🌊 Lakefront
6650 Ilex Cir Unit 6C · Pelican Marsh, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to easy Naples living in this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath condo offering comfort, convenience, and peaceful lake views. Designed with an open-concept layout, the home feels bright and inviting, with spacious living areas ideal for everyday living or seasonal enjoyment. Offered turnkey furnished, this move-in-ready residence features updated finishes, in-unit laundry, a private garage, and rental flexibility, making it an excellent option for full-time residents, seasonal owners, or investors alike. Set within a beautifully maintained community with park-like grounds, residents enjoy a relaxed lifestyle surrounded by winding brick walking paths, charming wooden bridges, ser
Key facts
- Lake views
- Private garage
- In-unit laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Master HOA fee $605 quarterly; Condo fee $1,350 quarterly; Total annual recurring fees $7,820; Total one-time fees $150; Professional management; HOA maintenance covers cable, insurance, internet/Wi-Fi, irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, legal/accounting, exterior pest control, trash removal, and water; Community amenities include community pool, community room, tennis court, pickleball, BBQ/picnic area, streetlights, and internet access; Non-gated community
Exterior
- Parking: 1 assigned parking space; Detached 1-car garage
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available; Electric service for heat and cooling
- Home design: Residential property; Low-rise building (1–3); 2-story building; Rear exposure faces northwest; Located in the Walden Oaks development (Barrington sub-condo)
- Construction: Concrete block construction; Built in 1988; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Single-hung windows; Shutters for storm protection; Brick exterior finish; Lake view / waterfront on a lake; Paved road access; Restrictions: no commercial, no RV, no truck
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms plus den; Split bedroom floor plan
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with dual sinks and shower (no tub)
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Fire sprinkler system; High-speed internet available; Smoke detectors; Walk-in closet; Window coverings; Breakfast bar and dining in living area; Turnkey furnished; 5 ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in residence; Auto garage door opener
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $300k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $956 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $300k).
- Recommended offer: $291k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Pelican Marsh Elementary School (math 87% / reading 83%, grade A+, #35 of 2,144 statewide, top 2%, 709 students, 29% FRL); Pine Ridge Middle School (math 74% / reading 70%, grade A, #52 of 571 statewide, top 10%, 832 students, 31% FRL); Barron Collier High School (math 62% / reading 68%, grade B, #76 of 667 statewide, top 11%, 1,650 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools average 29% FRL vs 55% district-wide (26 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 74% at this address vs 58% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Collier average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 425 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,658/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 1712% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $884 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.66%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.29% appreciation · 0.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $47,188
- Equity at exit
- $91,530
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $127,907
- Equity at exit
- $113,639
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34109
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 425
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,658 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$375 /mo · $4,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$652
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$978
- Net cashflow
- $956
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,163 | -5% $1,059 | +0% $956 | +5% $852 | +10% $748 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $588 | -5% $772 | +0% $956 | +5% $1,140 | +10% $1,324 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,107 | -0.5pp $1,032 | base $956 | +0.5pp $878 | +1.0pp $799 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6654 Tannin Ln Unit B Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $3,100 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 13466 Sumter Ln Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1837 | $8,700 | $4.74 | 25d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 13441 Coronado Dr Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1837 | $10,000 | $5.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 13435 Silktail Dr Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1837 | $8,950 | $4.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 7030 Lone Oak Blvd Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $6,400 | $3.76 | 15d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 13423 Silktail Dr Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1831 | $2,200 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 13379 Silktail Dr Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1837 | $4,400 | $2.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3035 Horizon Ln #2206 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1246 | $6,000 | $4.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2602 Fountain View Cir Naples, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $2,277 | $2.29 | 15d | 41 | 0.45mi |
| 2880 Citrus Lake Dr Unit Q201 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $2,495 | $1.57 | 15d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2860 Citrus Lake Dr Unit R202 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $5,000 | $3.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2860 Citrus Lake Dr Unit R-202 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $5,000 | $3.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3051 Horizon Ln #1803 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $5,100 | $3.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2731 Citrus Lake Dr #202 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,500 | $1.98 | 15d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3048 Horizon Ln #1104 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1818 | $5,150 | $2.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3015 Horizon Ln #2702 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $1,790 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2711 Citrus Lake Dr Unit F302 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $4,500 | $3.54 | 15d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2711 Citrus Lake Dr Unit F305 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $5,500 | $3.72 | 15d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2277 Arbour Walk Cir Naples, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 937 | $2,540 | $2.71 | 15d | 25 | 0.53mi |
| 2651 Citrus Lake Dr Unit D302 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $5,000 | $4.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2671 Citrus Lake Dr Unit E-201 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $5,250 | $3.80 | 15d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2671 Citrus Lake Dr Unit E-303 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $3,500 | $2.54 | 15d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2611 Citrus Lake Dr Unit C-203 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $5,500 | $3.22 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3009 Driftwood Way #2802 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3017 Driftwood Way #3001 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $5,000 | $3.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3025 Driftwood Way #3203 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $3,900 | $3.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2885 Citrus Lake Dr Unit N103 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1249 | $5,250 | $4.20 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2541 Citrus Lake Dr Unit A-205 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $5,250 | $3.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3057 Driftwood Way #4004 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1818 | $6,400 | $3.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3029 Driftwood Way #3303 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $4,000 | $3.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3062 Driftwood Way #4301 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1573 | $6,500 | $4.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3049 Driftwood Way #3806 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1818 | $4,700 | $2.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3037 Driftwood Way #3505 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,500 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2864 Mizzen Way Unit Y106 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $5,200 | $3.85 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2730 Sailors Way Naples, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1700 | $9,000 | $5.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 7710 Ahoy Ave Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $2,950 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2130 Arbour Walk Cir #2724 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,800 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2835 Mizzen Way Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1641 | $2,900 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 7287 Mill Pond Cir Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $3,800 | $2.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2608 Sailors Way #122 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1387 | $5,500 | $3.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $652 · $7,824/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $299,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $299,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-01$299,900 Active 24 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$4,498
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,472
- − Management
- −$4,472
- − HOA
- −$7,824
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable income
- $7,611
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,827
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,640/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in-ready condo offers a good condition with updated finishes and a bright, open-concept layout. It's an excellent option for full-time residents, seasonal owners, or investors alike.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value
- Rental Replace curtains — Fresh curtains can make the home more appealing to renters
- Both Update flooring in bathrooms — Modern flooring can improve both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value ↑
- Rental Replace curtains — Fresh curtains can make the home more appealing to renters ↑
- Both Update flooring in bathrooms — Modern flooring can improve both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pelican Marsh
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,273
- Household income
- $92,259
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1712.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.29%
- Current HPI
- 279.357
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.92%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $299,900 NAPLESMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…