260 Hinman Rd · Pulaski, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- Appreciation +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover your own private retreat on 2.17 acres! This 2019 home is tucked away for peace and seclusion, yet only minutes away from the town of Pulaski and Salmon River. A 30' x 30/ pole barn adds incredible space for storage, hobbies, or a workshop. Move in ready and full of potential, this hidden gem is waiting to be yours! New Furnace & Floors in the living area. ..
Key facts
- 30 x 30 pole barn
- 2.17 acre lot
- Built 2020
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-141/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (1.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (13.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $129k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.4% in Pulaski — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#302 in NY, #4,860 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Pulaski Central School District (rural): math 44% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #377 of 590 in NY (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
- Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.34%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.13% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $62,345
- Equity at exit
- $115,326
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.32×
- Total profit
- $181,536
- Equity at exit
- $230,238
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13142
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,293 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$184 /mo · $2,207/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $-12
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-02-11status Pending
-
2026-01-22historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-10-03$150,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,207 · $184/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,371 · $198/mo
- Expected delta
- +$164/yr (+$14/mo · 7.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,513
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,207
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,241
- − Management
- −$1,241
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$2,692
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$646
- After-tax cash flow
- $505/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pulaski Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3623880
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▲ 13.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,689
- Composite
- 43.06/100
- National rank
- #3095
- State rank
- #377 of 590 in NY
Livability — Pulaski
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #302
- US rank
- #4860
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 6,568
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,568
Population outlook (Oswego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 114,465 people
- By 2030
- 109,968 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 99,205 · -13.3%
- By 2050
- 87,979 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 65,100 · -43.1%
- By 2100
- 47,117 · -58.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oswego
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.2 2020: R+20.2 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.13%
- Current HPI
- 294.1918
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-11 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-01-22 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2025-10-03 Listed $150,000 CNYIS
Property tax history
+29.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,207 · +16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…