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2151 S Imboden Pl
C Composite 57.14
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

2151 S Imboden Pl · Decatur, IL 62521
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,336 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 139 Days on market
Built 1996 $124/sqft · 9% below area Est $182k · 9% under $200/mo HOA · 10% of rent ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo on a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac. Vaulted ceilings and skylights brighten the main level, with comfortable living and dining spaces and a functional kitchen where all appliances stay. Neutral finishes throughout make this home move-in ready. The primary suite includes a full bath, walk-in closet, and separate vanity area. Relax in the enclosed 3-season porch, and enjoy the convenience of an attached garage. The full walkout basement with sliding doors to a small concrete pad offers excellent unfinished space—ideal for storage, hobbies, or future living area. Easy, low-maintenance living with flexibility to grow.

Key facts

  • $200 HOA
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1996

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $270 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Decatur SD 61 (urban): math 3% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #605 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $145,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
8.26%
Cash-on-cash
7.01%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$182,075
List price
$165,000
Delta
-9.38%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18 E Imboden Dr 0.16mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,310 (-2%) 4mo $133,000 $102 80
23 La Salle Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,350 (+1%) 6mo $129,900 $96 76
275 Wayside Ave 0.21mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,303 (-2%) 2mo $91,500 $70 75
2 4th Dr 0.38mi 2/1.0 1,376 (+3%) 2mo $94,000 $68 71
27 2nd South Shores Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,403 (+5%) 3mo $115,350 $82 68
2170 Franklin Street Rd 0.07mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,188 (-11%) 4mo $88,000 $74 68
14 E Carroll Dr 0.16mi 2/1.0 1,517 (+14%) 2mo $115,825 $76 64
2649 Pheasant Run 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,354 (+1%) 3mo $169,900 $125 60
52 Glenview Ct 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+8%) 3mo $114,500 $80 59
2703 Brookville Pl 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-7%) 1mo $197,000 $158 51
112 Ridgeway Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,372 (+3%) 6mo $130,000 $95 51
102 Phillips Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,444 (+8%) 7mo $132,500 $92 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-9,367
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$14,720
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62521

Home prices YoY
-9.0%
Active inventory
193
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,099 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$254 /mo · $3,048/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$200
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$441
Net cashflow
$270

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,757
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $363 -5% $317 +0% $270 +5% $223 +10% $176
Rent -10% $104 -5% $187 +0% $270 +5% $353 +10% $436
Rate -1.0pp $353 -0.5pp $312 base $270 +0.5pp $227 +1.0pp $184

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2150 S Imboden Pl Decatur, IL 2.0 2.0 1334 $2,775 $2.08 44d 1 0.03mi
803 E Whitmer St Decatur, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $935 $1.04 44d 1 1.41mi
759 E Lawrence St Decatur, IL 3.0 1.0 1080 $695 $0.64 44d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$200 · $2,400/yr

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $165,000 Pending 139 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 139 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 137 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 136 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 134 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 133 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 132 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 131 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $165,000 Active 128 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 126 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 125 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 124 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $165,000 Active 123 DOM
  14. 2026-04-18
    historical Active Under Contract 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    Well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo on a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac. Vaulted ceilings and skylights brighten the main level, with comfortable living and dining spaces and a functional kitchen where all appliances stay. Neutral finishes throughout make this home move-in ready. The primary suite includes a full bath, walk-in closet, and separate vanity area. Relax in the enclosed 3-season porch, and enjoy the convenience of an attached garage. The full walkout basement with sliding doors to a small concrete pad offers excellent unfinished space—ideal for storage, hobbies, or future living area. Easy, low-maintenance living with flexibility to grow.

