2151 S Imboden Pl · Decatur, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo on a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac. Vaulted ceilings and skylights brighten the main level, with comfortable living and dining spaces and a functional kitchen where all appliances stay. Neutral finishes throughout make this home move-in ready. The primary suite includes a full bath, walk-in closet, and separate vanity area. Relax in the enclosed 3-season porch, and enjoy the convenience of an attached garage. The full walkout basement with sliding doors to a small concrete pad offers excellent unfinished space—ideal for storage, hobbies, or future living area. Easy, low-maintenance living with flexibility to grow.
Key facts
- $200 HOA
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1996
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $270 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Decatur SD 61 (urban): math 3% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #605 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.01%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,075
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -9.38%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 E Imboden Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,310 (-2%) | 4mo | $133,000 | $102 | 80 |
| 23 La Salle Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (+1%) | 6mo | $129,900 | $96 | 76 |
| 275 Wayside Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,303 (-2%) | 2mo | $91,500 | $70 | 75 |
| 2 4th Dr | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 1,376 (+3%) | 2mo | $94,000 | $68 | 71 |
| 27 2nd South Shores Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,403 (+5%) | 3mo | $115,350 | $82 | 68 |
| 2170 Franklin Street Rd | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,188 (-11%) | 4mo | $88,000 | $74 | 68 |
| 14 E Carroll Dr | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 1,517 (+14%) | 2mo | $115,825 | $76 | 64 |
| 2649 Pheasant Run | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,354 (+1%) | 3mo | $169,900 | $125 | 60 |
| 52 Glenview Ct | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+8%) | 3mo | $114,500 | $80 | 59 |
| 2703 Brookville Pl | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-7%) | 1mo | $197,000 | $158 | 51 |
| 112 Ridgeway Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,372 (+3%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $95 | 51 |
| 102 Phillips Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,444 (+8%) | 7mo | $132,500 | $92 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-9,367
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $14,720
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62521
- Home prices YoY
- -9.0%
- Active inventory
- 193
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,099 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$254 /mo · $3,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$200
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$441
- Net cashflow
- $270
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $363 | -5% $317 | +0% $270 | +5% $223 | +10% $176 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $104 | -5% $187 | +0% $270 | +5% $353 | +10% $436 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $353 | -0.5pp $312 | base $270 | +0.5pp $227 | +1.0pp $184 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2150 S Imboden Pl Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $2,775 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 803 E Whitmer St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $935 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 759 E Lawrence St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $695 | $0.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $200 · $2,400/yr
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-16status $165,000 Pending 139 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-04-18historical Active Under Contract 662-char remark
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
Well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo on a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac. Vaulted ceilings and skylights brighten the main level, with comfortable living and dining spaces and a functional kitchen where all appliances stay. Neutral finishes throughout make this home move-in ready. The primary suite includes a full bath, walk-in closet, and separate vanity area. Relax in the enclosed 3-season porch, and enjoy the convenience of an attached garage. The full walkout basement with sliding doors to a small concrete pad offers excellent unfinished space—ideal for storage, hobbies, or future living area. Easy, low-maintenance living with flexibility to grow.
-
2026-03-13price $165,000 662-char remark
Show marketing remark (454 chars)
Back on the market at no fault of the seller! Wonderful opportunity in a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac! This 2 bed / 2 bath condo features a comfortable main-level layout with sunroom, dining space, and attached garage. The full walkout basement is a standout — nearly endless potential for finishing, recreation, storage, or workshop space. Enjoy low-maintenance living with room to grow and customize to your style! Carpets have been recently cleaned
-
2026-03-13price $165,000 454-char remark
Show marketing remark (454 chars)
Back on the market at no fault of the seller! Wonderful opportunity in a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac! This 2 bed / 2 bath condo features a comfortable main-level layout with sunroom, dining space, and attached garage. The full walkout basement is a standout — nearly endless potential for finishing, recreation, storage, or workshop space. Enjoy low-maintenance living with room to grow and customize to your style! Carpets have been recently cleaned
-
2026-02-13status Active 454-char remark
Show marketing remark (454 chars)
Back on the market at no fault of the seller! Wonderful opportunity in a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac! This 2 bed / 2 bath condo features a comfortable main-level layout with sunroom, dining space, and attached garage. The full walkout basement is a standout — nearly endless potential for finishing, recreation, storage, or workshop space. Enjoy low-maintenance living with room to grow and customize to your style! Carpets have been recently cleaned
-
2026-02-12$170,000 Active 662-char remark
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
Well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo on a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac. Vaulted ceilings and skylights brighten the main level, with comfortable living and dining spaces and a functional kitchen where all appliances stay. Neutral finishes throughout make this home move-in ready. The primary suite includes a full bath, walk-in closet, and separate vanity area. Relax in the enclosed 3-season porch, and enjoy the convenience of an attached garage. The full walkout basement with sliding doors to a small concrete pad offers excellent unfinished space—ideal for storage, hobbies, or future living area. Easy, low-maintenance living with flexibility to grow.
-
2026-01-22status Pending 454-char remark
Show marketing remark (454 chars)
Back on the market at no fault of the seller! Wonderful opportunity in a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac! This 2 bed / 2 bath condo features a comfortable main-level layout with sunroom, dining space, and attached garage. The full walkout basement is a standout — nearly endless potential for finishing, recreation, storage, or workshop space. Enjoy low-maintenance living with room to grow and customize to your style! Carpets have been recently cleaned
-
2026-01-05$170,000 Active 454-char remark
Show marketing remark (454 chars)
Back on the market at no fault of the seller! Wonderful opportunity in a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac! This 2 bed / 2 bath condo features a comfortable main-level layout with sunroom, dining space, and attached garage. The full walkout basement is a standout — nearly endless potential for finishing, recreation, storage, or workshop space. Enjoy low-maintenance living with room to grow and customize to your style! Carpets have been recently cleaned
-
2026-01-01historical $170,000 454-char remark
Show marketing remark (454 chars)
Back on the market at no fault of the seller! Wonderful opportunity in a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac! This 2 bed / 2 bath condo features a comfortable main-level layout with sunroom, dining space, and attached garage. The full walkout basement is a standout — nearly endless potential for finishing, recreation, storage, or workshop space. Enjoy low-maintenance living with room to grow and customize to your style! Carpets have been recently cleaned
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,048 · $254/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,397 · $283/mo
- Expected delta
- +$349/yr (+$29/mo · 11.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,182
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$3,048
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,015
- − Management
- −$2,015
- − HOA
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $838
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$201
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,037/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Decatur SD 61
- NCES district ID
- 1711850
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,864
- Composite
- 3.99/100
- National rank
- #10059
- State rank
- #605 of 620 in IL
Livability — Decatur
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1076
- US rank
- #20533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Decatur, IL
- County
- Macon County · 78,333 people
- City population
- 78,333
- Metro
- Decatur, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,665
- Household income
- $66,337
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 640.0
Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,568 people
- By 2030
- 94,973 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 85,250 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 75,920 · -23.8%
- By 2075
- 55,962 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 36,468 · -63.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 17% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Macon
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.96%
- Current HPI
- 180.9274
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Decatur, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-2.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Contingent — CIBR
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $165,000 CIBR
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $165,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-13 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-12 Listed $170,000 CIBR
- 2026-01-22 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Listed $170,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-01 Coming Soon $170,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2024): $3,048 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…