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521 Long Fork Rd
B Composite 72.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Livability +1.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$60,000

521 Long Fork Rd · Henlawson, WV 25547
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 780 sqft · SingleFamily · 36 Days on market
Built 1955 Poor condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Two structures on the property. Approx. .45AC with the two lots.

Key facts

  • Built 1955
  • Listed 36 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; 1 story
  • Construction: Block construction
  • Exterior features: Composition/shingle roof; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 200 x 195 x 192

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: No basement; 4 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($843 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 38/100 on livability (#383 in WV) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Logan County Schools (rural): math 18% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #48 of 55 in WV (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Chapmanville Intermediate School (math 13% / reading 21%, grade F, #363 of 377 statewide, top 97%, 306 students, 0% FRL); Chapmanville Middle School (math 13% / reading 38%, grade F, #75 of 109 statewide, top 73%, 524 students, 0% FRL); Chapmanville Regional High School (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #79 of 110 statewide, top 78%, 721 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (7.0% local appreciation)).
  • Logan County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (7.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $58,200 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
11.31%
Cash-on-cash
17.93%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$32,761
Equity at exit
$41,581
10-year hold
IRR
25.9%
Equity multiple
6.15×
Total profit
$86,538
Equity at exit
$78,988

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25547

Home prices YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$843 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $900/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$177
Net cashflow
$185

Break-even live

Break-even rent $609
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $60,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $60,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $60,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 18 DOM
  17. 2026-05-13
    listed $60,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥99°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,111
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$900
− Insurance
−$1,098
− Repairs & maintenance
−$809
− Management
−$809
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$1,389
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$333
After-tax cash flow
$1,881/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive renovations, including kitchen, bathroom, exterior, and roof repairs. Immediate action is needed to improve the home's condition and increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen cabinets — dated and in poor condition
  • Major kitchen flooring — checkered and worn-out
  • Major bathroom fixtures — outdated and in poor condition
  • Major exterior siding — weathered and boarded-up
  • Major interior walls — peeling paint and cluttered
  • Major roof — visible damage

Value-add opportunities

  • Both kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen would increase both resale and rental value
  • Both exterior siding and paint — renovating the exterior would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value
  • Both bathroom renovation — modernizing the bathroom would increase both resale and rental value
  • Both roof repair — repairing the roof would improve the home's overall condition and increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and in poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen flooring · checkered and worn-out Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · outdated and in poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · weathered and boarded-up Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · peeling paint and cluttered Major $15,000–50,000
roof · visible damage Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items $90,000–300,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen would increase both resale and rental value
  • Both exterior siding and paint — renovating the exterior would improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value
  • Both bathroom renovation — modernizing the bathroom would increase both resale and rental value
  • Both roof repair — repairing the roof would improve the home's overall condition and increase both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Logan County Schools
NCES district ID
5400690
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$36,127
Composite
20.68/100
National rank
#8531
State rank
#48 of 55 in WV

Livability — Henlawson

Score
38/100
State rank
#383
US rank
#27501

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
408
Population (ZIP)
374

Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,218 people
By 2030
27,848 · -7.8%
By 2040
23,262 · -23.0%
By 2050
19,582 · -35.2%
By 2075
12,739 · -57.8%
By 2100
7,787 · -74.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%

Political lean MEDSL · Logan

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.7) · D 16.1% · R 82.8% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-55.9pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -66.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.7 2020: R+63.0 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+10.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.00%
Current HPI
164.5737
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $60,000 KVBOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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