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19 Wilton St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 66.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,900

19 Wilton St · Springfield, MA 01109
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,661 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 107 Days on market
Built 1915 6,551 sqft lot $132/sqft · 26% below area Est $296k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor opportunity! This 4-bedroom, 1-bath Cape-style home offers great potential for renovation and value-add. Property requires a full rehab inside and is being sold as-is with a Tenant; Sight unseen with no access. Conveniently located near local amenities and commuter routes. Ideal for investors, contractors, or flippers looking for their next project. Bring your vision and restore this home to its full potential!

Key facts

  • 6,551 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1915

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $219,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$296,054) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $220k).
  • Recommended offer: $200k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#97 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Springfield (urban): math 13% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #296 of 302 in MA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Alfred G. Zanetti Montessori Magnet School (math 33% / reading 60%, grade D-, #405 of 938 statewide, top 44%, 434 students, 0% FRL); Stem Middle Academy (math 14% / reading 23%, grade F, #263 of 305 statewide, top 86%, 297 students, 0% FRL); Springfield Central High (math 27% / reading 41%, grade F, #250 of 343 statewide, top 73%, 2,095 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 81% district-wide (81 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 19% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Springfield average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 453 units permitted in Hampden County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,562/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 1322% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hampden County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($200k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $34k; list at $220k implies a 556% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $200,109 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.34%
Cash-on-cash
10.89%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$296,054
List price
$219,900
Delta
-25.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
77 Coleman St 0.28mi 4/1.0 1,728 (+4%) 4mo $300,000 $174 77
99 Massreco St 0.28mi 4/2.0 1,605 (-3%) 5mo $325,000 $202 73
25 Pheland St 0.13mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,540 (-7%) 4mo $322,500 $209 71
162 Gilbert Ave 0.38mi 4/2.0 1,688 (+2%) 9mo $450,000 $267 68
239 Gresham St 0.35mi 4/2.0 1,784 (+7%) 2mo $435,000 $244 66
82 Waldorf St 0.50mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,651 (-1%) 6mo $275,000 $167 64
322 Gilbert Ave 0.39mi 4/2.0 1,796 (+8%) 2mo $441,000 $246 63
18 Riverton Rd 0.63mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,660 (-0%) 3mo $375,000 $226 61
285 Breckwood Blvd 0.41mi 4/2.0 1,440 (-13%) 1mo $350,000 $243 54
16 Stuart St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,542 (-7%) 9mo $319,900 $207 49
7 Jennings St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (-4%) 9mo $430,000 $269 46
114 Riverton Rd 0.58mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,526 (-8%) 4mo $390,000 $256 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.0%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$-52
Equity at exit
$32,788
10-year hold
IRR
9.6%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$45,787
Equity at exit
$19,013

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 01109

Home prices YoY
-22.8%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,562 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax from tax record
$221 /mo · $2,651/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$538
Net cashflow
$559

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,855
Max offer price $219,900
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $683 -5% $621 +0% $559 +5% $496 +10% $434
Rent -10% $356 -5% $457 +0% $559 +5% $660 +10% $761
Rate -1.0pp $669 -0.5pp $615 base $559 +0.5pp $502 +1.0pp $444

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
63 Granger St Springfield, MA 4.0 2.0 1200 $2,700 $2.25 45d 1 1.05mi
137 Cobb St Springfield, MA 4.0 2.0 1500 $2,500 $1.67 45d 1 1.11mi
37 Cortland St Unit 1 Springfield, MA 3.0 1.0 1210 $2,250 $1.86 45d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $219,900 Active 107 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,900 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,900 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,900 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,900 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $219,900 Active 99 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $219,900 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $219,900 Active 96 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,900 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,900 Active 94 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,900 Active 93 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $219,900 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $219,900 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,900 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,900 Active 87 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,900 Active 86 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $219,900 Active 85 DOM
  18. 2026-03-06
    listed $219,900 New 423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Investor opportunity! This 4-bedroom, 1-bath Cape-style home offers great potential for renovation and value-add. Property requires a full rehab inside and is being sold as-is with a Tenant; Sight unseen with no access. Conveniently located near local amenities and commuter routes. Ideal for investors, contractors, or flippers looking for their next project. Bring your vision and restore this home to its full potential!

  19. 1984-08-20
    soldstatus $33,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,651 · $221/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,678 · $223/mo
Expected delta
+$27/yr (+$2/mo · 1.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,749
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$2,651
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,460
− Management
−$2,460
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable income
$3,364
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$807
After-tax cash flow
$5,896/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield
NCES district ID
2511130
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$34,938
Composite
15.6/100
National rank
#9293
State rank
#296 of 302 in MA

Livability — Springfield

Score
73/100
State rank
#97
US rank
#5195

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, MA
County
Hampden County · 230,965 people
City population
61,006
Metro
Springfield, MA
Population (ZIP)
31,124
Household income
$48,415
Rent vs Own
52.4% rent · 47.6% own
Severe rent burden
1322.0

Population outlook (Hampden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
485,646 people
By 2030
491,517 · +1.2%
By 2040
500,539 · +3.1%
By 2050
508,827 · +4.8%
By 2075
539,167 · +11.0%
By 2100
545,698 · +12.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 45% Black 31% Two or more races 20% White 18% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 39% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hampden

2024 margin
Lean D (+8.9) · D 53.4% · R 44.5% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: 25.3pp · 2024: 8.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+8.9 2020: D+17.7 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+25.4 2008: D+25.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -113.11%
Current HPI
382.9038
Rent YoY
Metro
Springfield, MA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+556.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $219,900 MLS PIN
  • 1984-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $33,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,651 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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