  15. 2026-03-13
    price $165,000 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Back on the market at no fault of the seller! Wonderful opportunity in a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac! This 2 bed / 2 bath condo features a comfortable main-level layout with sunroom, dining space, and attached garage. The full walkout basement is a standout — nearly endless potential for finishing, recreation, storage, or workshop space. Enjoy low-maintenance living with room to grow and customize to your style! Carpets have been recently cleaned

  16. 2026-03-13
    price $165,000 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Back on the market at no fault of the seller! Wonderful opportunity in a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac! This 2 bed / 2 bath condo features a comfortable main-level layout with sunroom, dining space, and attached garage. The full walkout basement is a standout — nearly endless potential for finishing, recreation, storage, or workshop space. Enjoy low-maintenance living with room to grow and customize to your style! Carpets have been recently cleaned

  17. 2026-02-13
    status Active 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Back on the market at no fault of the seller! Wonderful opportunity in a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac! This 2 bed / 2 bath condo features a comfortable main-level layout with sunroom, dining space, and attached garage. The full walkout basement is a standout — nearly endless potential for finishing, recreation, storage, or workshop space. Enjoy low-maintenance living with room to grow and customize to your style! Carpets have been recently cleaned

  18. 2026-02-12
    listed $170,000 Active 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    Well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo on a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac. Vaulted ceilings and skylights brighten the main level, with comfortable living and dining spaces and a functional kitchen where all appliances stay. Neutral finishes throughout make this home move-in ready. The primary suite includes a full bath, walk-in closet, and separate vanity area. Relax in the enclosed 3-season porch, and enjoy the convenience of an attached garage. The full walkout basement with sliding doors to a small concrete pad offers excellent unfinished space—ideal for storage, hobbies, or future living area. Easy, low-maintenance living with flexibility to grow.

  19. 2026-01-22
    status Pending 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Back on the market at no fault of the seller! Wonderful opportunity in a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac! This 2 bed / 2 bath condo features a comfortable main-level layout with sunroom, dining space, and attached garage. The full walkout basement is a standout — nearly endless potential for finishing, recreation, storage, or workshop space. Enjoy low-maintenance living with room to grow and customize to your style! Carpets have been recently cleaned

  20. 2026-01-05
    listed $170,000 Active 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Back on the market at no fault of the seller! Wonderful opportunity in a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac! This 2 bed / 2 bath condo features a comfortable main-level layout with sunroom, dining space, and attached garage. The full walkout basement is a standout — nearly endless potential for finishing, recreation, storage, or workshop space. Enjoy low-maintenance living with room to grow and customize to your style! Carpets have been recently cleaned

  21. 2026-01-01
    historical $170,000 454-char remark
    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Back on the market at no fault of the seller! Wonderful opportunity in a quiet Decatur cul-de-sac! This 2 bed / 2 bath condo features a comfortable main-level layout with sunroom, dining space, and attached garage. The full walkout basement is a standout — nearly endless potential for finishing, recreation, storage, or workshop space. Enjoy low-maintenance living with room to grow and customize to your style! Carpets have been recently cleaned

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,048 · $254/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,397 · $283/mo
Expected delta
+$349/yr (+$29/mo · 11.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,182
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$3,048
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,015
− Management
−$2,015
− HOA
−$2,400
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable income
$838
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$201
After-tax cash flow
$3,037/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Decatur SD 61
NCES district ID
1711850
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,864
Composite
3.99/100
National rank
#10059
State rank
#605 of 620 in IL

Livability — Decatur

Score
59/100
State rank
#1076
US rank
#20533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Decatur, IL
County
Macon County · 78,333 people
City population
78,333
Metro
Decatur, IL
Population (ZIP)
32,665
Household income
$66,337
Rent vs Own
25.5% rent · 74.5% own
Severe rent burden
640.0

Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,568 people
By 2030
94,973 · -4.6%
By 2040
85,250 · -14.4%
By 2050
75,920 · -23.8%
By 2075
55,962 · -43.8%
By 2100
36,468 · -63.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 17% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Macon

2024 margin
R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.96%
Current HPI
180.9274
Rent YoY
Metro
Decatur, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-18 Contingent CIBR
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $165,000 CIBR
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $165,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-13 Relisted RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $170,000 CIBR
  • 2026-01-22 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $170,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-01 Coming Soon $170,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,048 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…