2214 Lee St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.48%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Motivated Seller, Seeking a Quick Sell. Estate Sale. Home located near downtown and across fron new construction.
Key facts
- 5,000 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1935
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; Carport for 1 vehicle
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1935; Wood siding exterior; Block foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Subdivision lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (12x13); Bedroom on the first floor (11x13); Bedroom on the first floor (11x11)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Window unit cooling
- Interior features: 4 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $384 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Fleming Middle (math 10% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,616 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 384 students, 97% FRL); Northside H S (math 15% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,389 of 1,632 statewide, top 86%, 1,168 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 71% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 445 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.21%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $205,884
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2212 Semmes St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,320 (+10%) | 1mo | $181,000 | $137 | 79 |
| 2006 Stevens St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,243 (+3%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $181 | 75 |
| 2111 Davis St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,243 (+3%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $141 | 74 |
| 1816 Mckee St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,170 (-3%) | 5mo | $200,000 | $171 | 74 |
| 1912 Semmes St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,104 (-8%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $59 | 72 |
| 2112 Terry St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,132 (-6%) | 2mo | $119,500 | $106 | 72 |
| 3053 Noble St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-0%) | 1mo | $64,497 | $54 | 71 |
| 1409 Morris St | 0.44mi | 3/3.0 | 1,148 (-5%) | 0mo | $315,000 | $274 | 63 |
| 2715 Chapman St | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,214 (+1%) | 2mo | $175,997 | $145 | 63 |
| 2710 Stevens St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,168 (-3%) | 7mo | $203,900 | $175 | 61 |
| 2710 Gano St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,265 (+5%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $257 | 60 |
| 2718 Gano St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,218 (+1%) | 10mo | $314,999 | $259 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.89% appreciation · 3.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $47,484
- Equity at exit
- $67,602
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.37×
- Total profit
- $127,369
- Equity at exit
- $109,901
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77026
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 445
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,819 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$289 /mo · $3,464/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $384
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1714 Mary St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,400 | $2.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2209 Gano St Unit 4 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2209 Gano St Unit 3 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3031 Sumpter St Unit 50 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $1,200 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1550 Leona St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $1,905 | $2.28 | 2d | 19 | 0.64mi |
| 1550 Leona St Unit 1587 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,942 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3300 Lyons Ave Unit 304 Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $1,460 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3502 Campbell St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $800 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1250 Leona St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $1,990 | $2.25 | 2d | 16 | 0.74mi |
| 1513 Cage St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1514 Everett St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,840 | $1.90 | 20d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2016 N Main St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1169 | $2,200 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1725 N Main St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $2,263 | $2.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1625 N Main St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 994 | $2,354 | $2.37 | 3d | 42 | 0.96mi |
| 3730 Lyons Ave Unit 216 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1107 | $1,300 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2310 N Main St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 997 | $1,687 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 412 Paschall St Unit 1316398P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $4,840 | $4.28 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 650 McKee St Unit 424 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $1,690 | $1.75 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 650 McKee St Unit 687 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $1,715 | $1.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 650 McKee St Apt 425 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $1,725 | $1.79 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 650 McKee St Unit 683 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $2,125 | $1.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 650 McKee St Unit 2148 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $1,682 | $1.74 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 650 McKee St Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $1,714 | $1.77 | 11d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 650 McKee St Apt 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $1,690 | $1.75 | 8d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 650 McKee St Unit 3112 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $2,082 | $1.83 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 650 McKee St Unit 3174 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $2,114 | $1.86 | 11d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 914 Bunton St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $1,950 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2623 Keene St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 965 | $3,280 | $3.40 | 17d | 44 | 1.16mi |
| 200 Hogan St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $1,904 | $1.80 | 12d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 207 Carl St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $2,250 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 91 Jensen Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 970 | $3,420 | $3.52 | 1d | 69 | 1.23mi |
| 91 Jensen Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 872 | $3,094 | $3.55 | 21d | 16 | 1.23mi |
| 6 N Main St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,453 | $1.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 6 N Main St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,453 | $1.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4300 Lyons Ave Unit 304 Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $1,460 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 306 North St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2115 Runnels St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $1,775 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2115 Runnels St Unit 2148 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 959 | $1,831 | $1.91 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2115 Runnels St Unit 2174 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 959 | $1,863 | $1.94 | 11d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2115 Runnels St Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 959 | $1,839 | $1.92 | 8d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02status $135,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,464 · $289/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,464 · $289/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 48% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,833
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$3,464
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,747
- − Management
- −$1,747
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $2,711
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$651
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,963/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,981
- Household income
- $39,211
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1531.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 18% White 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 39%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.89%
- Current HPI
- 267.5995
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+12.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $135,000 HARMLS
- 2025-07-21 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-07-15 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2025-07-07 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-06-25 Listed $120,000 HARMLS
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,464 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…