18 Republic Ave · Glouster, OH
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.1/10.0
$69,995
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Glouster offering comfort, functionality, and excellent investment potential. This turnkey property features generously sized rooms throughout, creating a welcoming atmosphere for everyday living and entertaining. The spacious bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, or a home office setup. Move in comfortably while adding future updates and personal touches over time, making it ideal for buyers seeking immediate usability and long-term value.
Key facts
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 33 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax information available
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Built in 1900; No shared/common walls
- Construction: Building area approximately 1,064; Building area source: Realist
- Exterior features: Lot size about 0.08 acre; Other foundation
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Interior features: Living area approximately 1,064
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $586 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#804 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Trimble Local (rural): math 25% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #589 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Athens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Athens County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $70k implies a 250% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.29%
- DSCR
- 2.75
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $100,016
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Barbour St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-1%) | 7mo | $99,000 | $94 | 85 |
| 9 Summit St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 982 (-8%) | 16mo | $39,000 | $40 | 69 |
| 64 Spring St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (+3%) | 12mo | $50,000 | $46 | 68 |
| 32 New St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,032 (-3%) | 16mo | $146,000 | $141 | 67 |
| 44 Republic Ave | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,118 (+5%) | 18mo | $89,200 | $80 | 64 |
| 88 Front St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 982 (-8%) | 3mo | $158,300 | $161 | 61 |
| 35 Main St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 996 (-6%) | 17mo | $36,000 | $36 | 60 |
| 20934 Oakdale Rd | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (+5%) | 12mo | $168,400 | $150 | 57 |
| 15 Broad St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+8%) | 15mo | $50,000 | $44 | 46 |
| 8 Spring St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,214 (+14%) | 23mo | $115,000 | $95 | 43 |
| 4 S Town St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+12%) | 21mo | $148,000 | $125 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $26,024
- Equity at exit
- $10,436
- IRR
- 38.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.62×
- Total profit
- $70,858
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,599 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45732
- Home prices YoY
- -3.9%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,373 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $557/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $586
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $626 | -5% $606 | +0% $586 | +5% $566 | +10% $547 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $478 | -5% $532 | +0% $586 | +5% $640 | +10% $695 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $621 | -0.5pp $604 | base $586 | +0.5pp $568 | +1.0pp $550 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,499
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,995 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,995 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,995 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,995 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,995 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $69,995 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,995 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,995 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,995 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,995 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,995 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,995 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,995 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,995 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,995 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,995 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,995 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-19$89,995 Active
-
2008-01-17soldstatus $20,000
-
2003-09-17soldstatus $15,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $557 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $824 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$268/yr (+$22/mo · 48.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,472
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$557
- − Insurance
- −$1,016
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,318
- − Management
- −$1,318
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $6,306
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,513
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,521/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Trimble Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904592
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,745
- Composite
- 23.89/100
- National rank
- #7795
- State rank
- #589 of 656 in OH
Livability — Glouster
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #804
- US rank
- #14789
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glouster, OH
- County
- Athens · 60,466 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,287
- Household income
- $57,034
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5.2
Population outlook (Athens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,867 people
- By 2030
- 73,556 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 74,528 · +3.7%
- By 2050
- 74,947 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 77,996 · +8.5%
- By 2100
- 81,619 · +13.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Athens
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 54.9% · R 44.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.5pp toward R · 2008: 35.3pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+15.0 2016: D+16.9 2012: D+35.0 2008: D+35.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.80%
- Current HPI
- 239.26
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+480.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $89,995 CBRMLS
- 2008-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2003-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $15,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-9.6%/yrLatest (2025): $557 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…