508 Lewis St · Park Hills, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- Cash flow +7.4/30.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +1.3/10.0
- 1% rule +0.9/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come have a look at this fully remodeled home in the central school district. Updated in 2019 with a new roof, siding, windows, exterior door, flooring, HVAC and more. Very close to the downtown area and close access to 67 Hwy.
Key facts
- 0.27 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1920
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association fee includes: Other
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (one car, approximately 20x14); Covered carport (one space); Additional off-street parking and RV access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Basement present (concrete, unfinished)
- Exterior features: Back yard; Concrete road/driveway
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Bookcases; Ceiling fans throughout; Concrete, unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Electric service with 220 volts
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-195 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $116k (23.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (41.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $88k (41.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#585 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Central R-III (town): math 36% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #150 of 324 in MO (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Central Elem. (555 students, 62% FRL); Central Middle (math 40% / reading 44%, grade D-, #149 of 391 statewide, top 41%, 418 students, 54% FRL); Central High (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C, #51 of 521 statewide, top 11%, 629 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 134 units permitted in St. Francois County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.59% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.57%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 14.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $179,573
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -16.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-36,808
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -22.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.15×
- Total profit
- $-48,356
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63601
- Home prices YoY
- -2.6%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 14.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $884 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $536/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $-195
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-110 | -5% $-153 | +0% $-195 | +5% $-238 | +10% $-280 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-265 | -5% $-230 | +0% $-195 | +5% $-160 | +10% $-125 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-120 | -0.5pp $-157 | base $-195 | +0.5pp $-234 | +1.0pp $-274 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 Swan Dr Park Hills, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 685 | $799 | $1.17 | 45d | 7 | 0.43mi |
| 813 Falcon St Park Hills, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $995 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1100 Falcon St Park Hills, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $895 | $1.33 | 45d | 2 | 0.87mi |
| 121 Donnelly St Leadington, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 45d | 2 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-13status Active 1253-char remark
-
2026-05-01status Pending 1253-char remark
-
2026-04-30$150,000 Active 1253-char remark
-
2026-04-29historical $150,000 1253-char remark
-
2022-03-25soldstatus
-
2022-03-24soldstatus Closed 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Come have a look at this fully remodeled home in the central school district. Updated in 2019 with a new roof, siding, windows, exterior door, flooring, HVAC and more. Very close to the downtown area and close access to 67 Hwy.
-
2022-02-26status Pending 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Come have a look at this fully remodeled home in the central school district. Updated in 2019 with a new roof, siding, windows, exterior door, flooring, HVAC and more. Very close to the downtown area and close access to 67 Hwy.
-
2022-02-26$124,900 Active 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Come have a look at this fully remodeled home in the central school district. Updated in 2019 with a new roof, siding, windows, exterior door, flooring, HVAC and more. Very close to the downtown area and close access to 67 Hwy.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $536 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,455 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$919/yr (+$77/mo · 171.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,613
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$536
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$849
- − Management
- −$849
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$5,137
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,233
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,108/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central R-III
- NCES district ID
- 2929170
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,745
- Composite
- 33.61/100
- National rank
- #5410
- State rank
- #150 of 324 in MO
Livability — Park Hills
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #585
- US rank
- #20779
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Park Hills, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,434
Population outlook (St. Francois County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,683 people
- By 2030
- 69,574 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 70,665 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 70,708 · +2.9%
- By 2075
- 67,917 · -1.1%
- By 2100
- 56,563 · -17.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Francois
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.8% · R 75.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -46.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.6pp · 2024: -51.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.30%
- Current HPI
- 278.5365
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+20.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listed $150,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Coming Soon $150,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-03-24 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-26 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-26 Listed $124,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $536 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…