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488 Garren Ln 🏗️ New Construction
C- Composite 53.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$244,230

488 Garren Ln · Carlyss, LA 70665
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,833 sqft · SingleFamily
Built 2026 Excellent condition 7,672 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located on a Corner Lot! Brand NEW Construction in Maggy’s Ridge, a beautiful new construction community in Sulphur, Louisiana, proudly built by DSLD Homes. The YARDLEY III G has an open designed floor plan with 4 bedrooms & 2.5 bathrooms. This home includes upgraded canned lighting & more. Special plan features include granite counters, kitchen island, undermount kitchen sink, vinyl plank flooring in living room & wet areas, energy efficient appliances (range, dishwasher & microwave hood), garden tub & separate shower in primary suite, low E tilt-in windows, smart connect Wi-Fi thermostat, covered rear porch, architectural roof with 30-year shingles, pos

Key facts

  • 7,672 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2026

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $244,230 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $252,954.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $244k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $244k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#237 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Vincent Settlement Elementary School (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B, #40 of 646 statewide, top 7%, 321 students, 41% FRL); W. W. Lewis Middle School (math 33% / reading 48%, grade F, #62 of 218 statewide, top 29%, 777 students, 49% FRL); Sulphur High School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade F, #58 of 265 statewide, top 23%, 2,043 students, 47% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 37% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Calcasieu Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 236 active listings in the ZIP; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $244,230

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.79%
Cash-on-cash
5.36%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$252,954
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5231 Winnie Dr 0.51mi 4/3.0 1,841 (+0%) 9mo $275,000 $149 66
222 Tara St 0.35mi 4/2.0 1,800 (-2%) 20mo $155,000 $86 63
470 Garren Ln 0.00mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,686 (-8%) 23mo $232,900 $138 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-20,792
Equity at exit
$37,716
10-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$8,011
Equity at exit
$21,871

Cash invested: $70,827 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70665

Active inventory
236
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,613 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,327
Tax est. 1.5%
$316 /mo · $3,794/yr
Insurance
$105
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$549
Net cashflow
$316

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,213
Max offer price $252,954
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,238
Closing costs
$7,589
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,361
− Mortgage interest
−$14,169
− Property taxes
−$3,794
− Insurance
−$1,265
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,509
− Management
−$2,509
− Depreciation
−$7,359
Taxable loss
−$244
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$59
After-tax cash flow
$3,856/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This brand-new construction home in Maggy’s Ridge is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good ROI with potential for landscaping and interior updates to further enhance its appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and could attract more buyers
  • Both Interior paint touch-ups — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting
  • Both Add smart home features — Modernizes the home and adds value for tech-savvy buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and could attract more buyers
  • Both Interior paint touch-ups — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting
  • Both Add smart home features — Modernizes the home and adds value for tech-savvy buyers

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calcasieu Parish
NCES district ID
2200330
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -33.00%
Median HH income
$44,700
Composite
31.45/100
National rank
#5979
State rank
#29 of 98 in LA

Livability — Carlyss

Score
61/100
State rank
#237
US rank
#18031

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Carlyss, LA
Population (ZIP)
12,891

Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
212,179 people
By 2030
218,199 · +2.8%
By 2040
228,486 · +7.7%
By 2050
236,208 · +11.3%
By 2075
251,696 · +18.6%
By 2100
247,848 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.65%
Current HPI
99.2379
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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