406 W 1st St · Tuscumbia, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Huge potential for all buyers, investors and flippers with 1940s stone solid built house in downtown Tuscumbia. This house has 3 bedrooms with 2 with walk in closets, one flex bedroom (office) with 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen is huge with lots of cabinets and counterspace. This house has a basement for storage with updated electrical panel. The house has partially finished attic space that's floored space and hung sheetrock (future use or storage). The driveway is large for parking multiple cars. The back yard is flat with 500 sq ft shop in back yard with carport. This house is walking distance to Deshler high school, grocery store, courthouse and spring park. This house is priced at $68 per foot. This house is a bargain. House sold as is. All information to be verified by purchaser.
Key facts
- Large driveway
- Flat back yard
- Huge kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $114k).
- Recommended offer: $104k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.4% in Tuscumbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#122 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Tuscumbia City (suburban): math 18% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #72 of 129 in AL (top 56%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 220 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 91 units permitted in Colbert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $788 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Colbert County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.22%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $172,767
- List price
- $114,000
- Delta
- -34.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 607 W 3rd St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,242 (-1%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $117 | 84 |
| 606 N Jefferson St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,299 (+3%) | 10mo | $147,000 | $113 | 74 |
| 710 N Milton St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,172 (-7%) | 10mo | $137,000 | $117 | 63 |
| 403 W 7th St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,317 (+5%) | 2mo | $92,300 | $70 | 61 |
| 900 N Cave St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,237 (-2%) | 4mo | $164,900 | $133 | 61 |
| 210 W Moore St W | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,150 (-9%) | 11mo | $74,900 | $65 | 56 |
| 130 Norris Cir | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,293 (+3%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $131 | 56 |
| 105 W Tunstall St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (-9%) | 0mo | $37,000 | $32 | 52 |
| 402 W 7th St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,077 (-14%) | 0mo | $103,000 | $96 | 47 |
| 805 SW 14th Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-13%) | 3mo | $189,900 | $173 | 43 |
| 608 N Washington St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,425 (+13%) | 7mo | $205,000 | $144 | 38 |
| 704 Washington St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,388 (+10%) | 8mo | $179,900 | $130 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-4,577
- Equity at exit
- $16,998
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $13,813
- Equity at exit
- $9,857
Cash invested: $31,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35674
- Home prices YoY
- -28.4%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,168 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$598
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $702/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $219
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $283 | -5% $251 | +0% $219 | +5% $186 | +10% $154 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $126 | -5% $173 | +0% $219 | +5% $265 | +10% $311 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $276 | -0.5pp $248 | base $219 | +0.5pp $189 | +1.0pp $159 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,500
- Closing costs
- $3,420
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Harrison Dr Tuscumbia, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $1,050 | $1.07 | 44d | 5 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $114,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $114,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $114,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $114,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $114,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $114,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $114,000 796-char remark
Show marketing remark (796 chars)
Huge potential for all buyers, investors and flippers with 1940s stone solid built house in downtown Tuscumbia. This house has 3 bedrooms with 2 with walk in closets, one flex bedroom (office) with 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen is huge with lots of cabinets and counterspace. This house has a basement for storage with updated electrical panel. The house has partially finished attic space that's floored space and hung sheetrock (future use or storage). The driveway is large for parking multiple cars. The back yard is flat with 500 sq ft shop in back yard with carport. This house is walking distance to Deshler high school, grocery store, courthouse and spring park. This house is priced at $68 per foot. This house is a bargain. House sold as is. All information to be verified by purchaser.
-
2026-04-04status Active 796-char remark
Show marketing remark (796 chars)
Huge potential for all buyers, investors and flippers with 1940s stone solid built house in downtown Tuscumbia. This house has 3 bedrooms with 2 with walk in closets, one flex bedroom (office) with 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen is huge with lots of cabinets and counterspace. This house has a basement for storage with updated electrical panel. The house has partially finished attic space that's floored space and hung sheetrock (future use or storage). The driveway is large for parking multiple cars. The back yard is flat with 500 sq ft shop in back yard with carport. This house is walking distance to Deshler high school, grocery store, courthouse and spring park. This house is priced at $68 per foot. This house is a bargain. House sold as is. All information to be verified by purchaser.
-
2026-03-23status Pending 796-char remark
Show marketing remark (796 chars)
Huge potential for all buyers, investors and flippers with 1940s stone solid built house in downtown Tuscumbia. This house has 3 bedrooms with 2 with walk in closets, one flex bedroom (office) with 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen is huge with lots of cabinets and counterspace. This house has a basement for storage with updated electrical panel. The house has partially finished attic space that's floored space and hung sheetrock (future use or storage). The driveway is large for parking multiple cars. The back yard is flat with 500 sq ft shop in back yard with carport. This house is walking distance to Deshler high school, grocery store, courthouse and spring park. This house is priced at $68 per foot. This house is a bargain. House sold as is. All information to be verified by purchaser.
-
2026-02-20$119,000 Active 796-char remark
Show marketing remark (796 chars)
Huge potential for all buyers, investors and flippers with 1940s stone solid built house in downtown Tuscumbia. This house has 3 bedrooms with 2 with walk in closets, one flex bedroom (office) with 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen is huge with lots of cabinets and counterspace. This house has a basement for storage with updated electrical panel. The house has partially finished attic space that's floored space and hung sheetrock (future use or storage). The driveway is large for parking multiple cars. The back yard is flat with 500 sq ft shop in back yard with carport. This house is walking distance to Deshler high school, grocery store, courthouse and spring park. This house is priced at $68 per foot. This house is a bargain. House sold as is. All information to be verified by purchaser.
-
2025-02-24price $135,000
-
2024-12-03price $145,000
-
2024-09-04$155,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $702 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $702 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,013
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,386
- − Property taxes
- −$702
- − Insurance
- −$570
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,121
- − Management
- −$1,121
- − Depreciation
- −$3,316
- Taxable income
- $797
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$191
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,433/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tuscumbia City
- NCES district ID
- 0103420
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,168
- Composite
- 24.66/100
- National rank
- #7619
- State rank
- #72 of 129 in AL
Livability — Tuscumbia
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #12659
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tuscumbia, AL
- County
- Colbert County · 20,176 people
- City population
- 20,176
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,176
- Household income
- $64,706
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 372.0
Population outlook (Colbert County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 54,154 people
- By 2030
- 53,746 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 52,431 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 50,303 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 44,789 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 36,676 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Colbert
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.4% · R 72.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: -20.3pp · 2024: -46.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.4 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+38.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.06%
- Current HPI
- 171.9693
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-26.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $114,000 SAARMLS
- 2026-04-04 Relisted — SAARMLS
- 2026-03-23 Pending — SAARMLS
- 2026-02-20 Listed $119,000 SAARMLS
- 2025-02-24 Price Changed $135,000 SAARMLS
- 2024-12-03 Price Changed $145,000 SAARMLS
- 2024-09-04 Listed $155,000 SAARMLS
Property tax history
+7.3%/yrLatest (2025): $702 · +16.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…