84 Caddy Dr · Derry, NH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $507 – $941
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$270,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WHAT A CUTE LITTLE HOME THIS WILL BE WITH A LITTLE BIT OF LOVE! 2 Bedroom Manufactured Home with sliders to 3 season room could be additional living space. Washer & Dryer hookups in full bath. New windows. Property has been previously weatherized.
Key facts
- Utility room
- Abundant cabinetry
- Oversized windows
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly park fee of $500; One-time fee of $200; Fees include landscaping, sewer, water, and park fees; Community amenities include a clubhouse and landscaping
Exterior
- Utilities: Private water; Private sewer; 100-amp electrical service with circuit breakers; Internet: unknown
- Home design: Single-wide manufactured home; Single-level; New construction (2025)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Manufactured home construction; Mobile anchored; Park-approved (Ackerman's Retirement Community)
- Exterior features: Country setting on an interior lot; Paved driveway; Located in a private road community
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Propane forced-air heating
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-273 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (17.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (14.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $222k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.3% in Derry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#13 in NH, #1,420 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
- Salem School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #28 of 98 in NH (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,276 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $11k; list at $270k implies a 2355% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.33%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $135,072
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Bell Dr | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (0%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $201 | 88 |
| 51 Bell Dr | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (+11%) | 8mo | $139,900 | $188 | 72 |
| 33 Bell Dr | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 716 (+6%) | 24mo | $120,000 | $168 | 64 |
| 13R Arrow Dr | 0.10mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 770 (+15%) | 10mo | $169,900 | $221 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-61,777
- Equity at exit
- $40,258
- IRR
- -20.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.04×
- Total profit
- $-78,841
- Equity at exit
- $23,345
Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Hampshire
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 03079
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,299 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,416
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $723/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$500
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$483
- Net cashflow
- $-273
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-120 | -5% $-196 | +0% $-273 | +5% $-349 | +10% $-426 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-454 | -5% $-363 | +0% $-273 | +5% $-182 | +10% $-91 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-137 | -0.5pp $-204 | base $-273 | +0.5pp $-343 | +1.0pp $-414 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,500
- Closing costs
- $8,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $500 · $6,000/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $270,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $270,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $270,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $270,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $270,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $270,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $270,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $270,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $270,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $270,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $270,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $270,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02status $270,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-19$270,000 Active
-
2014-01-31soldstatus $11,000 253-char remark
Show marketing remark (253 chars)
WHAT A CUTE LITTLE HOME THIS WILL BE WITH A LITTLE BIT OF LOVE! 2 Bedroom Manufactured Home with sliders to 3 season room could be additional living space. Washer & Dryer hookups in full bath. New windows. Property has been previously weatherized.
-
2013-06-15$15,900 253-char remark
Show marketing remark (253 chars)
WHAT A CUTE LITTLE HOME THIS WILL BE WITH A LITTLE BIT OF LOVE! 2 Bedroom Manufactured Home with sliders to 3 season room could be additional living space. Washer & Dryer hookups in full bath. New windows. Property has been previously weatherized.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $723 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,304 · $275/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,582/yr (+$215/mo · 357.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,584
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,124
- − Property taxes
- −$723
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,207
- − Management
- −$2,207
- − HOA
- −$6,000
- − Depreciation
- −$7,855
- Taxable loss
- −$7,881
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,891
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,381/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem School District
- NCES district ID
- 3306060
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,648
- Composite
- 46.45/100
- National rank
- #2446
- State rank
- #28 of 98 in NH
Livability — Derry
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #1420
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Rockingham County · 137,526 people
- City population
- 34,474
- Metro
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,964
- Household income
- $110,490
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 702.0
Population outlook (Rockingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 316,118 people
- By 2030
- 320,929 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 323,358 · +2.3%
- By 2050
- 314,977 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 297,686 · -5.8%
- By 2100
- 256,363 · -18.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Romanian 4% Russian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockingham
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 50.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -2.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.4 2020: D+2.1 2016: R+5.8 2012: R+4.5 2008: D+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -265.55%
- Current HPI
- 311.547
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.64%
- Metro
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+1598.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $270,000 PrimeMLS
- 2014-01-31 Sold (MLS) $11,000 PrimeMLS
- 2013-06-15 Listed $15,900 PrimeMLS
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2024): $723 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…