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14832 Fm 2661
C Composite 57.45
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

14832 Fm 2661 · Chandler, TX 75762
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,304 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 94 Days on market
Built 1990 0.31 ac lot $69/sqft · 75% below area ↓ 36% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for your next project? This might be the one. This 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home in Flint offers over 2,300 square feet on a . 31 acre lot, giving you the space and layout to create something really special. It’s a true fixer-upper, being sold AS IS, and it will need a full renovation—but that’s where the opportunity for you is. You’ve got a functional floor plan with a large living area, brick fireplace, built-ins, separate dining, and a kitchen with an island and double ovens ready for a complete update. The primary suite includes its own bath, plus three additional bedrooms and a full and half bath to work with. Big bonus: the roof and interior HVAC have already been replaced, taking care of two major expenses upfront. Outside, you’ll find a tree-lined backyard with privacy and room to add outdoor living space, landscaping, garden, or whatever you can dream up! This property is ideal for an investor, flipper, or buyer looking to renovate and build equity. With the right plan and improvements, there’s strong upside potential here. If you’ve been waiting for a fixer-upper in Flint with square footage, a good lot, and room to add value, this might be the one!

Key facts

  • Brick fireplace
  • Tree lined backyard
  • Built ins

Tags

TREE LINED BACKYARDBRICK FIREPLACEBUILT INSKITCHEN WITH ISLANDDOUBLE OVENSROOF REPLACED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $289 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.8% in Chandler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#347 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Tyler ISD (urban): math 39% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #449 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Dr Bryan C Jack El (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C-, #742 of 4,322 statewide, top 19%, 685 students, 46% FRL); Three Lakes Middle (math 35% / reading 42%, grade F, #704 of 1,662 statewide, top 43%, 873 students, 64% FRL); Tyler Legacy H S (math 34% / reading 49%, grade F, #767 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 2,594 students, 58% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,509 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
8.46%
Cash-on-cash
7.76%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$644,144
List price
$159,900
Delta
-75.18%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-7,335
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$17,940
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75762

Home prices YoY
-28.4%
Active inventory
358
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,005 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$390 /mo · $4,675/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$421
Net cashflow
$289

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,639
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $380 -5% $335 +0% $289 +5% $244 +10% $199
Rent -10% $131 -5% $210 +0% $289 +5% $369 +10% $448
Rate -1.0pp $370 -0.5pp $330 base $289 +0.5pp $248 +1.0pp $206

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $159,900 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $159,900 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 90 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 89 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 86 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,900 Active 83 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 82 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 81 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 80 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $159,900 Active 77 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 75 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 74 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 73 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 72 DOM
  18. 2026-05-16
    price $159,900 1223-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1223 chars)

    Looking for your next project? This might be the one. This 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home in Flint offers over 2,300 square feet on a . 31 acre lot, giving you the space and layout to create something really special. It’s a true fixer-upper, being sold AS IS, and it will need a full renovation—but that’s where the opportunity for you is. You’ve got a functional floor plan with a large living area, brick fireplace, built-ins, separate dining, and a kitchen with an island and double ovens ready for a complete update. The primary suite includes its own bath, plus three additional bedrooms and a full and half bath to work with. Big bonus: the roof and interior HVAC have already been replaced, taking care of two major expenses upfront. Outside, you’ll find a tree-lined backyard with privacy and room to add outdoor living space, landscaping, garden, or whatever you can dream up! This property is ideal for an investor, flipper, or buyer looking to renovate and build equity. With the right plan and improvements, there’s strong upside potential here. If you’ve been waiting for a fixer-upper in Flint with square footage, a good lot, and room to add value, this might be the one!

