19946 Strasburg St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.3/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special! Vacant 2-bedroom home. with strong rental and investment potential. Tenant recently moved out now ready for it's next owner. BATVAI Contact Cam Porter 248-819-2185
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1942
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1942
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Living area 672
- Exterior features: Public water; Lot approximately 0.11 acres
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Michigan-style basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $590 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.0% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 56.14%
- DSCR
- 3.50
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $38,814
- List price
- $45,000
- Delta
- 15.94%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20083 Bradford St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 648 (-4%) | 0mo | $24,000 | $37 | 84 |
| 20520 Dresden St | 0.33mi | 2/1.5 | 680 (+1%) | 0mo | $33,000 | $49 | 80 |
| 20091 Annott St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 747 (+11%) | 1mo | $12,800 | $17 | 68 |
| 20061 Westphalia St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 712 (+6%) | 13mo | $75,000 | $105 | 65 |
| 12832 Sherman Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+4%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $144 | 57 |
| 19997 Alcoy St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 721 (+7%) | 14mo | $43,000 | $60 | 54 |
| 20554 Joann St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 721 (+7%) | 12mo | $35,000 | $49 | 52 |
| 12861 Vernon Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+4%) | 13mo | $110,000 | $158 | 51 |
| 12849 Vernon Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+4%) | 13mo | $107,500 | $154 | 51 |
| 19392 Pelkey St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 731 (+9%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $41 | 51 |
| 12408 Sarsfield Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+7%) | 11mo | $70,000 | $97 | 50 |
| 13225 E State Fair St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+12%) | 16mo | $25,000 | $33 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.24×
- Total profit
- $28,276
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 57.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.17×
- Total profit
- $65,127
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48205
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 373
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,236 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,590/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $590
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 17d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $1,300 | $1.74 | 11d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 21412 Waltham Rd Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,225 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 18667 Algonac St Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,999 | $2.94 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 11236 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,175 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 13503 E McNichols Rd Unit 7 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 18d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 7605 Jackson Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,165 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $45,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $50,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $50,000 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Investor Special! Vacant 2-bedroom home. with strong rental and investment potential. Tenant recently moved out now ready for it's next owner. BATVAI Contact Cam Porter 248-819-2185
-
2026-05-13price $50,000 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Investor Special! Vacant 2-bedroom home. with strong rental and investment potential. Tenant recently moved out now ready for it's next owner. BATVAI Contact Cam Porter 248-819-2185
-
2026-05-13price $50,000
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Investor Special! Vacant 2-bedroom home. with strong rental and investment potential. Tenant recently moved out now ready for it's next owner. BATVAI Contact Cam Porter 248-819-2185
-
2026-05-06$52,000 Active 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Investor Special! Vacant 2-bedroom home. with strong rental and investment potential. Tenant recently moved out now ready for it's next owner. BATVAI Contact Cam Porter 248-819-2185
-
2026-05-06$52,000 Active 181-char remark
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Investor Special! Vacant 2-bedroom home. with strong rental and investment potential. Tenant recently moved out now ready for it's next owner. BATVAI Contact Cam Porter 248-819-2185
-
2026-05-06$52,000 Active
Show marketing remark (181 chars)
Investor Special! Vacant 2-bedroom home. with strong rental and investment potential. Tenant recently moved out now ready for it's next owner. BATVAI Contact Cam Porter 248-819-2185
-
2026-05-03historical
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2026-05-02historical
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2026-04-16price $54,000
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2026-04-16price $54,000
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2026-04-16price $54,000
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2026-04-10price $56,000
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2026-04-10price $56,000
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2026-04-10price $56,000
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2026-03-28price $58,000
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2026-03-27price $58,000
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2026-03-27price $58,000
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2026-03-16price $63,000
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2026-03-16price $63,000
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2026-03-16price $63,000
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2026-03-04price $65,000
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2026-03-03price $65,000
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2026-03-03price $65,000
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2026-02-07price $68,000
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2026-02-06price $68,000
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2026-02-06price $68,000
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2026-02-03$73,000 Active
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2026-02-02$73,000 Active
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2022-03-14soldstatus $75,000
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2019-08-01historical
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2019-08-01historical
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2019-07-03price $10,900
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2019-07-02price $10,900
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2019-06-18price $14,000
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2019-06-18price $14,000
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2019-05-09price $14,500
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2019-05-09price $14,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,590 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,590 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,836
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$1,590
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,187
- − Management
- −$1,187
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $6,818
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,636
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,438/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,187
- Household income
- $38,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2121.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.80%
- Current HPI
- 235.0926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+150.0% since first listed44 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Price Changed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $45,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $45,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $50,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $52,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $52,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-06 Listed $52,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-03 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-02 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $54,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $54,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $54,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $56,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $56,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $56,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $58,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $58,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $58,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $63,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $63,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $63,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $65,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-02-07 Price Changed $68,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $68,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $68,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-02-03 Listed $73,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-02 Listed $73,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2019-08-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-08-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-03 Price Changed $10,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-07-02 Price Changed $10,900 REALCOMP
- 2019-06-18 Price Changed $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-06-18 Price Changed $14,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-05-09 Price Changed $14,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-05-09 Price Changed $14,500 REALCOMP
- 2019-04-24 Price Changed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-04-24 Price Changed $15,000 REALCOMP
- 2019-03-26 Listed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-03-26 Listed $18,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,590 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…