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2527 County Road 18
B+ Composite 76.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$50,000

2527 County Road 18 · Poultney, VT 12837
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,319 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1864 1.20 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience the beauty and tranquility of Washington County at 2527 County Route 18, Hampton, NY. Set amid the rolling hills, farmland, and scenic countryside of New York's Upper Hudson Valley region, this property offers a peaceful setting with breathtaking rural views that can be enjoyed from the inviting front porch. Whether sipping your morning coffee as the sun rises over the surrounding landscape or unwinding in the evening while taking in the picturesque vistas, the setting is sure to impress. Conveniently located near the Vermont border, this property provides easy access to a variety of year-round recreational opportunities. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the proximity to hikin

Key facts

  • Inviting front porch
  • 1.2 acre lot
  • 3 parking spots

Tags

BREATHTAKING RURAL VIEWSINVITING FRONT PORCHACCESS TO OUTDOOR RECREATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 1.2 acres (lot dimensions: 239 x 172 x 209 x 324)

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking for 3 vehicles
  • Utilities: 150 amp electric service; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single family residence; Entry located on the first level; Vinyl siding construction
  • Construction: Stone foundation; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Barn and shed(s); Property offers views

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms located on the second floor
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms — one on the first floor and one on the second floor
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Partial, unfinished basement; Front entry on the first level; 10 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $841 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#48 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Granville Central School District (town): math 38% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #521 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Granville Junior-Senior High School (math 57% / reading 42%, grade D, #974 of 1,100 statewide, top 91%, 496 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 106 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Washington County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1864 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $50,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1864 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.00%
Cap rate
26.49%
Cash-on-cash
72.12%
DSCR
4.21
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
78.2%
Equity multiple
5.59×
Total profit
$64,224
Equity at exit
$27,367
10-year hold
IRR
76.4%
Equity multiple
11.59×
Total profit
$148,319
Equity at exit
$46,451

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Vermont
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause in Burlington (2022); strong habitability.

ZIP-level market 12837

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,502 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $750/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$316
Net cashflow
$841

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $876 -5% $859 +0% $841 +5% $824 +10% $807
Rent -10% $723 -5% $782 +0% $841 +5% $901 +10% $960
Rate -1.0pp $867 -0.5pp $854 base $841 +0.5pp $828 +1.0pp $815

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $50,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-17
    listed $50,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,029
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$750
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,442
− Management
−$1,442
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$9,889
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,373
After-tax cash flow
$7,723/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Granville Central School District
NCES district ID
3612450
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,936
Composite
34.32/100
National rank
#5237
State rank
#521 of 590 in NY

Livability — Poultney

Score
66/100
State rank
#48
US rank
#11631

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
943

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,576 people
By 2030
57,618 · -3.3%
By 2040
52,751 · -11.5%
By 2050
47,514 · -20.2%
By 2075
35,690 · -40.1%
By 2100
24,807 · -58.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
95% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.0pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -21.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+20.2 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+0.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.68%
Current HPI
344.1083
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $50,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

+11.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,734 · +55.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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