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2548 Peck Rd #39
B Composite 71.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

2548 Peck Rd #39 · South Monrovia Island, CA 91016
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 746 sqft · Manufactured · 127 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition $241/sqft · 194% above area ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully constructed, newer manufactured home located in Walnut Grove Mobile Home Park. This thoughtfully designed 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers approximately 746 square feet of modern living space with an efficient and open layout. The interior features high ceilings, recessed lighting, and durable laminate flooring throughout the main living areas. The bright living room flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating an open-concept feel that is ideal for everyday living. The kitchen is equipped with quartz-style countertops, shaker cabinetry in a contemporary Clover finish, a subway tile backsplash, and stainless steel appliances, including a gas range, dishwasher, and refrigerator, along with a deep farmhouse-style sink. Both bedrooms are comfortably sized and positioned toward the rear of the home for added privacy. The bathroom features a full tub/shower combination with modern fixtures, a spacious vanity, and ample storage space. Indoor laundry hookups are conveniently located within the home. Additional features include dual-pane windows, energy-efficient construction, central heating, and modern finishes throughout the property. Outside, the home offers a covered entry, private driveway parking, and low-maintenance landscaping. Walnut Grove Mobile Home Park is conveniently situated near shopping, dining, schools, and major commuter routes, providing accessibility while maintaining a neighborhood atmosphere. This home presents an excellent opportunity for affordable homeownership, along with the benefits of a newly built residence.

Key facts

  • Shaker cabinetry
  • Open-concept feel
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

WALNUT GROVE MOBILE HOME PARKOPEN-CONCEPT FEELQUARTZ-STYLE COUNTERTOPSSHAKER CABINETRYSUBWAY TILE BACKSPLASHSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $828 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#521 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A, commute A-; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Monrovia Unified (suburban): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #182 of 517 in CA (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $158,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
11.82%
Cash-on-cash
19.73%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$61,224
List price
$179,900
Delta
193.84%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$24,594
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$93,444
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 91016

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,622 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax est. 1.5%
$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$551
Net cashflow
$828

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,574
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2425 S Myrtle Ave Unit A Monrovia, CA 1.0 1.0 500 $1,980 $3.96 24d 1 0.22mi
226 E Atara St Monrovia, CA 1.0 1.0 650 $2,135 $3.28 2d 1 0.52mi
2955 Mayflower Ave Arcadia, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 650 $2,100 $3.23 15d 2 0.62mi
1960 Peck Rd Unit 4 Monrovia, CA 1.0 1.0 500 $1,895 $3.79 44d 1 0.74mi
225 W Duarte Rd Monrovia, CA 2.0 1.0–3.0 1537 $8,185 $5.32 1d 109 1.00mi
425 Danimere Ave Arcadia, CA 2.0 2.0 750 $2,900 $3.87 44d 1 1.01mi
1611 S 4th Ave Arcadia, CA 1.0 1.0 450 $2,500 $5.56 7d 1 1.11mi
1625 S Magnolia Ave Monrovia, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1094 $3,996 $3.65 1d 48 1.12mi
911 Genoa St Unit A Monrovia, CA 1.0 1.0 735 $2,150 $2.93 24d 1 1.35mi
1214 S Primrose Ave Monrovia, CA 1.0 1.0 650 $2,300 $3.54 44d 1 1.43mi
1219 S Alta Vista Ave Monrovia, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 850 $2,600 $3.06 1d 4 1.45mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 127 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 126 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 125 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 124 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,900 Active 122 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,900 Active 121 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,900 Active 118 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,900 Active 117 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $179,900 Active 116 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $179,900 Active 113 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,900 Active 112 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,900 Active 111 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,900 Active 110 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Active 109 DOM
  15. 2026-05-07
    price $179,900 1586-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1586 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully constructed, newer manufactured home located in Walnut Grove Mobile Home Park. This thoughtfully designed 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers approximately 746 square feet of modern living space with an efficient and open layout. The interior features high ceilings, recessed lighting, and durable laminate flooring throughout the main living areas. The bright living room flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating an open-concept feel that is ideal for everyday living. The kitchen is equipped with quartz-style countertops, shaker cabinetry in a contemporary Clover finish, a subway tile backsplash, and stainless steel appliances, including a gas range, dishwasher, and refrigerator, along with a deep farmhouse-style sink. Both bedrooms are comfortably sized and positioned toward the rear of the home for added privacy. The bathroom features a full tub/shower combination with modern fixtures, a spacious vanity, and ample storage space. Indoor laundry hookups are conveniently located within the home. Additional features include dual-pane windows, energy-efficient construction, central heating, and modern finishes throughout the property. Outside, the home offers a covered entry, private driveway parking, and low-maintenance landscaping. Walnut Grove Mobile Home Park is conveniently situated near shopping, dining, schools, and major commuter routes, providing accessibility while maintaining a neighborhood atmosphere. This home presents an excellent opportunity for affordable homeownership, along with the benefits of a newly built residence.

  16. 2026-02-11
    listed $184,900 Active 1586-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1586 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully constructed, newer manufactured home located in Walnut Grove Mobile Home Park. This thoughtfully designed 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers approximately 746 square feet of modern living space with an efficient and open layout. The interior features high ceilings, recessed lighting, and durable laminate flooring throughout the main living areas. The bright living room flows seamlessly into the kitchen, creating an open-concept feel that is ideal for everyday living. The kitchen is equipped with quartz-style countertops, shaker cabinetry in a contemporary Clover finish, a subway tile backsplash, and stainless steel appliances, including a gas range, dishwasher, and refrigerator, along with a deep farmhouse-style sink. Both bedrooms are comfortably sized and positioned toward the rear of the home for added privacy. The bathroom features a full tub/shower combination with modern fixtures, a spacious vanity, and ample storage space. Indoor laundry hookups are conveniently located within the home. Additional features include dual-pane windows, energy-efficient construction, central heating, and modern finishes throughout the property. Outside, the home offers a covered entry, private driveway parking, and low-maintenance landscaping. Walnut Grove Mobile Home Park is conveniently situated near shopping, dining, schools, and major commuter routes, providing accessibility while maintaining a neighborhood atmosphere. This home presents an excellent opportunity for affordable homeownership, along with the benefits of a newly built residence.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,466
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$2,698
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,517
− Management
−$2,517
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable income
$7,523
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,805
After-tax cash flow
$8,134/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This newer manufactured home in Walnut Grove Mobile Home Park is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good kitchen, good bathroom, and good exterior. The home is move-in ready with minimal repairs and maintenance needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Replace blinds with energy-efficient windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetic
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Replace blinds with energy-efficient windows — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetic
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monrovia Unified
NCES district ID
0625320
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$69,032
Composite
39.18/100
National rank
#4022
State rank
#182 of 517 in CA

Livability — South Monrovia Island

Score
61/100
State rank
#521
US rank
#17543

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Monrovia Island, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
41,140
Household income
$96,540
Rent vs Own
52.1% rent · 47.9% own
Severe rent burden
2134.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 43% White 30% Two or more races 21% Asian 16% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 33% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
58% English-only · Spanish 27% Chinese 7% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1140.27%
Current HPI
390.9169
Rent YoY
▲ 3.36%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $179,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $184,900 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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