75 Wolfgang Ln · Blain, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful Vacation Home located approximately 100ft from the Sherman's Creek that is stocked and Close to over 23,000 + acres of state lands. This listing is being sold with two parcels - . 5 A (Cabin) on and . 3 A. There is a beautiful big front porch, big deck, and a picnic Pavilion to enjoy. The cabin sleeps 10 people with 7 beds in the loft bedroom on the top floor. It also has a newer shingle roof.
Key facts
- 0.8 acre lot
- Built 1972
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Property listed in a federal flood zone; Clay soil; Assessor as source for finished area and year built
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: 100 amp electric service; Electric and wood heating fuel; Electric available; Multiple phone lines/phone available; Aerobic septic (no sewer system); Municipal trash not available
- Home design: Detached structure; South-facing main entrance
- Construction: Wood and shingle siding with frame construction; Architectural shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Building winterized; Built by owner (self)
- Exterior features: Front yard; Level lot; Partly wooded; Road frontage; Rural setting; Flood plain; Additional lot(s); Has water view; Deck(s); Porch(es); Horse permitted; Pets allowed with number limit
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Six burner stove
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level; One bedroom on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One half bathroom on the main level; One half bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Wood-burning stove
- Interior features: Furnished; Two or more access exits; Level entry on main
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($230/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,331 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- West Perry SD (rural): math 37% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #189 of 539 in PA (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: West Perry Shs (math 72% / reading 87%, grade A-, #19 of 437 statewide, top 4%, 686 students, 38% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+31 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the West Perry SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 107 units permitted in Perry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
- Perry County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.25%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $82,944
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 190 Wolfgang Ln | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-7%) | 3mo | $76,500 | $96 | 76 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $6,560
- Equity at exit
- $37,419
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $30,533
- Equity at exit
- $52,660
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17006
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,032 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,325/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $19
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $75 | -5% $47 | +0% $19 | +5% $-9 | +10% $-37 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-62 | -5% $-22 | +0% $19 | +5% $60 | +10% $101 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $69 | -0.5pp $44 | base $19 | +0.5pp $-7 | +1.0pp $-33 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending
-
2026-05-16$99,000 Active
-
2026-05-08historical $99,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,325 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,445 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- +$119/yr (+$10/mo · 9.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,383
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,325
- − Insurance
- −$1,997
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$991
- − Management
- −$991
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable loss
- −$1,347
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$323
- After-tax cash flow
- $553/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Perry SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225740
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,647
- Composite
- 41.99/100
- National rank
- #3338
- State rank
- #189 of 539 in PA
Livability — Blain
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #1331
- US rank
- #16445
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,096
Population outlook (Perry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,250 people
- By 2030
- 42,862 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 39,574 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 36,001 · -18.6%
- By 2075
- 27,991 · -36.7%
- By 2100
- 20,936 · -52.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · German/W. Germanic 17% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Perry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.3) · D 24.8% · R 74.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -49.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.3 2020: R+50.1 2016: R+51.9 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+33.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.69%
- Current HPI
- 131.3002
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-16 Listed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-08 Coming Soon $99,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2026): $1,325 · -7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…