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18007 Entiat River Rd
D Composite 41.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,500

18007 Entiat River Rd · Entiat, WA 98822
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Other public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1993 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Escape to the mountains and experience the charm of this fully furnished rustic cabin living! Nestled on approximately 1/3 acre and surrounded by natural beauty, this inviting 1,080 sq. ft. log cabin offers the perfect blend of comfort and character. The main level features a cozy living room with a wood stove, kitchen with both a propane range and an eye-catching antique wood-burning cook stove, dining area, and a spacious primary bedroom with its own wood stove and direct access to the full bath. Upstairs, the expansive loft provides flexible space for a large bedroom, bunk room, or guest retreat. Enjoy your morning coffee on the front deck while taking in the peaceful setting. Additional

Key facts

  • Front deck
  • Metal roof
  • Wood stove

Tags

RUSTIC CABINWOOD STOVEEXPANSIVE LOFTFRONT DECKMETAL ROOFPRIVATE WELL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or conventional

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport (covered, 1 covered space); Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Electric, propane, and wood energy sources; Individual private well (private water); Septic tank; Electric water heater located in primary bathroom closet; Power provided by Chelan County PUD; Starlink (cable) connected; Internet via Starlink or HughesNet
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story; Main level entry; Built on lot; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Log construction; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built year not specified
  • Exterior features: Log exterior; Deck; Outbuildings; Wooded setting; Paved access; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (1 on main level, 1 on upper level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with tub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Stove/free-standing heating; Cooling present
  • Interior features: Dining room; Fireplace; Loft; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet; Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($473/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (18.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $221k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 1.4% in Entiat — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#350 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Entiat School District (rural): math 40% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #148 of 291 in WA (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Paul Rumburg Elementary (196 students, 74% FRL); Entiat Middle And High School (141 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 51% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 762 units permitted in Chelan County in 2024 (377 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chelan County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $220,779 (18.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.63%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-41,223
Equity at exit
$40,183
10-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-32,921
Equity at exit
$23,301

Cash invested: $75,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98822

Home prices YoY
-12.5%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,208 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,413
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,150/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$464
Net cashflow
$39

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,158
Max offer price $269,500
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $192 -5% $116 +0% $39 +5% $-37 +10% $-113
Rent -10% $-135 -5% $-48 +0% $39 +5% $127 +10% $214
Rate -1.0pp $175 -0.5pp $108 base $39 +0.5pp $-30 +1.0pp $-101

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,375
Closing costs
$8,085
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $269,500 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $269,500 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $269,500 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-17
    listed $269,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,150 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,641 · $220/mo
Expected delta
+$491/yr (+$41/mo · 22.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 13 d/yr ≥88°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 28 unhealthy d/yr today · 28 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,493
− Mortgage interest
−$15,096
− Property taxes
−$2,150
− Insurance
−$1,348
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,119
− Management
−$2,119
− Depreciation
−$7,840
Taxable loss
−$4,179
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,003
After-tax cash flow
$1,476/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Entiat School District
NCES district ID
5302550
Math proficiency
40% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 15.00%
Median HH income
$48,380
Composite
44.61/100
National rank
#6027
State rank
#148 of 291 in WA

Livability — Entiat

Score
65/100
State rank
#350
US rank
#13329

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime D- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,187

Population outlook (Chelan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,630 people
By 2030
84,312 · +3.3%
By 2040
88,619 · +8.6%
By 2050
91,915 · +12.6%
By 2075
99,409 · +21.8%
By 2100
100,032 · +22.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chelan

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.5) · D 43.9% · R 53.4% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+2.5pp toward D · 2008: -12.0pp · 2024: -9.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.5 2020: R+7.8 2016: R+15.7 2012: R+16.9 2008: R+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.35%
Current HPI
262.2411
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $269,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+10.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,150 · +31.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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