101 Sugarberry Ave · Abilene, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$255,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come and see this beautiful home in Wylie Schools and close to Kirby Lake! The home features one of the largest lots in the neighborhood, a wood burning fireplace, spacious master suite, lifted ceilings, and covered backyard patio. Includes refrigerator, washer, and dryer. This is truly the perfect family home!
Key facts
- Covered back patio
- Largest lots
- Generous yard space
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces; Garage faces side
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property; Built in 2007; Subdivision: Parkside Place Sub
- Construction: Brick and rock/stone exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Year built 2007
- Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Wood fencing; Corner lot in a subdivision; Interior lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Pantry; Breakfast room (7 x 7)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level (14 x 16); Bedroom on main level (11 x 11); Bedroom on main level (11 x 11)
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: Primary bathroom on main level with dual sinks, built-in cabinets, garden tub and separate shower (14 x 10); Additional full bathroom on main level (14 x 5)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Built-in features; Double vanity; High speed internet available
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Laundry room with built-in cabinets, drip/dry area and space for freezer (9 x 5)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $570 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $255k).
- Recommended offer: $251k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 6.7% in Abilene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F.
- Wylie ISD (rural): math 63% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #32 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Wylie East El (math 58% / reading 58%, grade C+, #480 of 4,322 statewide, top 11%, 789 students, 30% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+33.5%/yr); 370 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $71k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.57%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $294,112
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202 Sugarberry Ave | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,598 (-1%) | 7mo | $269,900 | $169 | 85 |
| 250 Sugarberry Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,580 (-2%) | 5mo | $273,000 | $173 | 82 |
| 249 Lollipop Trl | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,537 (-5%) | 3mo | $295,000 | $192 | 78 |
| 233 Sugarberry Ave | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,579 (-2%) | 7mo | $265,000 | $168 | 76 |
| 365 Lollipop Trl | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,595 (-1%) | 4mo | $280,000 | $176 | 75 |
| 349 Lollipop Trl | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,569 (-3%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $182 | 71 |
| 334 Lollipop Trl | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-10%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $182 | 62 |
| 234 Southlake Dr | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,748 (+8%) | 5mo | $329,900 | $189 | 53 |
| 318 Whiterock Dr | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,784 (+10%) | 6mo | $345,000 | $193 | 48 |
| 310 Whiterock Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,811 (+12%) | 6mo | $331,299 | $183 | 45 |
| 641 Wackadoo Dr | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,781 (+10%) | 6mo | $305,000 | $171 | 39 |
| 7149 Mcleod Dr | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,834 (+14%) | 4mo | $339,900 | $185 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $12,280
- Equity at exit
- $38,021
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $136,141
- Equity at exit
- $22,048
Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79602
- Home prices YoY
- -19.6%
- Rents YoY
- 33.5%
- Active inventory
- 370
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,241 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$547 /mo · $6,567/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$681
- Net cashflow
- $570
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,750
- Closing costs
- $7,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 350 Miss Ellie Ln Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $2,600 | $1.84 | 7d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 350 Miss Ellie Ln Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $2,600 | $1.84 | 2d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 250 Southlake Dr Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2006 | $3,400 | $1.69 | 2d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 349 Whiterock Dr Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1809 | $6,000 | $3.32 | 17d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 7319 Mountain View Rd Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1502 | $4,000 | $2.66 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 7326 Mountain View Rd Unit 7328 Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $2,995 | $2.02 | 11d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7328 Mountain View Rd Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $2,995 | $2.02 | 11d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 7309 Wildflower Way Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1578 | $3,195 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 331 Sophia Ln Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $3,195 | $1.96 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 273 Martis Way Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $3,200 | $1.93 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 801 Big Water Trl Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1537 | $2,800 | $1.82 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 609 Marlin Dr Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1925 | $3,250 | $1.69 | 18d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7717 Sawdust Trl Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1502 | $3,375 | $2.25 | 11d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 7709 Sawdust Trl Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1502 | $3,200 | $2.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 7627 Hudson Way Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1598 | $8,900 | $5.57 | 13d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 7646 Hudson Way Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $3,295 | $2.09 | 20d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7650 Hudson Way Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $3,295 | $2.09 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 7625 Wildflower Way Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $3,300 | $1.83 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5733 Legacy Dr Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1843 | $5,000 | $2.71 | 4d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 7949 Sawdust Trl Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $2,995 | $1.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-03status $255,000 Pending 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $255,000 Active Option Contract 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $255,000 Active Option Contract 19 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $255,000 Active Option Contract 18 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $255,000 Active Option Contract 17 DOM
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2026-05-23historical Active Option Contract
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2026-05-22status Active
-
2026-05-16historical Active Option Contract
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2026-05-13$255,000 Active
-
2022-01-12soldstatus
-
2022-01-11soldstatus Sold 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
Come and see this beautiful home in Wylie Schools and close to Kirby Lake! The home features one of the largest lots in the neighborhood, a wood burning fireplace, spacious master suite, lifted ceilings, and covered backyard patio. Includes refrigerator, washer, and dryer. This is truly the perfect family home!
