18007 Entiat River Rd · Entiat, WA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 13 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 28 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Escape to the mountains and experience the charm of this fully furnished rustic cabin living! Nestled on approximately 1/3 acre and surrounded by natural beauty, this inviting 1,080 sq. ft. log cabin offers the perfect blend of comfort and character. The main level features a cozy living room with a wood stove, kitchen with both a propane range and an eye-catching antique wood-burning cook stove, dining area, and a spacious primary bedroom with its own wood stove and direct access to the full bath. Upstairs, the expansive loft provides flexible space for a large bedroom, bunk room, or guest retreat. Enjoy your morning coffee on the front deck while taking in the peaceful setting. Additional
Key facts
- Front deck
- Metal roof
- Wood stove
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or conventional
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport (covered, 1 covered space); Off-street parking
- Utilities: Electric, propane, and wood energy sources; Individual private well (private water); Septic tank; Electric water heater located in primary bathroom closet; Power provided by Chelan County PUD; Starlink (cable) connected; Internet via Starlink or HughesNet
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story; Main level entry; Built on lot; Facing direction not specified
- Construction: Log construction; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built year not specified
- Exterior features: Log exterior; Deck; Outbuildings; Wooded setting; Paved access; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (1 on main level, 1 on upper level)
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with tub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Stove/free-standing heating; Cooling present
- Interior features: Dining room; Fireplace; Loft; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($473/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (18.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $221k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 1.4% in Entiat — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#350 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Entiat School District (rural): math 40% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #148 of 291 in WA (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Paul Rumburg Elementary (196 students, 74% FRL); Entiat Middle And High School (141 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 51% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 762 units permitted in Chelan County in 2024 (377 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chelan County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.63%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-41,223
- Equity at exit
- $40,183
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-32,921
- Equity at exit
- $23,301
Cash invested: $75,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98822
- Home prices YoY
- -12.5%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,208 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,413
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,150/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$464
- Net cashflow
- $39
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $192 | -5% $116 | +0% $39 | +5% $-37 | +10% $-113 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-135 | -5% $-48 | +0% $39 | +5% $127 | +10% $214 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $175 | -0.5pp $108 | base $39 | +0.5pp $-30 | +1.0pp $-101 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,375
- Closing costs
- $8,085
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $269,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $269,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $269,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$269,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,150 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,641 · $220/mo
- Expected delta
- +$491/yr (+$41/mo · 22.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 13 d/yr ≥88°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 28 unhealthy d/yr today · 28 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,493
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,096
- − Property taxes
- −$2,150
- − Insurance
- −$1,348
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,119
- − Management
- −$2,119
- − Depreciation
- −$7,840
- Taxable loss
- −$4,179
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,003
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,476/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Entiat School District
- NCES district ID
- 5302550
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 15.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,380
- Composite
- 44.61/100
- National rank
- #6027
- State rank
- #148 of 291 in WA
Livability — Entiat
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #350
- US rank
- #13329
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,187
Population outlook (Chelan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,630 people
- By 2030
- 84,312 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 88,619 · +8.6%
- By 2050
- 91,915 · +12.6%
- By 2075
- 99,409 · +21.8%
- By 2100
- 100,032 · +22.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chelan
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.5) · D 43.9% · R 53.4% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -12.0pp · 2024: -9.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.5 2020: R+7.8 2016: R+15.7 2012: R+16.9 2008: R+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.35%
- Current HPI
- 262.2411
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $269,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+10.7%/yrLatest (2026): $2,150 · +31.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…