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120 Driver Rd
D Composite 43.03
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0

$245,000

120 Driver Rd · Lafayette, TN 37083
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,300 sqft · Manufactured public records · 8 Days on market
Built 2004 1.17 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully remodeled ranch style home on 1.17 acres is available now. New paint, floors, cabinets, counter tops, appliances and more. Nice open floor plan with oversized living room makes the perfect space for entertaining. Fully remodeled kitchen has plenty of cabinet and counter top space for all your cooking needs. Large laundry room with washer and dryer and new water heater. Primary bedroom closet is the size of a small bedroom and could be used as an office and a closet... seriously.. It's HUGE. Nice back deck overlooking your expansive backyard with no back yard neighbors. Seller open to paying closing costs and discount points with good offer.

Key facts

  • 1.17 acre lot
  • Built 2004
  • Listed 8 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 1.17-acre lot; About 1,200 square feet of living area (assessor)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water available; Septic tank; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property with a view
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Existing construction
  • Exterior features: Deck; Storage structure; Rolling slope with views

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven and electric range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level; Primary bedroom with walk-in closet, approx. 14 x 13; Second bedroom approx. 12 x 11
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Walk-in closets; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-149 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (10.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (32.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (32.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#80 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Macon County (rural): math 34% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #53 of 139 in TN (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lafayette Elementary School (math 44% / reading 31%, grade F, #269 of 952 statewide, top 28%, 422 students, 0% FRL); Macon County Junior High School (math 37% / reading 26%, grade F, #89 of 333 statewide, top 28%, 771 students, 0% FRL); Macon County High School (math 21% / reading 32%, grade F, #112 of 332 statewide, top 35%, 967 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 179 active listings in the ZIP; 181 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Macon County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask is 7% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Recommended offer $164,320 (32.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.60%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
12.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$123,843
Equity at exit
$220,715
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
6.42×
Total profit
$371,887
Equity at exit
$475,981

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37083

Home prices YoY
8.8%
Active inventory
179
Price-to-rent
12.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,643 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $718/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$345
Net cashflow
$-149

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,831
Max offer price $218,750
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-10 -5% $-79 +0% $-149 +5% $-218 +10% $-287
Rent -10% $-278 -5% $-214 +0% $-149 +5% $-84 +10% $-19
Rate -1.0pp $-25 -0.5pp $-86 base $-149 +0.5pp $-212 +1.0pp $-277

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $245,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $245,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $245,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $245,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $245,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $245,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 326-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $245,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$718 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,740 · $145/mo
Expected delta
+$1,022/yr (+$85/mo · 142.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,718
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$718
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,577
− Management
−$1,577
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$6,231
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,495
After-tax cash flow
$-288/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Macon County
NCES district ID
4702550
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$34,280
Composite
25.97/100
National rank
#7329
State rank
#53 of 139 in TN

Livability — Lafayette

Score
68/100
State rank
#80
US rank
#9247

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
16,887

Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,618 people
By 2030
25,337 · +2.9%
By 2040
26,739 · +8.6%
By 2050
27,822 · +13.0%
By 2075
30,614 · +24.4%
By 2100
31,851 · +29.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Macon

2024 margin
Solid R (+74.3) · D 12.4% · R 86.7%
2008→2024 swing
-54.8pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -74.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+74.3 2020: R+71.6 2016: R+69.3 2012: R+53.7 2008: R+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 31.33%
Current HPI
388.8726
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1366.3% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Coming Soon $245,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $215,000 Public Records
  • 2024-03-14 Sold (MLS) $215,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-29 Contingent REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-25 Price Changed $215,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-01-10 Price Changed $224,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-20 Listed $229,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2023-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2018-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
  • 2018-04-13 Sold (MLS) $117,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-02-12 Contingent REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-02-05 Price Changed $137,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-01-02 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-01-02 Relisted REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-01-01 Listed $140,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
  • 2016-04-27 Sold (MLS) $89,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-22 Pending REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-03-11 Contingent REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-01-21 Listed $89,500 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-01-21 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-09-29 Listed $94,500 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $16,709 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $718 · +71.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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