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4264 N Kim Rye Ln
D+ Composite 48.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

4264 N Kim Rye Ln · Delhi, MI 48842
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,560 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1977 9,147 sqft lot Est $240k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lots of updating has been completed in this home. Newer appliances & flooring in kitchen; cupboards painted; newly installed tile backsplash. Newer carpet in bedrooms. Lower level has a family room with woodburning fireplace and an office; both have newer carpet. Lots of storage in basement; basement has had a B-dry system installed. Large front deck; cul-de-sac location.

Key facts

  • Quiet cul-de-sac
  • Attached garage
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTQUIET CUL-DE-SACPARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENTRADON MITIGATION SYSTEMLOW-MAINTENANCE COMPOSITE DECKATTACHED GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (7.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Holt Public Schools (suburban): math 28% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #236 of 540 in MI (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 80% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $131k; list at $225k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $208,721 (7.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.92%
Cash-on-cash
2.25%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$240,240
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4327 Keller Rd 0.18mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,646 (+6%) 3mo $240,000 $146 71
4519 Spahr Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,524 (-2%) 0mo $234,000 $154 66
4335 Norway St 0.41mi 3/2.5 1,625 (+4%) 6mo $324,900 $200 63
4348 Norway St 0.44mi 3/2.5 1,669 (+7%) 4mo $328,000 $197 58
4314 Ringneck Ln 0.20mi 3/2.5 1,755 (+12%) 7mo $339,900 $194 58
4439 Keller Rd 0.36mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,344 (-14%) 1mo $235,000 $175 54
2189 N Aurelius Rd 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,702 (+9%) 7mo $215,000 $126 54
4345 Keelson Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,462 (-6%) 4mo $295,000 $202 52
4190 Greenwood Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,671 (+7%) 8mo $225,000 $135 51
2111 Cedar St 0.48mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,690 (+8%) 9mo $130,000 $77 49
7011 Aurelius Rd 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,384 (-11%) 4mo $165,000 $119 48
4461 Holt Rd 0.75mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,367 (-12%) 1mo $210,000 $154 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.3%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-17,877
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$44,407
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48842

Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,087 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$257 /mo · $3,083/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$118

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,937
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2030 N Cedar St Holt, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 930 $1,679 $1.81 13d 6 0.54mi
4075 Holt Rd Holt, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1000 $1,239 $1.24 13d 1 0.90mi
3879 Lone Pne Holt, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1148 $2,322 $2.02 21d 1 1.03mi
6158 N Aurelius Rd Lansing, MI 4.0 3.0 1641 $2,495 $1.52 21d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $225,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,083 · $257/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,274 · $273/mo
Expected delta
+$191/yr (+$16/mo · 6.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,047
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$3,083
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,004
− Management
−$2,004
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$2,318
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$556
After-tax cash flow
$1,976/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Holt Public Schools
NCES district ID
2618480
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$57,705
Composite
32.68/100
National rank
#5653
State rank
#236 of 540 in MI

Livability — Delhi

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Holt, MI
County
Ingham County · 237,052 people
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
Population (ZIP)
21,945
Household income
$88,340
Rent vs Own
33.5% rent · 66.5% own
Severe rent burden
545.0

Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
300,362 people
By 2030
307,808 · +2.5%
By 2040
320,492 · +6.7%
By 2050
333,223 · +10.9%
By 2075
373,693 · +24.4%
By 2100
392,021 · +30.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Vietnam, Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ingham

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -184.41%
Current HPI
208.5101
Rent YoY
▲ 8.03%
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+74.6% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Coming Soon $225,000 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2017-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $131,000 Public Records
  • 2017-03-24 Sold (MLS) $131,000 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2017-03-24 Sold (MLS) $131,000 REALCOMP
  • 2016-12-08 Listed $124,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2016-12-08 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
  • 2013-12-10 Listing Removed Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2013-12-06 Listed $129,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2006-10-07 Listing Removed Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2006-07-07 Listed $145,000 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2004-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2001-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $128,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,083 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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