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822 E North Ave
D Composite 42.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.4/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$277,499

822 E North Ave · Baltimore, MD 21202
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,695 sqft · Townhouse · 50 Days on market
Built 1920 1,306 sqft lot $164/sqft · at area comps Est $283k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 822 E. North Ave. , a beautifully reimagined home in the heart of Baltimore. This stunning 5-bedroom, 3-bath renovation blends modern style with everyday comfort. Just minutes from Baltimore's top attractions and a quick trip to Penn Station, this location delivers both convenience and lifestyle. Step inside to an open, airy layout designed for entertaining and effortless living. Enjoy sleek stainless steel appliances and a sizable fenced-in backyard perfect for gatherings, relaxing, or letting the kids run free. Retreat to the dream-worthy primary suite featuring a spa-inspired bathroom you'll never want to leave. With five bedrooms, there's room for everyone, whether you need space for guests, a home office, or both. Completely renovated from top to bottom with all-new systems, this home is grant eligible and priced to allow the next homeowner to step into instant value and potential equity.

Key facts

  • Built 1920
  • Listed 49 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $277k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (7.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $257k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 134 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,574/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 1863% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($269k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $277k implies a 455% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $257,412 (7.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.79%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$282,843
List price
$277,499
Delta
-1.89%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
422 E Lanvale St 0.26mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,566 (-8%) 1mo $280,000 $179 70
342 E Federal St 0.36mi 5/4.0 1,800 (+6%) 8mo $329,500 $183 62
418 E Lanvale St 0.26mi 4/3.5 (-1) 1,500 (-12%) 6mo $318,000 $212 56
1703 Crystal Ave 0.74mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,730 (+2%) 9mo $240,000 $139 50
2304 Guilford Ave 0.44mi 5/2.0 1,900 (+12%) 9mo $305,000 $161 48
1106 E Biddle St 0.57mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (-8%) 7mo $59,000 $38 46
1438 N Broadway 0.68mi 4/3.5 (-1) 1,820 (+7%) 5mo $289,900 $159 45
1517 E Lanvale St 0.51mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,900 (+12%) 5mo $142,000 $75 41
2612 Guilford Ave 0.67mi 5/2.0 1,896 (+12%) 6mo $330,000 $174 40
1743 E Federal St 0.75mi 6/4.0 (+1) 1,900 (+12%) 2mo $242,500 $128 34
1024 N Central Ave 0.71mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,451 (-14%) 1mo $204,000 $141 33
427 E 28th St 0.73mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,900 (+12%) 9mo $300,000 $158 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.2%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-43,647
Equity at exit
$41,376
10-year hold
IRR
-12.8%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-52,183
Equity at exit
$23,993

Cash invested: $77,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21202

Home prices YoY
-8.0%
Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,574 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,455
Tax est. 1.5%
$347 /mo · $4,162/yr
Insurance
$116
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$541
Net cashflow
$116

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,428
Max offer price $277,499
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,375
Closing costs
$8,325
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
719 E 20th St Baltimore, MD 5.0 3.5 2060 $3,000 $1.46 23d 1 0.10mi
719 E 20th St Baltimore, MD 5.0 3.0 2060 $2,400 $1.17 2d 1 0.10mi
1333 E North Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1860 $2,200 $1.18 23d 1 0.33mi
1511 E Lafayette Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.5 1988 $2,650 $1.33 4d 1 0.47mi
312 E 25th St Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.5 1960 $2,800 $1.43 43d 1 0.55mi
1200 N Eden St Baltimore, MD 5.0 4.5 1208 $1,400 $1.16 4d 1 0.63mi
7 W 24th St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 5.0 2.5 1443 $2,395 $1.66 20d 1 0.68mi
1032 Valley St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1900 $2,150 $1.13 4d 1 0.68mi
1814 E Lafayette Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1200 $1,995 $1.66 23d 1 0.73mi
420 E 28th St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 5.0 2.5 1600 $2,600 $1.62 4d 1 0.75mi
1607 E Biddle St Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.5 2160 $2,400 $1.11 23d 1 0.77mi
1317 E Eager St Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1400 $1,900 $1.36 21d 1 0.80mi
2641 N Howard St Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.5 1344 $2,800 $2.08 23d 1 0.93mi
1716 Lantern Mews Baltimore, MD 4.0 5.0 2016 $2,700 $1.34 43d 1 0.93mi
3010 Guilford Ave Baltimore, MD 5.0 2.5 2174 $3,980 $1.83 10d 1 0.98mi
624 Stirling St Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 1812 $2,450 $1.35 43d 1 1.02mi
1418 E Monument St Baltimore, MD 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1265 $1,920 $1.52 14d 5 1.02mi
3222 Ellerslie Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1550 $1,950 $1.26 43d 1 1.09mi
348 E University Pkwy Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1809 $2,400 $1.33 43d 1 1.20mi
305 W 31st St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1500 $2,499 $1.67 43d 1 1.26mi
3421 University Pl Baltimore, MD 5.0 2.0 1960 $3,500 $1.79 23d 1 1.29mi
2045 E 31st St Baltimore, MD 5.0 3.0 2200 $895 $0.41 23d 1 1.44mi
1628 McCulloh St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 2000 $2,000 $1.00 4d 1 1.45mi
2040 Orleans St Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1974 $2,100 $1.06 14d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $277,499 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $277,499 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $277,499 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $277,499 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $277,499 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $279,999 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $279,999 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $279,999 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $279,999 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $279,999 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $279,999 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $279,999 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $279,999 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-04-30
    listed $290,000 Active 917-char remark
    Show marketing remark (917 chars)

