. Ample parking provides space for multiple vehicles, RV's, or toys. Don't miss this move in ready home in a desirable location.

Key facts

  • Ample parking
  • Deck
  • Oversized backyard

Tags

OVERSIZED BACKYARDDECKAMPLE PARKINGVERSATILE FLOOR PLAN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $74 ($884/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (15.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $195k (15.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.1% in Aberdeen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#73 in WA, #1,320 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, employment F.
  • Aberdeen School District (town): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #222 of 291 in WA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 257 active listings in the ZIP; 297 units permitted in Grays Harbor County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grays Harbor County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 241 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $195,367 (15.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 241 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.68%
Cash-on-cash
1.37%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$264,113
List price
$230,000
Delta
-12.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1015 W Cushing St 0.39mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,582 (-9%) 2mo $237,500 $150 60
414 W Scott St 0.09mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,531 (-12%) 11mo $330,000 $216 60
1207 W Perry St 0.56mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,784 (+3%) 1mo $297,500 $167 60
121 E Harriman St 0.72mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,952 (+12%) 3mo $355,000 $182 31
412 E Perry St 0.67mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,983 (+14%) 9mo $326,000 $164 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.7%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-29,931
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-8,856
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98520

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
257
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,954 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$168 /mo · $2,013/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$74

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,860
Max offer price $230,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 43 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $230,000 Active 241 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $230,000 Active 240 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $230,000 Active 239 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $230,000 Active 238 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $230,000 Active 237 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $230,000 Active 235 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $230,000 Active 234 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $230,000 Active 231 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $230,000 Active 230 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $230,000 Active 229 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $245,000 Active 225 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $245,000 Active 224 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $245,000 Active 223 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active 222 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $245,000 Active 221 DOM
  16. 2026-02-22
    price $245,000
  17. 2026-01-17
    price $260,000
  18. 2025-12-12
    price $275,000
  19. 2025-11-08
    price $285,000
  20. 2025-10-21
    listed $290,000 Active
  21. 2021-11-29
    soldstatus $310,000 Closed
  22. 2021-11-29
    soldstatus $310,000
  23. 2021-10-25
    status Pending
  24. 2021-10-17
    listed $299,000 Active
  25. 2018-01-03
    soldstatus $130,000 Sold
  26. 2018-01-02
    soldstatus $130,000
  27. 2017-11-21
    status Pending
  28. 2017-10-26
    historical Pending - Backup Offer Requested
  29. 2017-10-22
    status Active
  30. 2017-10-18
    historical Pending - Backup Offer Requested
  31. 2017-10-14
    listed $130,000 Active
  32. 2009-11-25
    soldstatus $123,000 Sold
  33. 2009-11-25
    soldstatus $123,000
  34. 2009-10-09
    status Pending
  35. 2009-09-28
    status Pending Inspection
  36. 2009-07-09
    price $119,500
  37. 2009-03-12
    listed $123,900
  38. 2006-08-15
    soldstatus $120,000
  39. 2005-04-01
    soldstatus $105,000
  40. 2005-03-31
    soldstatus $105,000
  41. 2005-03-05
    listed $96,500
  42. 2000-04-04
    soldstatus $69,500
  43. 1997-03-13
    soldstatus $70,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,013 · $168/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,254 · $188/mo
Expected delta
+$241/yr (+$20/mo · 12.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,444
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$2,013
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,876
− Management
−$1,876
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$3,044
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$731
After-tax cash flow
$1,615/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aberdeen School District
NCES district ID
5300030
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$41,896
Composite
36.13/100
National rank
#9477
State rank
#222 of 291 in WA

Livability — Aberdeen

Score
81/100
State rank
#73
US rank
#1320

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aberdeen, WA
County
Grays Harbor County · 44,693 people
City population
24,888
Metro
Aberdeen, WA
Population (ZIP)
24,888
Household income
$58,153
Rent vs Own
35.4% rent · 64.6% own
Severe rent burden
635.0

Population outlook (Grays Harbor County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,443 people
By 2030
63,255 · -4.8%
By 2040
56,466 · -15.0%
By 2050
50,516 · -24.0%
By 2075
39,296 · -40.9%
By 2100
31,142 · -53.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Native American 3% Asian 1% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grays Harbor

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.0) · D 45.6% · R 51.6% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -6.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.0 2020: R+6.6 2016: R+7.1 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.75%
Current HPI
207.7393
Rent YoY
▲ 4.35%
Metro
Aberdeen, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+250.0% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-22 Price Changed $245,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-17 Price Changed $260,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-12 Price Changed $275,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-08 Price Changed $285,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-21 Listed $290,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
  • 2021-11-29 Sold (MLS) $310,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-25 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-17 Listed $299,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-01-03 Sold (MLS) $130,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2017-11-21 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-26 Contingent NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-22 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-18 Contingent NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-14 Listed $130,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $123,000 Public Records
  • 2009-11-25 Sold (MLS) $123,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-10-09 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-09-28 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-07-09 Price Changed $119,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-03-12 Listed $123,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2005-04-01 Sold (MLS) $105,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2005-03-05 Listed $96,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $69,500 Public Records
  • 1997-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,013 · -27.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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