1704 Sylvan Ave · Harrison, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
As is. Will need a complete remodel to make it your dream home. Garage slab and foundation is present and ready to be built as well. Accepting as is price or best offer
Key facts
- Built 1910
- Listed 24 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1910
- Construction: Finished living area approximately 1440
- Exterior features: Located in the Sylvan Park neighborhood
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Highlands SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #376 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $75k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.98%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $203,040
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1602 Sylvan Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,386 (-4%) | 12mo | $186,000 | $134 | 75 |
| 1521 Melrose Ave | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,477 (+3%) | 7mo | $231,500 | $157 | 72 |
| 1411 Springhill Rd | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,406 (-2%) | 8mo | $163,000 | $116 | 71 |
| 1532 Neely St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,232 (-14%) | 0mo | $169,900 | $138 | 64 |
| 1118 Lane Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,441 (+0%) | 3mo | $221,000 | $153 | 59 |
| 2318 Cottage Ave | 0.41mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,392 (-3%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $119 | 58 |
| 1318 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,243 (-14%) | 0mo | $149,000 | $120 | 56 |
| 2606 Monroe St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,353 (-6%) | 9mo | $106,000 | $78 | 51 |
| 800 Jefferson Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,326 (-8%) | 10mo | $187,000 | $141 | 50 |
| 1103 Dallas Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,310 (-9%) | 0mo | $229,000 | $175 | 45 |
| 1210 Fairmont Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,228 (-15%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $151 | 44 |
| 307 Mcwilliams Dr | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,298 (-10%) | 10mo | $300,000 | $231 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $12,395
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $42,533
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15065
- Home prices YoY
- -19.3%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,202 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$140 /mo · $1,680/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $385
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1017 Lilac St Natrona Heights, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $900 | $1.03 | 1d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1715 State St Natrona Heights, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1007 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 1d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1210 Minnesota Ave Natrona Heights, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $1,980 | $1.62 | 1d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-26$75,000 Active
-
1979-10-02soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,680 · $140/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,680 · $140/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,419
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,680
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,154
- − Management
- −$1,154
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $3,674
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$882
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,735/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highlands SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211880
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,730
- Composite
- 32.58/100
- National rank
- #5679
- State rank
- #376 of 539 in PA
Livability — Harrison
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Natrona Heights, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,927
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 18% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.64%
- Current HPI
- 252.9355
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+200.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $75,000 FSBO.com
- 1979-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2026): $1,680 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…