211 Ehrmann St · West Pensacola, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * INVESTMENT ALERT * * * This is a turn key rental property that cash flows immediately. It is currently tenant occupied with a 100% payment history (please do not disturb tenant). The lease is due for renewal 6/30/26. The property has a newer roof and the HVAC has been recently serviced. Whether you're a first time investor or looking to add to your portfolio this property is a solid investment in an appreciating area.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1952
- Listed 26 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is not new construction
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Electric with circuit breakers; Public sewer; Public water
- Home design: Single-story frame construction; Resale property; Not attached to another property; Lot approximately 0.15 acres
- Construction: Frame construction; Slab foundation; One level
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Public maintained paved road; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the first floor, approximately 9 by 10
- Flooring: Simulated wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Simulated wood flooring; Living and dining combined
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#629 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 701 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $135k implies a 181% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.29%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $145,787
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -7.40%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 315 Frisco Ct | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,196 (+4%) | 2mo | $201,000 | $168 | 86 |
| 320 Chaseville St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,168 (+2%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $133 | 83 |
| 207 Alton Rd | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-4%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $191 | 74 |
| 130 Shadow Lawn Ln | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,215 (+6%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $103 | 67 |
| 212 Ada Wilson Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,132 (-1%) | 1mo | $217,000 | $192 | 66 |
| 805 Rue Max St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,106 (-4%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $181 | 64 |
| 218 Alton Rd | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,264 (+10%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $202 | 60 |
| 629 Rue Max St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (-11%) | 1mo | $222,000 | $218 | 57 |
| 105 Citrus St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+5%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $142 | 55 |
| 307 Lakewood Rd | 0.56mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,252 (+9%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $168 | 44 |
| 316 Ada Wilson Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,306 (+14%) | 9mo | $162,500 | $124 | 40 |
| 209 Marine Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 984 (-14%) | 2mo | $177,500 | $180 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-3,920
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $12,501
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32507
- Home prices YoY
- -4.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 701
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,529 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,430/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $324
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $401 | -5% $362 | +0% $324 | +5% $286 | +10% $248 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $204 | -5% $264 | +0% $324 | +5% $385 | +10% $445 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $392 | -0.5pp $359 | base $324 | +0.5pp $289 | +1.0pp $254 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 190 N Old Corry Field Rd Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $1,174 | $1.28 | 15d | 3 | 0.52mi |
| 113 Rue Max St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 862 | $1,395 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3740 Frontera Cir Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,295 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4600 Twin Oaks Dr Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $1,499 | $1.79 | 15d | 29 | 0.90mi |
| 5 Elegans Ave Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $1,195 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 419 N Wentworth St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1120 S Old Corry Field Rd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 852 Garnet St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 316 Teakwood Cir Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7 Mindoro Cir Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,395 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 26 N Lincoln Rd Unit B Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 759 | $1,050 | $1.38 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4519 Martha Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5501 Mayfair Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,295 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 45 W Carver Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,325 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1218 N Kirk St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 99 S 3rd St Unit 3 Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,259 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3141 Barrancas Ave Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,150 | $1.79 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 406 N S St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,295 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-01statusdays on market $135,000 Pending 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $144,000 420-char remark
-
2026-05-09price $149,900 420-char remark
-
2026-05-06$155,000 Active 420-char remark
-
1999-09-02soldstatus $48,000
-
1999-05-05soldstatus $30,200
-
1998-08-01soldstatus $30,200
-
1993-10-26soldstatus $31,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,430 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,430 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,344
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,430
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,468
- − Management
- −$1,468
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,815
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$436
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Pensacola
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #629
- US rank
- #12275
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Pensacola, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,226
- Household income
- $73,540
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1175.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 10% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.23%
- Current HPI
- 548.03
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.22%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+323.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Pending — PARMLS
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $135,000 PARMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $139,900 PARMLS
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $144,000 PARMLS
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $149,900 PARMLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $155,000 PARMLS
- 1999-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 1999-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $30,200 Public Records
- 1998-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,200 Public Records
- 1993-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $31,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,430 · +20.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…