    Welcome to 822 E. North Ave. , a beautifully reimagined home in the heart of Baltimore. This stunning 5-bedroom, 3-bath renovation blends modern style with everyday comfort. Just minutes from Baltimore's top attractions and a quick trip to Penn Station, this location delivers both convenience and lifestyle. Step inside to an open, airy layout designed for entertaining and effortless living. Enjoy sleek stainless steel appliances and a sizable fenced-in backyard perfect for gatherings, relaxing, or letting the kids run free. Retreat to the dream-worthy primary suite featuring a spa-inspired bathroom you'll never want to leave. With five bedrooms, there's room for everyone, whether you need space for guests, a home office, or both. Completely renovated from top to bottom with all-new systems, this home is grant eligible and priced to allow the next homeowner to step into instant value and potential equity.

  15. 2026-04-20
    historical $290,000 917-char remark
    Show marketing remark (917 chars)

    Welcome to 822 E. North Ave. , a beautifully reimagined home in the heart of Baltimore. This stunning 5-bedroom, 3-bath renovation blends modern style with everyday comfort. Just minutes from Baltimore's top attractions and a quick trip to Penn Station, this location delivers both convenience and lifestyle. Step inside to an open, airy layout designed for entertaining and effortless living. Enjoy sleek stainless steel appliances and a sizable fenced-in backyard perfect for gatherings, relaxing, or letting the kids run free. Retreat to the dream-worthy primary suite featuring a spa-inspired bathroom you'll never want to leave. With five bedrooms, there's room for everyone, whether you need space for guests, a home office, or both. Completely renovated from top to bottom with all-new systems, this home is grant eligible and priced to allow the next homeowner to step into instant value and potential equity.

  16. 2025-02-10
    soldstatus $50,000
  17. 2024-12-20
    soldstatus $50,000 Closed 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    ONLINE AUCTION: Bidding begins 11/28 @ 10:00 am, bidding ends 12/2 @ 12:20 pm. List price is the suggested starting bid. Deposit: $5,000. 3 Story Townhouse located in the East Baltimore Midway area. JUST MINUTES to Clifton Park Golf Course. Easy access to major traffic artery N Calvert St. Property is in need of renovations.

  18. 2024-11-11
    status Pending 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    ONLINE AUCTION: Bidding begins 11/28 @ 10:00 am, bidding ends 12/2 @ 12:20 pm. List price is the suggested starting bid. Deposit: $5,000. 3 Story Townhouse located in the East Baltimore Midway area. JUST MINUTES to Clifton Park Golf Course. Easy access to major traffic artery N Calvert St. Property is in need of renovations.

  19. 2024-10-10
    price $25,000 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    ONLINE AUCTION: Bidding begins 11/28 @ 10:00 am, bidding ends 12/2 @ 12:20 pm. List price is the suggested starting bid. Deposit: $5,000. 3 Story Townhouse located in the East Baltimore Midway area. JUST MINUTES to Clifton Park Golf Course. Easy access to major traffic artery N Calvert St. Property is in need of renovations.

  20. 2024-10-10
    status Active 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    ONLINE AUCTION: Bidding begins 11/28 @ 10:00 am, bidding ends 12/2 @ 12:20 pm. List price is the suggested starting bid. Deposit: $5,000. 3 Story Townhouse located in the East Baltimore Midway area. JUST MINUTES to Clifton Park Golf Course. Easy access to major traffic artery N Calvert St. Property is in need of renovations.

  21. 2024-09-30
    historical 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    ONLINE AUCTION: Bidding begins 11/28 @ 10:00 am, bidding ends 12/2 @ 12:20 pm. List price is the suggested starting bid. Deposit: $5,000. 3 Story Townhouse located in the East Baltimore Midway area. JUST MINUTES to Clifton Park Golf Course. Easy access to major traffic artery N Calvert St. Property is in need of renovations.

  22. 2024-07-25
    listed $30,000 Active 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    ONLINE AUCTION: Bidding begins 11/28 @ 10:00 am, bidding ends 12/2 @ 12:20 pm. List price is the suggested starting bid. Deposit: $5,000. 3 Story Townhouse located in the East Baltimore Midway area. JUST MINUTES to Clifton Park Golf Course. Easy access to major traffic artery N Calvert St. Property is in need of renovations.

  23. 1981-04-30
    soldstatus $10,600

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,889
− Mortgage interest
−$15,544
− Property taxes
−$4,162
− Insurance
−$1,387
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,471
− Management
−$2,471
− Depreciation
−$8,073
Taxable loss
−$3,220
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$773
After-tax cash flow
$2,163/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
20,683
Household income
$59,377
Rent vs Own
78.6% rent · 21.4% own
Severe rent burden
1863.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Black 52% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -25.44%
Current HPI
291.3702
Rent YoY
▲ 0.59%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2635.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $290,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-20 Coming Soon $290,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2024-12-20 Sold (MLS) $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-11 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-10-10 Price Changed $25,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-10-10 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-09-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-07-25 Listed $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1981-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $10,600 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $446 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…