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3118 Bear Springs Dr
C+ Composite 61.47
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$139,900

3118 Bear Springs Dr · San Antonio, TX 78245-2505
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,172 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1989 6,534 sqft lot $119/sqft · 28% below area Est $195k · 28% under $21/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This three-bedroom, two-bath home is conveniently located in a growing area at 1604 and Marbach Road. Easy access to the freeway, with dining and shopping nearby, this home offers both location and opportunity. The kitchen has double ovens, a dishwasher, a garbage disposal, and an upgraded microwave, making it easier to move forward with other home improvements. Additionally, the home has a converted garage that offers flexible space, but could be restored to its original form, depending on how the new owner envisions using the property. While the home needs TLC, it presents good potential for the right buyer with vision to customize it to their personal needs. With the right renovations, t

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Down payment resource not applicable
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Community amenities: pool, clubhouse, park/playground, basketball court; HOA fee $250 annually; Association transfer fee $325

Exterior

  • Parking: Converted garage
  • Utilities: Sewer system; Gas water heater
  • Home design: West-facing; Pre-owned
  • Construction: Cement fiber exterior; Slab foundation; Composition roof; Approximately 37 years old
  • Exterior features: Deck / balcony; Storage building / shed; Mature trees; Street is paved

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Built-in oven; Double ovens; Microwave; Dishwasher; Kitchen approx. 11 x 9
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on lower level (11 x 12); Bedroom 2 (11 x 9); Bedroom 3 (10 x 9)
  • Flooring: Carpeting
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Primary bath with tub/shower combination, single vanity, whirlpool/garden tub (11 x 7)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Living/dining room combination; Breakfast bar; Ground level / no steps; Converted garage used as living space; Utility room inside; Laundry in closet; All window coverings remain; Living area with fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection; Laundry on main level / laundry in closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $126 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Southwest ISD (rural): math 21% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #701 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Big Country El (math 27% / reading 30%, grade F, #2,706 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 617 students, 73% FRL); Francis R Scobee Middle (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,200 of 1,662 statewide, top 73%, 856 students, 73% FRL); Southwest H S (math 17% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,152 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools at 73% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $137,801 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
7.37%
Cash-on-cash
3.85%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$194,828
List price
$139,900
Delta
-28.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3118 Bear Springs Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,172 (0%) 1mo $139,900 $119 99
11419 Blue Mesa 0.20mi 3/1.5 1,161 (-1%) 3mo $195,000 $168 85
10222 Canton Fld 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,243 (+6%) 4mo $183,000 $147 80
2963 Ash Fld 0.29mi 3/2.5 1,177 (+0%) 4mo $185,000 $157 80
11406 Clints Wl 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+6%) 1mo $135,000 $108 68
11339 Yuba Trl 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,271 (+8%) 2mo $219,000 $172 68
11426 Black Fox Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,182 (+1%) 2mo $194,900 $165 65
11424 Pine Mesa 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,056 (-10%) 5mo $215,000 $204 64
10207 Athens Fld 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,044 (-11%) 1mo $189,900 $182 63
10914 Soogan Trl 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+2%) 1mo $215,000 $179 62
11434 Blue Mesa Dr 0.19mi 2/2.0 (-1) 996 (-15%) 1mo $137,750 $138 60
11343 Two Wls 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,283 (+10%) 4mo $219,900 $171 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$24,976
Equity at exit
$62,905
10-year hold
IRR
13.4%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$77,890
Equity at exit
$96,944

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78245-2505

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,586 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$314 /mo · $3,770/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$21
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$333
Net cashflow
$126

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,427
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $205 -5% $165 +0% $126 +5% $86 +10% $46
Rent -10% $0 -5% $63 +0% $126 +5% $188 +10% $251
Rate -1.0pp $196 -0.5pp $161 base $126 +0.5pp $89 +1.0pp $52

