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125 Cottontown Trl
B- Composite 65.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$94,900

125 Cottontown Trl · Leighton, AL 35646
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · Manufactured public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1991 1.96 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nearly 2 acres in a super serene setting. Which, in this price range, is kind of the whole point. The house is exactly what you think it is. Solid, functional, and ready to be painted and loved. Nothing hidden, nothing overdone. Just a good setup with room to make it your own. Featuring a metal roof, with an HVAC installed in 2023, and plenty of space to do whatever you want with it. Sale subject to probate court approval. If you’ve been waiting on something with land that doesn’t try too hard, this is probably your house.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Hvac installed
  • 2 acres

Tags

2 ACRESMETAL ROOFHVAC INSTALLED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#500 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Colbert County (rural): math 13% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #90 of 129 in AL (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Colbert County High School (math 5% / reading 32%, grade F, #184 of 305 statewide, top 61%, 455 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 59% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Colbert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($656 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
  • Colbert County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (5.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $95k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
9.40%
Cash-on-cash
11.10%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.26% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$38,902
Equity at exit
$55,283
10-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
4.89×
Total profit
$103,360
Equity at exit
$96,679

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35646

Home prices YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,022 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $297/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$215
Net cashflow
$246

Break-even live

Break-even rent $711
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-06
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-31
    listed $94,900 Active
  3. 2016-02-01
    listed $69,900
  4. 2014-01-23
    listed $64,900
  5. 2010-09-30
    soldstatus $45,000
  6. 2010-05-19
    listed $47,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$297 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$389 · $32/mo
Expected delta
+$92/yr (+$8/mo · 31.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,270
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$297
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$982
− Management
−$982
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable income
$1,459
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$350
After-tax cash flow
$2,600/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Colbert County
NCES district ID
0100840
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$40,710
Composite
21.48/100
National rank
#8328
State rank
#90 of 129 in AL

Livability — Leighton

Score
52/100
State rank
#500
US rank
#24843

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,005

Population outlook (Colbert County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
54,154 people
By 2030
53,746 · -0.8%
By 2040
52,431 · -3.2%
By 2050
50,303 · -7.1%
By 2075
44,789 · -17.3%
By 2100
36,676 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 29% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Italian 2% Romanian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Colbert

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.4% · R 72.8%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: -20.3pp · 2024: -46.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.4 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+38.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.26%
Current HPI
151.8695
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+98.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Pending SAARMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $94,900 SAARMLS
  • 2016-02-01 Listed $69,900 SAARMLS
  • 2014-01-23 Listed $64,900 SAARMLS
  • 2010-09-30 Sold (MLS) $45,000 SAARMLS
  • 2010-05-19 Listed $47,900 SAARMLS

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $297 · +145.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…