Duplex
426 Troy St · Dayton, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
* Special Program Available * - No Down Payment $, No PMI, PLUS $5,000 towards closing costs for qualified buyers. Inquire for info! Investor alert! This gutted property is prepped and ready for your vision. With a brand-new roof (2024) already in place, the heavy lifting has begun—now it's time to bring it to life. The upstairs layout offers 4 beds and 1 full bath, with plenty of space downstairs to mirror the floorplan and create a duplex. Ideal for a flip or a buy-and-hold rental strategy. Being sold as-is – this one needs work, but the potential ROI makes it a no-brainer. Cash or hard money only. Don’t sleep on this opportunity—schedule your walkthrough today!
Key facts
- Upstairs layout
- Brand-new roof
- Duplex potential
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/0.5-bath units multifamily listed at $85k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive. Per door: $859/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 30.6% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,917/mo this rent would consume 90% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 297 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 297 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 86.71%
- DSCR
- 4.86
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $325,851
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- -73.95%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 87.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.03×
- Total profit
- $95,688
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 90.3%
- Equity multiple
- 10.44×
- Total profit
- $224,374
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45404
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,917 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$613
- Net cashflow
- $1,718
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 0.5 | $2,918 |
| #1 | 2 | 0.5 | $1,459 |
| #2 | 2 | 0.5 | $1,459 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,917 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
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2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 297 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 296 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 295 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 294 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $84,900 Active 292 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $84,900 Active 291 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $84,900 Active 289 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 288 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 287 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 286 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $84,900 Active 283 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 282 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 281 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 280 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 279 DOM
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2025-12-01price $84,900 699-char remark
Show marketing remark (699 chars)
* Special Program Available * - No Down Payment $, No PMI, PLUS $5,000 towards closing costs for qualified buyers. Inquire for info! Investor alert! This gutted property is prepped and ready for your vision. With a brand-new roof (2024) already in place, the heavy lifting has begun—now it's time to bring it to life. The upstairs layout offers 4 beds and 1 full bath, with plenty of space downstairs to mirror the floorplan and create a duplex. Ideal for a flip or a buy-and-hold rental strategy. Being sold as-is – this one needs work, but the potential ROI makes it a no-brainer. Cash or hard money only. Don’t sleep on this opportunity—schedule your walkthrough today!
-
2025-09-16price $99,999 699-char remark
Show marketing remark (699 chars)
* Special Program Available * - No Down Payment $, No PMI, PLUS $5,000 towards closing costs for qualified buyers. Inquire for info! Investor alert! This gutted property is prepped and ready for your vision. With a brand-new roof (2024) already in place, the heavy lifting has begun—now it's time to bring it to life. The upstairs layout offers 4 beds and 1 full bath, with plenty of space downstairs to mirror the floorplan and create a duplex. Ideal for a flip or a buy-and-hold rental strategy. Being sold as-is – this one needs work, but the potential ROI makes it a no-brainer. Cash or hard money only. Don’t sleep on this opportunity—schedule your walkthrough today!
-
2025-08-28price $104,999 699-char remark
Show marketing remark (699 chars)
* Special Program Available * - No Down Payment $, No PMI, PLUS $5,000 towards closing costs for qualified buyers. Inquire for info! Investor alert! This gutted property is prepped and ready for your vision. With a brand-new roof (2024) already in place, the heavy lifting has begun—now it's time to bring it to life. The upstairs layout offers 4 beds and 1 full bath, with plenty of space downstairs to mirror the floorplan and create a duplex. Ideal for a flip or a buy-and-hold rental strategy. Being sold as-is – this one needs work, but the potential ROI makes it a no-brainer. Cash or hard money only. Don’t sleep on this opportunity—schedule your walkthrough today!
-
2025-08-25$105,000 Active 699-char remark
Show marketing remark (699 chars)
* Special Program Available * - No Down Payment $, No PMI, PLUS $5,000 towards closing costs for qualified buyers. Inquire for info! Investor alert! This gutted property is prepped and ready for your vision. With a brand-new roof (2024) already in place, the heavy lifting has begun—now it's time to bring it to life. The upstairs layout offers 4 beds and 1 full bath, with plenty of space downstairs to mirror the floorplan and create a duplex. Ideal for a flip or a buy-and-hold rental strategy. Being sold as-is – this one needs work, but the potential ROI makes it a no-brainer. Cash or hard money only. Don’t sleep on this opportunity—schedule your walkthrough today!
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2025-07-04historical
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2024-10-28status Active
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2024-09-26status Pending
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2024-08-30status Active
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2024-08-20historical
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2024-02-21$120,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,004
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,274
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,800
- − Management
- −$2,800
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $20,480
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,915
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,697/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos
This gutted property requires extensive renovations to bring it up to code and make it move-in ready. The new roof is a positive, but the interior and exterior need significant work.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exposed beams — Structural damage
- Major Missing cabinets — No kitchen functionality
- Major Missing flooring — No living space functionality
- Major Missing siding — Exterior damage
Value-add opportunities
- Both New kitchen cabinets and flooring — Enhances functionality and aesthetics
- Both New exterior siding — Improves curb appeal and durability
- Both New interior walls and paint — Enhances living space and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exposed beams · Structural damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Missing cabinets · No kitchen functionality | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Missing flooring · No living space functionality | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Missing siding · Exterior damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both New kitchen cabinets and flooring — Enhances functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both New exterior siding — Improves curb appeal and durability ↑
- Both New interior walls and paint — Enhances living space and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,826
- Household income
- $38,874
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 702.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 19% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.48%
- Current HPI
- 210.9571
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-29.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $84,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-09-16 Price Changed $99,999 Dayton MLS
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed $104,999 Dayton MLS
- 2025-08-25 Listed $105,000 Dayton MLS
- 2025-07-04 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2024-10-28 Relisted — Dayton MLS
- 2024-09-26 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2024-08-30 Relisted — Dayton MLS
- 2024-08-20 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2024-02-21 Listed $120,000 Dayton MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…