🌊 Lakefront
1670 NE 191st St Unit 109-3 · Ojus, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Location! location! location! very comfortable first floor unit 2-2, located in a gated community with 24/7 security guards and 4 pools. Basic cable is included with Hoa fee. Walking distance to the plaza with Publix, TJ Max, CVS, Sky Lake, Pediatric association, LA Fitness, banks and restaurants, minutes from Aventura, Sunny Isles, beaches and I-95. 10,999 Price reduction.
Key facts
- $657 HOA
- Parking
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $189k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $447 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $189k).
- Recommended offer: $166k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 5.8% in Ojus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in FL, #1,031 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Ojus Elementary School (math 56% / reading 59%, grade C+, #764 of 2,144 statewide, top 36%, 776 students, 63% FRL); Highland Oaks Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 774 students, 50% FRL); Dr. Michael M. Krop Senior High (math 21% / reading 46%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 2,235 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 810 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,591/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 21% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.81%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $245,000
- List price
- $189,000
- Delta
- -22.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 3.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-11,213
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-8,115
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 4 active · 4 under contract
- Median asking
- $227,450 ($184/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 107 d
- This list price
- 25% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +1.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33179
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 810
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,591 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$236 /mo · $2,835/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$657
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$754
- Net cashflow
- $447
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $578 | -5% $512 | +0% $447 | +5% $382 | +10% $316 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $163 | -5% $305 | +0% $447 | +5% $589 | +10% $731 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $542 | -0.5pp $495 | base $447 | +0.5pp $398 | +1.0pp $348 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Association poolAssociation-maintained common areasAssociation-maintained pool
- Financial info
- Lease consideredPets allowed (no restrictions)
- HOA & community
- Monthly association fee of $657 covering common areasAssociation amenities include a pool
Exterior
- Parking
- One parking space
- Security
- Security guard
- Utilities
- Has cooling (central air)
- Home design
- Attached property5-story buildingEntry on level 1
- Construction
- Block constructionResale property
- Exterior features
- BalconyOpen balcony/patio
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherMicrowaveRefrigerator
- Flooring
- CarpetCeramic tile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central air conditioning
- Interior features
- First floor entryOther interior features
HOA detail $657/mo · $7,884/yr condo
- Likely covers
- cablepoolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $189,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $189,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $189,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $189,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $189,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $189,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $189,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $189,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $189,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $189,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $189,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $189,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $189,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $189,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $189,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $189,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $189,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $189,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $189,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $189,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $189,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $189,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $189,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $189,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $189,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $189,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $189,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $189,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $189,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $189,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $189,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $189,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $189,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $189,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $189,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $189,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $189,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $189,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $189,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $189,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $189,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $189,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $189,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $189,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $189,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $189,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $189,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $189,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $189,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $189,000 Active 71 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,088
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$2,835
- − Insurance
- −$6,064
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,447
- − Management
- −$3,447
- − HOA
- −$7,884
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable income
- $3,326
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$798
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,565/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This unit requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and appeal. Key updates include painting, updating fixtures, and modernizing the kitchen and bathrooms.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen backsplash — slight wear
- Minor bathroom lighting — dated fixtures
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace kitchen backsplash — modernizes kitchen and adds value ↑
- Both update bathroom lighting — improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ojus
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #1031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ojus, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 3,126,439 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,591
- Household income
- $65,211
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 21% of renters
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 23% White 19% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 3% Salvadoran 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 13% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 48% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 37% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -608.34%
- Current HPI
- 328.1733
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.22%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+20.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $189,000 MARMLS
- 2026-05-03 Listed $199,999 MARMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-11-01 Listed $199,999 MARMLS
- 2025-10-20 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-07-01 Price Changed $199,999 MARMLS
- 2025-06-03 Price Changed $215,000 MARMLS
- 2025-05-15 Price Changed $257,000 MARMLS
- 2025-04-22 Listed $157,000 MARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…