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3814 Putnam Dr
D Composite 41.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,000

3814 Putnam Dr · Bacliff, TX 77518
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,000 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 199 Days on market
Built 2011 5,248 sqft lot $114/sqft · 8% below area Est $248k · 8% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Here It is Your 40x60 3bedroom and 1 1/2 Bath 2Car Garage Barn Dominium Style Residence.This Property has so much Potential for someone seeking a Livable Home and Office Combination for a Home Business or Workshop Setting. With a Full Kitchen area and 3-4 rooms to Create your personal private room spaces. Plenty of Storage and Central AC/HVAC and Pubic water/sewer service's. Extra Wide Driveway for Large Trucks or Utility Vehicles. This Property is Not Completely Fenced in . Come see Your next Home Residence and Business Space.

Key facts

  • 5,248 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2011

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-135 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $205k (10.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (5.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,252 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
  • Dickinson ISD (suburban): math 39% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #366 of 826 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Kenneth E Little El (math 32% / reading 25%, grade F, #2,706 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 648 students, 88% FRL); R D Mcadams J H (math 32% / reading 40%, grade F, #805 of 1,662 statewide, top 50%, 950 students, 65% FRL); Dickinson H S (math 30% / reading 46%, grade F, #880 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 3,619 students, 64% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,169/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 672% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 199 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $201,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 199 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
5.94%
Cash-on-cash
-1.28%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$248,363
List price
$229,000
Delta
-7.80%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
202 Hardy St 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,944 (-3%) 8mo $225,000 $116 71
414 Gordy Rd 0.18mi 3/2.0 2,076 (+4%) 18mo $279,995 $135 70
3307 Triplett St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,862 (-7%) 1mo $145,000 $78 64
218 Hardy St 0.41mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,152 (+8%) 0mo $199,900 $93 63
3625 Pecan Dr 0.18mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,150 (+8%) 22mo $432,000 $201 52
2613 Pines Trace Ln 0.71mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,072 (+4%) 14mo $377,900 $182 41
3002 Carolyn St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,712 (-14%) 2mo $130,000 $76 40
2721 Sellers Island Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,795 (-10%) 19mo $349,000 $194 34
2603 Pines Trace Ln 0.71mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,190 (+10%) 12mo $364,990 $167 32
2807 Sellers Island Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,795 (-10%) 20mo $345,000 $192 32
2821 Sellers Island Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,795 (-10%) 22mo $359,000 $200 30
4943 Finns Landing St 0.73mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,165 (+8%) 20mo $390,000 $180 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.4%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-45,490
Equity at exit
$34,145
10-year hold
IRR
-13.3%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-49,862
Equity at exit
$19,800

Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77518

Home prices YoY
-7.6%
Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,169 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,201
Tax from tax record
$486 /mo · $5,829/yr
Insurance
$95
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$456
Net cashflow
$-135

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,340
Max offer price $205,206
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-5 -5% $-70 +0% $-135 +5% $-200 +10% $-264
Rent -10% $-306 -5% $-220 +0% $-135 +5% $-49 +10% $37
Rate -1.0pp $-19 -0.5pp $-76 base $-135 +0.5pp $-194 +1.0pp $-254

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,250
Closing costs
$6,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1118 Chase Park Dr Bacliff, TX 3.0 2.0 1854 $2,046 $1.10 0d 1 1.24mi
5139 Misty Ln Bacliff, TX 3.0 2.0 1794 $1,970 $1.10 12d 1 1.29mi
339 Sea Breeze Dr Bacliff, TX 3.0 2.5 1456 $1,985 $1.36 6d 1 1.33mi
4820 La Piedra Ln League City, TX 4.0 2.5 2365 $2,606 $1.10 7d 1 1.35mi
5223 Gulf Stream Ln Bacliff, TX 3.0 2.5 1778 $2,080 $1.17 12d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $229,000 Active 199 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $229,000 Active 196 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $229,000 Active 195 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $229,000 Active 194 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $229,000 Active 193 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $229,000 Active 191 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $229,000 Active 187 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,000 Active 186 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $229,000 Active 185 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $229,000 Active 182 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,000 Active 181 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,000 Active 180 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,000 Active 179 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,000 Active 178 DOM
  15. 2026-02-01
    price $229,000 534-char remark
    Show marketing remark (534 chars)

    Here It is Your 40x60 3bedroom and 1 1/2 Bath 2Car Garage Barn Dominium Style Residence.This Property has so much Potential for someone seeking a Livable Home and Office Combination for a Home Business or Workshop Setting. With a Full Kitchen area and 3-4 rooms to Create your personal private room spaces. Plenty of Storage and Central AC/HVAC and Pubic water/sewer service's. Extra Wide Driveway for Large Trucks or Utility Vehicles. This Property is Not Completely Fenced in . Come see Your next Home Residence and Business Space.

  16. 2026-01-06
    price $230,000 534-char remark
    Show marketing remark (534 chars)

    Here It is Your 40x60 3bedroom and 1 1/2 Bath 2Car Garage Barn Dominium Style Residence.This Property has so much Potential for someone seeking a Livable Home and Office Combination for a Home Business or Workshop Setting. With a Full Kitchen area and 3-4 rooms to Create your personal private room spaces. Plenty of Storage and Central AC/HVAC and Pubic water/sewer service's. Extra Wide Driveway for Large Trucks or Utility Vehicles. This Property is Not Completely Fenced in . Come see Your next Home Residence and Business Space.

  17. 2025-12-04
    listed $239,900 Active 534-char remark
    Show marketing remark (534 chars)

    Here It is Your 40x60 3bedroom and 1 1/2 Bath 2Car Garage Barn Dominium Style Residence.This Property has so much Potential for someone seeking a Livable Home and Office Combination for a Home Business or Workshop Setting. With a Full Kitchen area and 3-4 rooms to Create your personal private room spaces. Plenty of Storage and Central AC/HVAC and Pubic water/sewer service's. Extra Wide Driveway for Large Trucks or Utility Vehicles. This Property is Not Completely Fenced in . Come see Your next Home Residence and Business Space.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,829 · $486/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,829 · $486/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,033
− Mortgage interest
−$12,828
− Property taxes
−$5,829
− Insurance
−$1,942
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,083
− Management
−$2,083
− Depreciation
−$6,662
Taxable loss
−$5,393
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,294
After-tax cash flow
$-322/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dickinson ISD
NCES district ID
4817070
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$61,318
Composite
35.16/100
National rank
#5005
State rank
#366 of 826 in TX

Livability — Bacliff

Score
57/100
State rank
#1252
US rank
#21864

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bacliff, TX
County
Galveston County · 357,330 people
City population
9,541
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
9,541
Household income
$51,458
Rent vs Own
38.2% rent · 61.8% own
Severe rent burden
672.0

Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
390,640 people
By 2030
425,226 · +8.9%
By 2040
493,765 · +26.4%
By 2050
559,698 · +43.3%
By 2075
719,260 · +84.1%
By 2100
819,628 · +109.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 43% Two or more races 21% Black 7% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 32% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Galveston

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.15%
Current HPI
293.2677
Rent YoY
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-01 Price Changed $229,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $230,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-04 Listed $239,900 HARMLS

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,829 · -7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…