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4126 Minnesota Ave Triplex
B- Composite 65.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.1/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,999

4126 Minnesota Ave · St. Louis, MO 63118
9 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,350 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 185 Days on market
Built 1927 3,841 sqft lot $77/sqft · at area comps Est $175k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Perfect for your rental portfolio or a homeowner who wants to live on one side and rent out the other unit. Both units feature 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and a shared laundry room in the basement. 2 car parking pad located in the back of the property. Lower unit is occupied with a 6 month lease for $1,080 and the upper unit is vacant. Vacant unit is available to show. Please call Showing Time for the combo code.

Key facts

  • Shared laundry room
  • Occupied unit
  • Parking pad

Tags

SHARED LAUNDRY ROOMPARKING PADOCCUPIED UNITVACANT UNIT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $543/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 240 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,411/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1495% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $125k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $158,399 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.90%
Cap rate
17.16%
Cash-on-cash
38.81%
DSCR
2.73
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$174,570
List price
$179,999
Delta
3.11%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2920 Miami St 0.66mi 8/2.0 (-1) 2,346 (-0%) 20mo $155,000 $66 47
3744 Michigan Ave 0.46mi 8/4.0 (-1) 2,160 (-8%) 8mo $140,000 $65 46
3530 Michigan Ave 0.73mi 8/4.0 (-1) 2,406 (+2%) 5mo $139,900 $58 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.0%
Equity multiple
2.61×
Total profit
$81,191
Equity at exit
$26,838
10-year hold
IRR
44.5%
Equity multiple
5.61×
Total profit
$232,318
Equity at exit
$15,563

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63118

Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
240
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,411 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $550/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$716
Net cashflow
$1,630

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,348
Max offer price $179,999
Occupancy floor 47%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $3,411

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,999 Active 185 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,999 Active 184 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,999 Active 183 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,999 Active 182 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $179,999 Active 180 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $179,999 Active 176 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,999 Active 175 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,999 Active 174 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $179,999 Active 171 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,999 Active 170 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,999 Active 169 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,999 Active 168 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,999 Active 167 DOM
  14. 2026-05-18
    price $179,999 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Perfect for your rental portfolio or a homeowner who wants to live on one side and rent out the other unit. Both units feature 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and a shared laundry room in the basement. 2 car parking pad located in the back of the property. Lower unit is occupied with a 6 month lease for $1,080 and the upper unit is vacant. Vacant unit is available to show. Please call Showing Time for the combo code.

  15. 2026-03-11
    status Active 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Perfect for your rental portfolio or a homeowner who wants to live on one side and rent out the other unit. Both units feature 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and a shared laundry room in the basement. 2 car parking pad located in the back of the property. Lower unit is occupied with a 6 month lease for $1,080 and the upper unit is vacant. Vacant unit is available to show. Please call Showing Time for the combo code.

  16. 2026-02-12
    historical Active Under Contract 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Perfect for your rental portfolio or a homeowner who wants to live on one side and rent out the other unit. Both units feature 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and a shared laundry room in the basement. 2 car parking pad located in the back of the property. Lower unit is occupied with a 6 month lease for $1,080 and the upper unit is vacant. Vacant unit is available to show. Please call Showing Time for the combo code.

  17. 2025-12-15
    listed $199,999 Active 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Perfect for your rental portfolio or a homeowner who wants to live on one side and rent out the other unit. Both units feature 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and a shared laundry room in the basement. 2 car parking pad located in the back of the property. Lower unit is occupied with a 6 month lease for $1,080 and the upper unit is vacant. Vacant unit is available to show. Please call Showing Time for the combo code.

  18. 2021-03-02
    soldstatus $125,000
  19. 2021-01-29
    soldstatus $100,000
  20. 2019-12-18
    soldstatus Closed 848-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    Property is being sold SIGHT UNSEEN. No showings. Seller will make no repairs or provide any inspections or warranties. For faster response time submit Special Sales Contract with proof of funds or preapproval and copy of earnest money check payable to Listing agent Broker. Seller response may be a week or more but usually less, please allow for this in the contract acceptance date. Earnest money should be 3% or $1000 whichever is greater. Addendums and Escrow information will be issued with an accepted offer. Upon acceptance, addendums and cashier’s check or money order for earnest money, payable to sellers’ escrow company, must be delivered to listing agents office within 24 hours. If there are multiple offers, seller can accept or counter any offer they choose, regardless of the order received, presented or countered

  21. 2019-11-25
    status Pending 848-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    Property is being sold SIGHT UNSEEN. No showings. Seller will make no repairs or provide any inspections or warranties. For faster response time submit Special Sales Contract with proof of funds or preapproval and copy of earnest money check payable to Listing agent Broker. Seller response may be a week or more but usually less, please allow for this in the contract acceptance date. Earnest money should be 3% or $1000 whichever is greater. Addendums and Escrow information will be issued with an accepted offer. Upon acceptance, addendums and cashier’s check or money order for earnest money, payable to sellers’ escrow company, must be delivered to listing agents office within 24 hours. If there are multiple offers, seller can accept or counter any offer they choose, regardless of the order received, presented or countered

  22. 2019-10-16
    listed $21,780 Active 848-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    Property is being sold SIGHT UNSEEN. No showings. Seller will make no repairs or provide any inspections or warranties. For faster response time submit Special Sales Contract with proof of funds or preapproval and copy of earnest money check payable to Listing agent Broker. Seller response may be a week or more but usually less, please allow for this in the contract acceptance date. Earnest money should be 3% or $1000 whichever is greater. Addendums and Escrow information will be issued with an accepted offer. Upon acceptance, addendums and cashier’s check or money order for earnest money, payable to sellers’ escrow company, must be delivered to listing agents office within 24 hours. If there are multiple offers, seller can accept or counter any offer they choose, regardless of the order received, presented or countered

  23. 1997-01-21
    soldstatus
  24. 1996-07-10
    soldstatus
  25. 1996-07-08
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$550 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,746 · $145/mo
Expected delta
+$1,196/yr (+$100/mo · 217.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,932
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$550
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,275
− Management
−$3,275
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable income
$17,613
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,227
After-tax cash flow
$15,331/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
25,913
Household income
$57,762
Rent vs Own
56.1% rent · 43.9% own
Severe rent burden
1495.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 41% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -347.51%
Current HPI
171.5963
Rent YoY
▲ 4.89%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+462.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $179,999 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-11 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-12 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $199,999 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2021-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2019-12-18 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-11-25 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-10-16 Listed $21,780 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-01-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-07-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $550 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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