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426 Troy St Duplex
B- Composite 65.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,900

426 Troy St · Dayton, OH 45404
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 4,786 sqft · MultiFamily · 297 Days on market
Built 1885 Poor condition 4,853 sqft lot $18/sqft · 74% below area ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

* Special Program Available * - No Down Payment $, No PMI, PLUS $5,000 towards closing costs for qualified buyers. Inquire for info! Investor alert! This gutted property is prepped and ready for your vision. With a brand-new roof (2024) already in place, the heavy lifting has begun—now it's time to bring it to life. The upstairs layout offers 4 beds and 1 full bath, with plenty of space downstairs to mirror the floorplan and create a duplex. Ideal for a flip or a buy-and-hold rental strategy. Being sold as-is – this one needs work, but the potential ROI makes it a no-brainer. Cash or hard money only. Don’t sleep on this opportunity—schedule your walkthrough today!

Key facts

  • Upstairs layout
  • Brand-new roof
  • Duplex potential

Tags

BRAND-NEW ROOFUPSTAIRS LAYOUTDUPLEX POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/0.5-bath units multifamily listed at $85k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive. Per door: $859/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 30.6% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,917/mo this rent would consume 90% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 297 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $74,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 297 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.44%
Cap rate
30.57%
Cash-on-cash
86.71%
DSCR
4.86
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$325,851
List price
$84,900
Delta
-73.95%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
87.2%
Equity multiple
5.03×
Total profit
$95,688
Equity at exit
$12,659
10-year hold
IRR
90.3%
Equity multiple
10.44×
Total profit
$224,374
Equity at exit
$7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45404

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,917 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$613
Net cashflow
$1,718

Break-even live

Break-even rent $743
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 36%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,917

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,900 Active 297 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,900 Active 296 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,900 Active 295 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 294 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $84,900 Active 292 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,900 Active 291 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $84,900 Active 289 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,900 Active 288 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 287 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,900 Active 286 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $84,900 Active 283 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $84,900 Active 282 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 281 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 280 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 279 DOM
  16. 2025-12-01
    price $84,900 699-char remark
    Show marketing remark (699 chars)

    * Special Program Available * - No Down Payment $, No PMI, PLUS $5,000 towards closing costs for qualified buyers. Inquire for info! Investor alert! This gutted property is prepped and ready for your vision. With a brand-new roof (2024) already in place, the heavy lifting has begun—now it's time to bring it to life. The upstairs layout offers 4 beds and 1 full bath, with plenty of space downstairs to mirror the floorplan and create a duplex. Ideal for a flip or a buy-and-hold rental strategy. Being sold as-is – this one needs work, but the potential ROI makes it a no-brainer. Cash or hard money only. Don’t sleep on this opportunity—schedule your walkthrough today!

  17. 2025-09-16
    price $99,999 699-char remark
    Show marketing remark (699 chars)

    * Special Program Available * - No Down Payment $, No PMI, PLUS $5,000 towards closing costs for qualified buyers. Inquire for info! Investor alert! This gutted property is prepped and ready for your vision. With a brand-new roof (2024) already in place, the heavy lifting has begun—now it's time to bring it to life. The upstairs layout offers 4 beds and 1 full bath, with plenty of space downstairs to mirror the floorplan and create a duplex. Ideal for a flip or a buy-and-hold rental strategy. Being sold as-is – this one needs work, but the potential ROI makes it a no-brainer. Cash or hard money only. Don’t sleep on this opportunity—schedule your walkthrough today!

  18. 2025-08-28
    price $104,999 699-char remark
    Show marketing remark (699 chars)

    * Special Program Available * - No Down Payment $, No PMI, PLUS $5,000 towards closing costs for qualified buyers. Inquire for info! Investor alert! This gutted property is prepped and ready for your vision. With a brand-new roof (2024) already in place, the heavy lifting has begun—now it's time to bring it to life. The upstairs layout offers 4 beds and 1 full bath, with plenty of space downstairs to mirror the floorplan and create a duplex. Ideal for a flip or a buy-and-hold rental strategy. Being sold as-is – this one needs work, but the potential ROI makes it a no-brainer. Cash or hard money only. Don’t sleep on this opportunity—schedule your walkthrough today!

  19. 2025-08-25
    listed $105,000 Active 699-char remark
    Show marketing remark (699 chars)

    * Special Program Available * - No Down Payment $, No PMI, PLUS $5,000 towards closing costs for qualified buyers. Inquire for info! Investor alert! This gutted property is prepped and ready for your vision. With a brand-new roof (2024) already in place, the heavy lifting has begun—now it's time to bring it to life. The upstairs layout offers 4 beds and 1 full bath, with plenty of space downstairs to mirror the floorplan and create a duplex. Ideal for a flip or a buy-and-hold rental strategy. Being sold as-is – this one needs work, but the potential ROI makes it a no-brainer. Cash or hard money only. Don’t sleep on this opportunity—schedule your walkthrough today!

  20. 2025-07-04
    historical
  21. 2024-10-28
    status Active
  22. 2024-09-26
    status Pending
  23. 2024-08-30
    status Active
  24. 2024-08-20
    historical
  25. 2024-02-21
    listed $120,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,004
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$1,274
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,800
− Management
−$2,800
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$20,480
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,915
After-tax cash flow
$15,697/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos

Poor 20/100 Gut rehab

This gutted property requires extensive renovations to bring it up to code and make it move-in ready. The new roof is a positive, but the interior and exterior need significant work.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exposed beams — Structural damage
  • Major Missing cabinets — No kitchen functionality
  • Major Missing flooring — No living space functionality
  • Major Missing siding — Exterior damage

Value-add opportunities

  • Both New kitchen cabinets and flooring — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New exterior siding — Improves curb appeal and durability
  • Both New interior walls and paint — Enhances living space and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exposed beams · Structural damage Major $15,000–50,000
Missing cabinets · No kitchen functionality Major $15,000–50,000
Missing flooring · No living space functionality Major $15,000–50,000
Missing siding · Exterior damage Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both New kitchen cabinets and flooring — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
  • Both New exterior siding — Improves curb appeal and durability
  • Both New interior walls and paint — Enhances living space and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
9,826
Household income
$38,874
Rent vs Own
55.9% rent · 44.1% own
Severe rent burden
702.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 19% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.48%
Current HPI
210.9571
Rent YoY
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-29.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $84,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-09-16 Price Changed $99,999 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-08-28 Price Changed $104,999 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-08-25 Listed $105,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2025-07-04 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2024-10-28 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2024-09-26 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2024-08-30 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2024-08-20 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2024-02-21 Listed $120,000 Dayton MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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