Duplex
812 Bronson St · Watertown, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Excellent investment opportunity in the heart of Watertown! This duplex at 812 Bronson Street features two fully occupied apartments, providing immediate rental income from day one. Both units are currently rented with established tenants, making this a turnkey addition to any investor's portfolio. The property offers separate living spaces with functional layouts, ample parking, and a convenient location close to schools, shopping, restaurants, public transportation, and Fort Drum. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or acquire a stable income-producing property, this duplex presents an outstanding opportunity with strong cash flow potential. Located in a desirable renta
Key facts
- Ample parking
- Convenient location
- 3,510 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two total units with separate gas and electric meters (2 each)
- Financial info: Owner pays grounds care, snow removal, and trash collection; Rent includes gardener, snow removal, and trash collection; Operating expense details: see remarks
Exterior
- Parking: Two or more parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story building; Existing (resale) property
- Construction: Construction details: see remarks
- Exterior features: Rectangular lot; Lot dimensions approximately 45 x 78
Interior
- Flooring: Laminate; Luxury vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Laminate and luxury vinyl flooring; varying floor types throughout; Dirt-floor basement
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $649/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 21.9% vs local median 6.2% in Watertown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#540 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A-, housing A-; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Watertown City School District (urban): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #481 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.0%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 196 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,453/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 1634% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $100k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.67%
- DSCR
- 3.48
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $106,856
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 N Rutland St | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,610 (+14%) | 0mo | $121,600 | $76 | 69 |
| 139 Wyoming Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,452 (+3%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $131 | 61 |
| 314 Central St | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,616 (+15%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $62 | 60 |
| 314 Franklin St | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (+8%) | 6mo | $83,500 | $55 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.84×
- Total profit
- $79,430
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 65.9%
- Equity multiple
- 9.39×
- Total profit
- $234,617
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13601
- Home prices YoY
- -5.6%
- Rents YoY
- 10.0%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,453 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $896/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$515
- Net cashflow
- $1,298
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,452 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,226 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,226 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,453 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1029 Gill St Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $1,950 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 123 State Pl Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 911 State St Unit 3 Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $995 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 927 State St Watertown, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 816 Boyd St Unit 1 Watertown, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,500 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 621 Academy St Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $1,600 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 256 Michigan Ave Watertown, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1435 | $1,253 | $0.87 | 43d | 9 | 0.53mi |
| 328 Clay St Unit 3 Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,650 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 720 Cadwell St Watertown, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $995 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 611 Cooper St Watertown, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,495 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 109 Spring Ave Watertown, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,200 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 351 W Main St Watertown, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 159 Mullin St Unit 2 Watertown, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 836 Leray St Watertown, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1782 | $1,200 | $0.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1815 Olmstead Dr Watertown, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1380 | $1,249 | $0.91 | 43d | 6 | 1.18mi |
| 136 N Meadow St Unit A Watertown, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$99,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $896 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,292 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- +$396/yr (+$33/mo · 44.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,436
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$896
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,355
- − Management
- −$2,355
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $14,828
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,559
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,013/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Watertown City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3630120
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,919
- Composite
- 36.86/100
- National rank
- #4551
- State rank
- #481 of 590 in NY
Livability — Watertown
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #540
- US rank
- #9700
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Watertown, NY
- County
- Jefferson County · 47,417 people
- City population
- 36,839
- Metro
- Watertown-Fort Drum, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,839
- Household income
- $58,791
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1634.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,748 people
- By 2030
- 109,370 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 103,828 · -7.1%
- By 2050
- 98,523 · -11.8%
- By 2075
- 91,422 · -18.2%
- By 2100
- 78,214 · -30.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.6) · D 38.2% · R 61.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: -5.3pp · 2024: -23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.6 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+5.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.86%
- Current HPI
- 316.636
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.96%
- Metro
- Watertown-Fort Drum, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+149.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $99,900 CNYIS
- 2024-01-21 Rental Removed $900 BUILDIUM
- 2023-12-20 Listed for Rent $900 BUILDIUM
- 2021-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 2007-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+18.7%/yrLatest (2025): $896 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…