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4162 E Church St
D- Composite 39.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

4162 E Church St · Farmville, NC 27828
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,170 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1920 8,276 sqft lot Est $171k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming 2 bed, 1 bath property located in the heart of Farmville! This inviting home offers a perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and versatility, featuring a bright and spacious layout filled with natural light. The main residence provides cozy living areas, a functional kitchen, and comfortable bedrooms designed for everyday living. Adding incredible value to the property is a detached guest house, offering privacy and flexibility for a variety of uses. This charming space is perfect for hosting guests, accommodating extended family, or generating rental income. The outdoor space offers endless possibilities for entertaining, gardening, or simply relaxing in a peaceful

Key facts

  • Outdoor space
  • Dining
  • Schools

Tags

DETACHED GUEST HOUSEOUTDOOR SPACELOCAL SHOPSDININGSCHOOLS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Shared driveway; Covered parking; Unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Natural gas connected; Public sewer connected; Public water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-story home; Entry level: 1; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Porch; Guest house; Has a view; No fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop, Electric range, Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Electric cooktop, Electric range, Refrigerator; Carpet and hardwood flooring; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-60 ($-715/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $149k (6.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (21.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $125k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.0% in Farmville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#272 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
  • Pitt County Schools (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #100 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: H B Sugg Elementary (401 students, 99% FRL); Farmville Middle (math 31% / reading 35%, grade F, #305 of 475 statewide, top 65%, 611 students, 100% FRL); Farmville Central High (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 789 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 56% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,300 units permitted in Pitt County in 2024 (204 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pitt County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,000 (21.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.85%
Cash-on-cash
-1.60%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$170,820
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3612 E Wilson St 0.10mi 2/1.0 1,025 (-12%) 3mo $155,000 $151 72
4164 Melissa Dr 0.32mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,188 (+2%) 5mo $118,900 $100 72
4113 Melissa Dr 0.40mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,178 (+1%) 5mo $198,000 $168 69
4165 E East Prince Rd 0.38mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,175 (+0%) 12mo $171,000 $146 64
4396 West Hines St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,149 (-2%) 3mo $55,000 $48 64
4008 Davis Cir 0.33mi 2/2.0 1,274 (+9%) 10mo $212,500 $167 58
4076 Grimmersburg St 0.29mi 2/1.0 999 (-15%) 18mo $165,000 $165 48
4462 W West Hines St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,124 (-4%) 6mo $125,000 $111 47
3309 North Contentnea St 0.28mi 2/1.0 1,006 (-14%) 24mo $120,000 $119 44
4215 Ellis Ave 0.46mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,040 (-11%) 17mo $170,000 $163 39
3178 N Contentnea St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,295 (+11%) 14mo $180,000 $139 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.9%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-29,739
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
-11.5%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-30,853
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27828

Home prices YoY
-20.9%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$141 /mo · $1,696/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$-60

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,325
Max offer price $149,473
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $31 -5% $-14 +0% $-60 +5% $-105 +10% $-150
Rent -10% $-158 -5% $-109 +0% $-60 +5% $-10 +10% $39
Rate -1.0pp $21 -0.5pp $-19 base $-60 +0.5pp $-101 +1.0pp $-143

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3408 Eli Joyner Ln Unit A Farmville, NC 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 21d 1 0.20mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $160,000 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $160,000 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $160,000 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 39 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $160,000 Active 38 DOM
  17. 2026-04-25
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2026-04-22
    listed $160,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,696 · $141/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,696 · $141/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,000
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$1,696
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,200
− Management
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$3,513
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$843
After-tax cash flow
$128/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pitt County Schools
NCES district ID
3700012
Math proficiency
41% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$40,631
Composite
35.67/100
National rank
#4877
State rank
#100 of 178 in NC

Livability — Farmville

Score
66/100
State rank
#272
US rank
#11852

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Farmville, NC
Population (ZIP)
8,155

Population outlook (Pitt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
194,585 people
By 2030
203,756 · +4.7%
By 2040
220,807 · +13.5%
By 2050
236,614 · +21.6%
By 2075
275,940 · +41.8%
By 2100
300,058 · +54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 37% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Subsaharan African 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pitt

2024 margin
Lean D (+6.0) · D 52.5% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: 8.8pp · 2024: 6.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+6.0 2020: D+9.4 2016: D+7.4 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.30%
Current HPI
193.5248
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Contingent Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $160,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+18.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,696 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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