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10227 Brad Fld San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1443 $1,680 $1.16 45d 1 0.16mi
2923 Black River Ln San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1251 $1,520 $1.22 45d 1 0.22mi
10247 Sunrise Fld San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1177 $1,530 $1.30 45d 1 0.24mi
11510 Hatchet Pass Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1385 $2,000 $1.44 26d 1 0.30mi
10203 Sunset Fld San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1270 $1,550 $1.22 14d 1 0.32mi
11427 Long Trl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1444 $2,400 $1.66 0d 1 0.36mi
10215 Athens Fld San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1160 $1,450 $1.25 0d 1 0.41mi
2730 Mud Lake Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1287 $1,550 $1.20 26d 1 0.45mi
2730 Mud Lake Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1287 $1,550 $1.20 6d 1 0.45mi
2891 Cherry Field Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,300 $1.14 26d 1 0.50mi
11331 Two Wells Dr San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1103 $1,350 $1.22 26d 1 0.51mi
11371 Fish Spgs San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1312 $1,475 $1.12 6d 1 0.56mi
11366 Olney Spgs San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1436 $1,395 $0.97 26d 1 0.58mi
11442 Potter Vly San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1356 $1,500 $1.11 6d 1 0.62mi
2422 Buffalo Pass Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,500 $1.00 45d 1 0.69mi
10243 Raven Field Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1023 $1,700 $1.66 45d 1 0.70mi
10239 Raven Field Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1252 $1,620 $1.29 0d 1 0.70mi
10203 Raven Field Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1235 $1,700 $1.38 26d 1 0.72mi
4445 Barberry Crk San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,650 $1.18 6d 1 0.77mi
11326 Widefield Ln San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1328 $1,425 $1.07 45d 1 0.87mi
9911 Boxer Crk San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1357 $1,500 $1.11 45d 1 0.87mi
10314 Lynwood Vlg Unit 102 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1356 $1,550 $1.14 19d 1 0.89mi
2515 Lynwood Bnd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1357 $1,495 $1.10 6d 1 0.92mi
2318 Tulipwood Cv Unit 101 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1357 $1,625 $1.20 26d 1 0.92mi
10311 Candlewood Way #101 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1357 $1,575 $1.16 26d 1 0.97mi
10303 Candlewood Way #101 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1357 $1,499 $1.10 26d 1 0.97mi
10338 Lynwood Br Unit 101 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1380 $1,500 $1.09 45d 1 0.98mi
10338 Lynwood Br Unit 101 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1380 $1,500 $1.09 24d 1 0.98mi
2307 Lynwood Bnd Unit 1 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1357 $1,550 $1.14 45d 1 0.99mi
2307 Lynwood Bnd Unit 1 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1357 $1,550 $1.14 19d 1 0.99mi
10351 Lynwood Br #102 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1357 $1,600 $1.18 45d 1 1.01mi
10347 Lynwood Br Unit 102 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1357 $1,525 $1.12 45d 1 1.01mi
2206 Sandlewood Cv Unit 102 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1357 $1,475 $1.09 19d 1 1.05mi
10335 Lynwood Crk Unit 102 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1356 $1,550 $1.14 45d 1 1.06mi
10335 Lynwood Crk Unit 102 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1356 $1,595 $1.18 13d 1 1.06mi
10335 Lynwood Crk San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1356 $1,595 $1.18 26d 1 1.06mi
9605 U.S. 90 San Antonio, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1024 $1,299 $1.27 0d 1 1.19mi
5706 Red Cyn San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 968 $1,295 $1.34 45d 1 1.40mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$21 · $252/yr
Likely covers
trash

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    historical Active Option 790-char remark
  2. 2026-05-05
    listed $139,900 New 790-char remark
  3. 1989-11-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,770 · $314/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,770 · $314/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 74% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,029
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$3,770
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,522
− Management
−$1,522
− HOA
−$252
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$644
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$154
After-tax cash flow
$1,662/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southwest ISD
NCES district ID
4840950
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,362
Composite
22.22/100
National rank
#8153
State rank
#701 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

No demographic data for this ZIP.

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Sold (MLS) LERA
  • 2026-05-25 Pending LERA
  • 2026-05-12 Contingent LERA
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $139,900 LERA
  • 1989-11-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,770 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…