  19. 2026-04-16
    price $165,900 1223-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1223 chars)

    Looking for your next project? This might be the one. This 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home in Flint offers over 2,300 square feet on a . 31 acre lot, giving you the space and layout to create something really special. It’s a true fixer-upper, being sold AS IS, and it will need a full renovation—but that’s where the opportunity for you is. You’ve got a functional floor plan with a large living area, brick fireplace, built-ins, separate dining, and a kitchen with an island and double ovens ready for a complete update. The primary suite includes its own bath, plus three additional bedrooms and a full and half bath to work with. Big bonus: the roof and interior HVAC have already been replaced, taking care of two major expenses upfront. Outside, you’ll find a tree-lined backyard with privacy and room to add outdoor living space, landscaping, garden, or whatever you can dream up! This property is ideal for an investor, flipper, or buyer looking to renovate and build equity. With the right plan and improvements, there’s strong upside potential here. If you’ve been waiting for a fixer-upper in Flint with square footage, a good lot, and room to add value, this might be the one!

  20. 2026-03-20
    listed $169,900 Active 1223-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1223 chars)

    Looking for your next project? This might be the one. This 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home in Flint offers over 2,300 square feet on a . 31 acre lot, giving you the space and layout to create something really special. It’s a true fixer-upper, being sold AS IS, and it will need a full renovation—but that’s where the opportunity for you is. You’ve got a functional floor plan with a large living area, brick fireplace, built-ins, separate dining, and a kitchen with an island and double ovens ready for a complete update. The primary suite includes its own bath, plus three additional bedrooms and a full and half bath to work with. Big bonus: the roof and interior HVAC have already been replaced, taking care of two major expenses upfront. Outside, you’ll find a tree-lined backyard with privacy and room to add outdoor living space, landscaping, garden, or whatever you can dream up! This property is ideal for an investor, flipper, or buyer looking to renovate and build equity. With the right plan and improvements, there’s strong upside potential here. If you’ve been waiting for a fixer-upper in Flint with square footage, a good lot, and room to add value, this might be the one!

  21. 2025-09-18
    price $161,900
  22. 2025-07-31
    price $163,900
  23. 2025-07-03
    price $169,900
  24. 2023-11-15
    soldstatus
  25. 2023-11-15
    soldstatus
  26. 2023-11-08
    soldstatus Closed
  27. 2023-09-12
    status Pending
  28. 2023-09-12
    status Active
  29. 2023-05-31
    status Active
  30. 2023-05-26
    historical Active Option Contract
  31. 2023-05-08
    status Active
  32. 2023-03-29
    price $200,000
  33. 2022-08-31
    price $175,000
  34. 2022-07-11
    price $215,000
  35. 2022-07-08
    price $245,000
  36. 2022-07-08
    price $225,000
  37. 2022-07-05
    price $245,000
  38. 2022-06-16
    listed $250,000 Active
  39. 1984-11-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,675 · $390/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,675 · $390/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,063
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$4,675
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,925
− Management
−$1,925
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable income
$1,129
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$271
After-tax cash flow
$3,201/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tyler ISD
NCES district ID
4843470
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,090
Composite
32.69/100
National rank
#5650
State rank
#449 of 826 in TX

Livability — Chandler

Score
70/100
State rank
#347
US rank
#7634

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Smith County · 180,570 people
Metro
Tyler, TX
Population (ZIP)
15,704
Household income
$90,057
Rent vs Own
14.6% rent · 85.4% own
Severe rent burden
98.0

Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,890 people
By 2030
261,665 · +5.1%
By 2040
286,114 · +15.0%
By 2050
308,006 · +23.8%
By 2075
354,171 · +42.3%
By 2100
372,828 · +49.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 13% Black 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Serbian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Smith

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.39%
Current HPI
197.2375
Rent YoY
Metro
Tyler, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-36.0% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $159,900 GTAR
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $165,900 GTAR
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $169,900 GTAR
  • 2025-09-18 Price Changed $161,900 GTAR
  • 2025-07-31 Price Changed $163,900 GTAR
  • 2025-07-03 Price Changed $169,900 GTAR
  • 2023-11-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-11-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-11-08 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2023-09-12 Pending NTREIS
  • 2023-09-12 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2023-05-31 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2023-05-26 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2023-05-08 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2023-03-29 Price Changed $200,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-08-31 Price Changed $175,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-07-11 Price Changed $215,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-07-08 Price Changed $245,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-07-08 Price Changed $225,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-07-05 Price Changed $245,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-06-16 Listed $250,000 NTREIS
  • 1984-11-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+10.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $4,675 · +40.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…