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219 Elm St
B Composite 70.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.6/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$18,000

219 Elm St · Greenwood, MS 38930
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily · 154 Days on market
Built 1935 Poor condition 7,405 sqft lot $15/sqft · at area comps Est $18k · at est. ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Special! 3BR/1BA bungalow sold AS-IS with long-term tenant in place. Stable rental history and immediate cash flow. Property will not be delivered vacant. Ideal buy-and-hold opportunity for local investors. Contact for pricing and rent details.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 1935
  • Listed 153 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $18k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $429 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($700 rent vs $18k).
  • Recommended offer: $16k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 34.9% vs local median 4.9% in Greenwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#31 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9 units permitted in Leflore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $124 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $540 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Leflore County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($16k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $15,840 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.89%
Cap rate
34.87%
Cash-on-cash
102.05%
DSCR
5.54
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$18,445
List price
$18,000
Delta
-2.41%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
418 Norman St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,244 (+4%) 21mo $60,000 $48 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
5.84×
Total profit
$24,392
Equity at exit
$2,684
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.20×
Total profit
$56,434
Equity at exit
$1,556

Cash invested: $5,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38930

Home prices YoY
-18.6%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$700 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$94
Tax est. 1.5%
$22 /mo · $270/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$147
Net cashflow
$429

Break-even live

Break-even rent $157
Max offer price $18,000
Occupancy floor 34%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $441 -5% $435 +0% $429 +5% $422 +10% $416
Rent -10% $373 -5% $401 +0% $429 +5% $456 +10% $484
Rate -1.0pp $438 -0.5pp $433 base $429 +0.5pp $424 +1.0pp $419

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,500
Closing costs
$540
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
207 Martin St Greenwood, MS 2.0 1.0 950 $700 $0.74 45d 1 1.03mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $18,000 Active 154 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $18,000 Active 153 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $18,000 Active 152 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $18,000 Active 151 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $18,000 Active 149 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $18,000 Active 148 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $18,000 Active 145 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $18,000 Active 144 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $18,000 Active 143 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $18,000 Active 139 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $18,000 Active 138 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $18,000 Active 137 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $18,000 Active 136 DOM
  14. 2026-04-13
    status Active 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Investor Special! Occupied 3BR/1BA bungalow sold AS-IS with strong rental potential with stableTenant and history and rental history. Ideal buy-and-hold opportunity for local investors. Contact for pricing and projected rent details. DO NOT DISTRUB TENANT

  15. 2026-04-13
    status Active 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Investor Special! Occupied 3BR/1BA bungalow sold AS-IS with strong rental potential with stableTenant and history and rental history. Ideal buy-and-hold opportunity for local investors. Contact for pricing and projected rent details. DO NOT DISTRUB TENANT

  16. 2026-04-10
    historical 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    Investor Special! 3BR/1BA bungalow sold AS-IS with long-term tenant in place. Stable rental history and immediate cash flow. Property will not be delivered vacant. Ideal buy-and-hold opportunity for local investors. Contact for pricing and rent details.

  17. 2026-03-04
    price $18,000 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    Investor Special! 3BR/1BA bungalow sold AS-IS with long-term tenant in place. Stable rental history and immediate cash flow. Property will not be delivered vacant. Ideal buy-and-hold opportunity for local investors. Contact for pricing and rent details.

  18. 2026-03-04
    price $18,000 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    Investor Special! 3BR/1BA bungalow sold AS-IS with long-term tenant in place. Stable rental history and immediate cash flow. Property will not be delivered vacant. Ideal buy-and-hold opportunity for local investors. Contact for pricing and rent details.

  19. 2026-01-13
    listed $21,000 Active 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    Investor Special! Occupied 3BR/1BA bungalow sold AS-IS with strong rental potential with stableTenant and history and rental history. Ideal buy-and-hold opportunity for local investors. Contact for pricing and projected rent details. DO NOT DISTRUB TENANT

  20. 2026-01-10
    listed $21,000 Active 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    Investor Special! 3BR/1BA bungalow sold AS-IS with long-term tenant in place. Stable rental history and immediate cash flow. Property will not be delivered vacant. Ideal buy-and-hold opportunity for local investors. Contact for pricing and rent details.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,400
− Mortgage interest
−$1,008
− Property taxes
−$270
− Insurance
−$90
− Repairs & maintenance
−$672
− Management
−$672
− Depreciation
−$524
Taxable income
$5,164
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,239
After-tax cash flow
$3,904/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including a new roof and siding, to become move-in ready. Immediate cash flow from the tenant makes it an ideal buy-and-hold opportunity for investors.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Exposed roof structure and missing shingles
  • Major exterior siding — Weathered siding
  • Major foundation — General disrepair and overgrown vegetation

Value-add opportunities

  • Both New roof and siding — Both improve the home's appearance and increase its value
  • Both Landscaping and exterior cleaning — Enhances curb appeal and makes the home more attractive

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Exposed roof structure and missing shingles Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · Weathered siding Major $15,000–50,000
foundation · General disrepair and overgrown vegetation Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both New roof and siding — Both improve the home's appearance and increase its value
  • Both Landscaping and exterior cleaning — Enhances curb appeal and makes the home more attractive

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Greenwood

Score
71/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#6625

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greenwood, MS
Population (ZIP)
23,326

Population outlook (Leflore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,008 people
By 2030
25,362 · -6.1%
By 2040
22,049 · -18.4%
By 2050
19,188 · -29.0%
By 2075
13,543 · -49.9%
By 2100
8,913 · -67.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (70%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 70% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Leflore

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.7% · R 30.3%
2008→2024 swing
+1.7pp toward D · 2008: 36.8pp · 2024: 38.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.5 2020: D+41.5 2016: D+41.0 2012: D+45.8 2008: D+36.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.32%
Current HPI
150.2668
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-14.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-04-13 Relisted NCMBR
  • 2026-04-10 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $18,000 NCMBR
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $18,000 MLSU
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $21,000 NCMBR
  • 2026-01-10 Listed $21,000 MLSU

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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