199 Sandusky St · Plymouth, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sitting on 1.29 acres, this is a great opportunity to own your next investment property or place to call home. This 3-bedroom 1-bath home is currently rented and is conveniently located near restaurants and shopping.
Key facts
- Near shopping
- Near restaurants
- Investment property
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($381/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (13.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $104k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#368 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Plymouth-Shiloh Local (rural): math 52% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #391 of 656 in OH (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Huron County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Huron County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $120k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.13%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $155,786
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -22.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126 Sandusky St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,712 (-1%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $93 | 72 |
| 60 Portner St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,680 (-3%) | 2mo | $70,000 | $42 | 70 |
| 100 Plymouth St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,774 (+3%) | 23mo | $182,000 | $103 | 45 |
| 111 W Plymouth East Rd West Rd | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,488 (-14%) | 14mo | $252,000 | $169 | 40 |
| 197 Riggs St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 1,508 (-13%) | 23mo | $138,216 | $92 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-17,435
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-12,621
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44865
- Home prices YoY
- -15.0%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,037 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,299/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $32
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $120,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-03-22$120,000 Active 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Sitting on 1.29 acres, this is a great opportunity to own your next investment property or place to call home. This 3-bedroom 1-bath home is currently rented and is conveniently located near restaurants and shopping.
-
2024-10-29price $135,000
-
2024-09-03$140,000 Active
-
2021-08-27soldstatus $66,000
-
2021-08-26soldstatus $1,095,000
-
2021-04-05$64,000
-
2019-05-01soldstatus $45,000
-
2016-04-06soldstatus $195,000
-
2003-04-25soldstatus $150,000
-
1994-03-08soldstatus $85,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,299 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,585 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- +$287/yr (+$24/mo · 22.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,444
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,299
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$996
- − Management
- −$996
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$1,658
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$398
- After-tax cash flow
- $779/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Plymouth-Shiloh Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904946
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,546
- Composite
- 45.54/100
- National rank
- #2603
- State rank
- #391 of 656 in OH
Livability — Plymouth
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #368
- US rank
- #5944
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Plymouth, OH
- County
- Richland · 128,966 people
- Metro
- Mansfield, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,123
- Household income
- $73,173
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5.4
Population outlook (Huron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,572 people
- By 2030
- 53,514 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 48,770 · -12.2%
- By 2050
- 43,611 · -21.5%
- By 2075
- 32,349 · -41.8%
- By 2100
- 21,849 · -60.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Scandinavian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Huron
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.6% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.9pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+3.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.90%
- Current HPI
- 214.3063
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+41.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-22 Listed $120,000 CBRMLS
- 2024-10-29 Price Changed $135,000 MLSNOW
- 2024-09-03 Listed $140,000 MLSNOW
- 2021-08-27 Sold (MLS) $66,000 MARMLS
- 2021-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $1,095,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-05 Listed $64,000 MARMLS
- 2019-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2016-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
- 2003-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 1994-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,299 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…