-
2021-12-20status Pending 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
Come and see this beautiful home in Wylie Schools and close to Kirby Lake! The home features one of the largest lots in the neighborhood, a wood burning fireplace, spacious master suite, lifted ceilings, and covered backyard patio. Includes refrigerator, washer, and dryer. This is truly the perfect family home!
-
2021-12-10historical Active Option Contract 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
Come and see this beautiful home in Wylie Schools and close to Kirby Lake! The home features one of the largest lots in the neighborhood, a wood burning fireplace, spacious master suite, lifted ceilings, and covered backyard patio. Includes refrigerator, washer, and dryer. This is truly the perfect family home!
-
2021-12-01$240,000 Active 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
Come and see this beautiful home in Wylie Schools and close to Kirby Lake! The home features one of the largest lots in the neighborhood, a wood burning fireplace, spacious master suite, lifted ceilings, and covered backyard patio. Includes refrigerator, washer, and dryer. This is truly the perfect family home!
-
2014-06-03soldstatus
-
2014-06-02soldstatus Closed 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in Parkside Place built as a custom built home in 2007. Great living space, with vaulted ceilings and split floor plan. Situated on a corner lot with a privacy backyard. You will love the beautiful upkeep of this property. Still looks new. Make an appointment and make it yours!
-
2014-04-22status Pending 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in Parkside Place built as a custom built home in 2007. Great living space, with vaulted ceilings and split floor plan. Situated on a corner lot with a privacy backyard. You will love the beautiful upkeep of this property. Still looks new. Make an appointment and make it yours!
-
2014-04-05historical Active Option Contract 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in Parkside Place built as a custom built home in 2007. Great living space, with vaulted ceilings and split floor plan. Situated on a corner lot with a privacy backyard. You will love the beautiful upkeep of this property. Still looks new. Make an appointment and make it yours!
-
2014-04-03$174,900 Active 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in Parkside Place built as a custom built home in 2007. Great living space, with vaulted ceilings and split floor plan. Situated on a corner lot with a privacy backyard. You will love the beautiful upkeep of this property. Still looks new. Make an appointment and make it yours!
-
2010-12-31historical
-
2010-05-25$154,900
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2008-04-17soldstatus
-
2007-04-20soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,567 · $547/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,567 · $547/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,893
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,284
- − Property taxes
- −$6,567
- − Insurance
- −$1,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,111
- − Management
- −$3,111
- − Depreciation
- −$7,418
- Taxable income
- $3,126
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$750
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,086/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wylie ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4846500
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,248
- Composite
- 55.86/100
- National rank
- #1206
- State rank
- #32 of 826 in TX
Livability — Abilene
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #4037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Abilene, TX
- County
- Taylor County · 136,672 people
- City population
- 26,588
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,425
- Household income
- $89,551
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 338.0
Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,270 people
- By 2030
- 150,050 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 159,417 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 168,883 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 194,436 · +33.8%
- By 2100
- 203,163 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Taylor
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.6% · R 74.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: -45.6pp · 2024: -49.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.8 2020: R+45.3 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+45.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.04%
- Current HPI
- 189.3098
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 33.46%
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+64.6% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-05-16 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $255,000 NTREIS
- 2022-01-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-01-11 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2021-12-20 Pending — NTREIS
- 2021-12-10 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2021-12-01 Listed $240,000 NTREIS
- 2014-06-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-06-02 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2014-04-22 Pending — NTREIS
- 2014-04-05 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2014-04-03 Listed $174,900 NTREIS
- 2010-12-31 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2010-05-25 Listed $154,900 NTREIS
- 2008-04-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-04-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,567 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…