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116 W Wildy St
D Composite 42.98
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

116 W Wildy St · Roswell, NM 88203
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,117 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 96 Days on market
Built 1950 5,100 sqft lot $157/sqft · 130% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move in ready, 3 bedroms, 2 baths with dinning room, den and living room. New Roof and new HVAC.

Key facts

  • New hvac
  • New roof
  • 5,100 sq ft lot

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW HVAC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (19.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#8 in NM, #4,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Roswell Independent Schools (town): math 11% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #16 of 29 in NM (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Valley View Elementary (math 16% / reading 68%, grade F, #31 of 68 statewide, top 46%, 463 students, 100% FRL); Sierra Middle (math 8% / reading 44%, grade F, #16 of 27 statewide, top 58%, 627 students, 100% FRL); Roswell High (math 11% / reading 30%, grade F, #97 of 110 statewide, top 88%, 1,438 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 181 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 88 units permitted in Chaves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $141,277 (19.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.90%
Cash-on-cash
2.17%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$94,941
List price
$175,000
Delta
84.32%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
903 Davidson Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,215 (+9%) 8mo $75,000 $62 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.9%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-22,804
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-4.0%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-12,958
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88203

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Active inventory
181
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,413 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $442/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$89

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,301
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $188 -5% $138 +0% $89 +5% $39 +10% $-10
Rent -10% $-23 -5% $33 +0% $89 +5% $144 +10% $200
Rate -1.0pp $177 -0.5pp $133 base $89 +0.5pp $43 +1.0pp $-3

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1014 Plaza del Sol Roswell, NM 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,275 $1.11 45d 1 0.82mi
1002 W Deming St Roswell, NM 2.0 1.0 792 $1,050 $1.33 45d 1 0.88mi
1303 W Bonita Dr Roswell, NM 2.0 1.0 840 $875 $1.04 45d 1 1.04mi
2703 S Onyx Dr Roswell, NM 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,900 $1.36 45d 1 1.16mi
1049 W Poe St Roswell, NM 2.0 1.5 1413 $1,200 $0.85 45d 1 1.24mi
2614 Palomar Pl Roswell, NM 3.0 2.0 1278 $1,400 $1.10 45d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $175,000 Active 96 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $175,000 Active 94 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 93 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 92 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 91 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 90 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $175,000 Active 88 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $175,000 Active 87 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 84 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 83 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $175,000 Active 79 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 78 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 77 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 76 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 75 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $175,000 Active 74 DOM
  18. 2026-03-18
    listed $175,000 Active 96-char remark
    Show marketing remark (96 chars)

    Move in ready, 3 bedroms, 2 baths with dinning room, den and living room. New Roof and new HVAC.

  19. 2002-02-28
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$442 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,400 · $117/mo
Expected delta
+$958/yr (+$80/mo · 216.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,953
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$442
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,356
− Management
−$1,356
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$1,970
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$473
After-tax cash flow
$1,536/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roswell Independent Schools
NCES district ID
3502250
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 23.00%
Median HH income
$38,848
Composite
26.21/100
National rank
#7262
State rank
#16 of 29 in NM

Livability — Roswell

Score
75/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#4339

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roswell, NM
County
Chaves County · 56,277 people
City population
56,277
Metro
Roswell, NM
Population (ZIP)
28,753
Household income
$42,207
Rent vs Own
34.7% rent · 65.3% own
Severe rent burden
995.0

Population outlook (Chaves County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,122 people
By 2030
66,351 · +0.3%
By 2040
66,818 · +1.1%
By 2050
66,928 · +1.2%
By 2075
65,474 · -1.0%
By 2100
58,943 · -10.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 65% White 31% Two or more races 22% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 58%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 38%

Political lean MEDSL · Chaves

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.8) · D 26.8% · R 71.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.7pp · 2024: -44.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.8 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+32.4 2008: R+24.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.30%
Current HPI
151.1401
Rent YoY
Metro
Roswell, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $175,000 NMMLS
  • 2002-02-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $442 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…