Duplex
307 Highland Ave · East Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity for this 2-family home with large yard and oversized lot. The apartments are very spacious and offer 3 bedrooms and full bath in each unit. Many features such as natural wood and sunrooms. There is even a coin-op laundry room. Its ready for the next owner or investor.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1910
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property configured as 2 units with separate gas and electric meters for each unit; Each unit currently rents for $1,350 (leases expire April 2027); Operating expenses include insurance, maintenance, professional management, snow removal, trash, and water; Owner pays grounds care, snow removal, and water; tenants pay all utilities; rent includes gardener, snow removal, and water
Exterior
- Parking: Two or more off-street parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable and high-speed internet available
- Home design: Two-story multifamily property; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built as existing structure
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Fence; Rectangular residential lot with city street frontage (approx. 66 x 132)
Interior
- Kitchen: Each unit includes an oven/range and refrigerator; Dining area open to living room in each unit
- Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units (each unit has 3 bedrooms)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Varies by area
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Hardwood and laminate flooring; some areas vary; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $536/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $280k).
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 6.9% in East Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in NY, #81 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+.
- East Syracuse Minoa Central School District (rural): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #379 of 590 in NY (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,139/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 250% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $210k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.42%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $209,684
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307 Highland Ave | 0.00mi | 6/2.0 | 2,356 (0%) | 19mo | $210,000 | $89 | 84 |
| 201 E Ellis St | 0.56mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,384 (+1%) | 23mo | $164,945 | $69 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $23,189
- Equity at exit
- $41,734
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $109,077
- Equity at exit
- $24,201
Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13057
- Home prices YoY
- -11.1%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,139 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$613 /mo · $7,352/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$869
- Net cashflow
- $1,073
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,231 | -5% $1,152 | +0% $1,073 | +5% $993 | +10% $914 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $746 | -5% $909 | +0% $1,073 | +5% $1,236 | +10% $1,400 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,214 | -0.5pp $1,144 | base $1,073 | +0.5pp $1,000 | +1.0pp $926 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $4,138 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $2,069 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $2,069 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,139 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,975
- Closing costs
- $8,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $279,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $279,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $279,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 463-char remark
-
2026-06-13$279,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,352 · $613/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,352 · $613/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,668
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,679
- − Property taxes
- −$7,352
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,973
- − Management
- −$3,973
- − Depreciation
- −$8,143
- Taxable income
- $9,148
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,196
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,677/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Syracuse Minoa Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609990
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,801
- Composite
- 42.9/100
- National rank
- #3122
- State rank
- #379 of 590 in NY
Livability — East Syracuse
- Score
- 90/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #81
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 14,253
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,253
- Household income
- $80,900
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 250.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% American 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.50%
- Current HPI
- 316.8595
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+265.4% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $279,900 CNYIS
- 2026-04-06 Rental Removed $1,650 CNYIS
- 2026-02-17 Listed for Rent $1,650 CNYIS
- 2026-02-04 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2025-08-04 Listed $279,900 CNYIS
- 2025-05-07 Rental Removed $1,650 CNYIS
- 2025-04-23 Listed for Rent $1,650 CNYIS
- 2025-04-22 Rental Removed $1,650 CNYIS
- 2025-03-16 Listed for Rent $1,650 CNYIS
- 2024-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
- 2024-12-04 Sold (MLS) $210,000 CNYIS
- 2024-10-10 Pending — CNYIS
- 2024-10-03 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2024-09-26 Listed $199,900 CNYIS
- 2003-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $76,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $7,352 · +16.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…