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2702 31st St SW
F Composite 34.19
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.0/30.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.7/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0
  • DSCR +1.2/10.0

$325,000

2702 31st St SW · Lehigh Acres, FL 33976
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,521 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 2022 0.25 ac lot Est $294k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover this newer 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home offering 1,521 sq ft of modern living space. The open-concept layout creates a bright and inviting atmosphere, with spacious living and dining areas that flow seamlessly into the kitchen. The primary suite features a private bathroom and generous closet space, while the additional bedrooms provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Outside, enjoy a nicely sized yard with room to relax or personalize. Located in a quiet, well-kept neighborhood, this move-in ready home is easy to show and ready for its next owner.

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2022

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed
  • HOA & community: Non-gated community; No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 covered spaces
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Well water; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-story; Resale property; Shingle roof
  • Construction: Block, concrete, and stucco construction; Built with a foundation consistent with block/concrete construction
  • Exterior features: Patio; Rectangular lot; Lot exposures to the northwest; Faces southeast; Well water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Living/dining room; Pantry; Shower only; Separate shower; Split bedroom layout; Single-hung windows; Unfurnished

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-479 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (26.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (33.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $215k (33.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 786 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $215,364 (33.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
4.52%
Cash-on-cash
-6.32%
DSCR
0.72
GRM
12.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$293,553
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2906 29th St SW 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,538 (+1%) 2mo $335,000 $218 79
2515 29th St SW 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,630 (+7%) 1mo $315,000 $193 77
20531 Hazelnut Ct S 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,564 (+3%) 1mo $202,000 $129 72
20529 Hazelnut Ct S 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,564 (+3%) 1mo $202,000 $129 72
2607 24th St SW 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,543 (+1%) 9mo $278,000 $180 71
20589 Hazelnut Ct S 0.42mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,564 (+3%) 4mo $212,000 $136 67
2600 38th St SW 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,629 (+7%) 0mo $350,000 $215 65
20611 Hazelnut Ct 0.45mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,564 (+3%) 7mo $212,000 $136 64
117 Paxton St 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,421 (-7%) 2mo $275,000 $194 56
3008 23rd St SW 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,637 (+8%) 4mo $299,900 $183 51
2922 22nd St SW 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,426 (-6%) 9mo $329,900 $231 49
2916 21st St SW 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,426 (-6%) 7mo $298,990 $210 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$140,166
Equity at exit
$292,786
10-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
5.68×
Total profit
$425,450
Equity at exit
$631,404

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33976

Home prices YoY
6.8%
Rents YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
786
Price-to-rent
12.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,154 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$341 /mo · $4,089/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$452
Net cashflow
$-479

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,760
Max offer price $240,354
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-295 -5% $-387 +0% $-479 +5% $-571 +10% $-663
Rent -10% $-649 -5% $-564 +0% $-479 +5% $-394 +10% $-309
Rate -1.0pp $-315 -0.5pp $-397 base $-479 +0.5pp $-563 +1.0pp $-649

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2612 31st St Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1389 $1,799 $1.30 16d 1 0.10mi
2612 31st St Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1365 $1,799 $1.32 14d 1 0.10mi
2710 28th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1742 $2,450 $1.41 24d 1 0.17mi
2708 27th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1698 $2,280 $1.34 3d 1 0.22mi
2811 25th St SW Unit NA Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,990 $1.39 24d 1 0.37mi
20517 Hazelnut Ct S Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1564 $2,050 $1.31 24d 1 0.39mi
20559 Hazelnut Ct S Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1564 $1,750 $1.12 24d 1 0.41mi
2602 24th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1358 $1,800 $1.33 3d 1 0.44mi
20483 Copperhead Dr Unit 20483 Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 3.0 1849 $2,300 $1.24 11d 1 0.50mi
20673 Hazelnut Ct Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1564 $2,099 $1.34 24d 1 0.50mi
20555 Copperhead Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 3.0 2032 $2,490 $1.23 3d 1 0.51mi
20699 Hazelnut Ct Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1564 $2,351 $1.50 24d 1 0.53mi
20550 Copperhead Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 3.0 2002 $3,500 $1.75 24d 1 0.54mi
2914 24th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1537 $2,250 $1.46 24d 1 0.57mi
3001 37th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1235 $1,705 $1.38 24d 1 0.58mi
18451 Copperhead Dr #522 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $1,895 $1.69 24d 1 0.59mi
2701 20th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 2019 $1,900 $0.94 20d 1 0.62mi
3008 25th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1565 $1,711 $1.09 22d 1 0.62mi
2805 20th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1151 $1,699 $1.48 3d 1 0.62mi
3008 23rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1640 $2,350 $1.43 24d 1 0.68mi
18461 Copperhead Dr #436 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $3,495 $3.03 24d 1 0.76mi
18461 Copperhead Dr #431 Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $3,995 $3.07 24d 1 0.76mi
18461 Copperhead Dr #421 Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $1,895 $1.46 24d 1 0.76mi
3012 40th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1427 $1,950 $1.37 24d 1 0.82mi
2916 42nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1399 $1,930 $1.38 2d 1 0.85mi
2916 42nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1399 $1,960 $1.40 3d 1 0.85mi
325 Paulcrest Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1619 $2,300 $1.42 24d 1 0.86mi
3201 29th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1833 $1,950 $1.06 3d 1 0.88mi
3102 39th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1097 $1,630 $1.49 22d 1 0.88mi
3201 28th St Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1389 $2,000 $1.44 3d 1 0.88mi
813 Alabama Rd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,495 $1.25 24d 1 0.90mi
3114 39th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1493 $2,100 $1.41 3d 1 0.95mi
3114 39th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1493 $2,100 $1.41 16d 1 0.95mi
3203 24th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1498 $2,300 $1.54 22d 1 0.96mi
3201 23rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1324 $1,845 $1.39 22d 1 0.97mi
749 Alabama Rd S Unit 749 Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1275 $1,800 $1.41 2d 1 0.97mi
9099 Leatherwood Loop Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1564 $2,400 $1.53 24d 1 0.98mi
18411 Copperhead Dr #346 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1061 $1,695 $1.60 22d 1 0.98mi
3202 21st St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,920 $1.75 3d 1 0.99mi
18421 Copperhead Dr #222 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $1,700 $1.47 24d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $325,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $325,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $325,000 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $325,000 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $325,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $325,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $325,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $325,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $325,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $325,000 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $325,000 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $325,000 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-05-22
    listed $325,000 Active
  14. 2022-02-28
    soldstatus $298,000
  15. 2020-12-28
    soldstatus $8,000
  16. 2004-07-08
    soldstatus $14,200
  17. 2004-05-03
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,089 · $341/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,089 · $341/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,844
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$4,089
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,067
− Management
−$2,067
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable loss
−$11,665
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,800
After-tax cash flow
$-2,950/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
20,277
Household income
$72,679
Rent vs Own
28.2% rent · 71.8% own
Severe rent burden
574.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% Two or more races 30% White 24% Black 20% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 18% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
35% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
46% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.77%
Current HPI
340.4255
Rent YoY
▼ -1.54%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1525.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $325,000 FORTMLS
  • 2022-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $298,000 Public Records
  • 2020-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
  • 2004-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $14,200 Public Records
  • 2004-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+44.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,089 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…