386 Bullard Rd · Roseboro, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTORS WELCOME! 3 Bed/1 Bath on over an acre lot in the country! Sits off the road on a private lot. Nice spacious lot with plenty of room for gardening or farm animals! No restrictions! Cash only selling AS-IS. Waiting to be brought back to life. Bring an offer!
Key facts
- Private lot
- Acre lot
- Room for gardening
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: - Directions: Heading down Bullard Road from HWY 242, house is on the right down a path; - County: Sampson; - Postal code: 28318
- Financial info: - Annual tax amount provided (not included per instructions)
- HOA & community: - No association
Exterior
- Parking: - No parking details provided
- Security: - No security features provided
- Utilities: - Well water; - Septic sewer
- Home design: - Site-built single-story home
- Construction: - Wood siding; - Site built construction; - One level
- Exterior features: - Metal roof; - Approximately 1.14-acre lot; - Publicly maintained road access
Interior
- Kitchen: - No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: - Three bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: - No flooring specified
- Bathrooms: - One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: - Heating: see remarks (details not provided); - No cooling
- Interior features: - No specified interior finishes
- Laundry & utility: - No laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $879 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 7.6% in Roseboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#445 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Sampson County Schools (rural): math 40% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #114 of 178 in NC (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Roseboro-Salemburg Middle (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #360 of 475 statewide, top 77%, 406 students, 99% FRL); Lakewood High (math 72% / reading 42%, grade C, #248 of 535 statewide, top 48%, 479 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 74% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 189 units permitted in Sampson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
- Sampson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $70k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.82%
- DSCR
- 3.39
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.21% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 57.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.14×
- Total profit
- $61,521
- Equity at exit
- $28,402
- IRR
- 58.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.36×
- Total profit
- $144,244
- Equity at exit
- $41,516
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28318
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,646 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $298/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $879
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $70,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $70,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $70,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $70,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-15$75,000 Active
-
2013-05-20soldstatus $17,500
-
2013-01-17$22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $298 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $574 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$276/yr (+$23/mo · 92.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,749
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$298
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,580
- − Management
- −$1,580
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $9,984
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,396
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,153/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sampson County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704140
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,391
- Composite
- 33.71/100
- National rank
- #5379
- State rank
- #114 of 178 in NC
Livability — Roseboro
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #445
- US rank
- #16397
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,303
Population outlook (Sampson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,499 people
- By 2030
- 62,970 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 61,609 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 60,462 · -4.8%
- By 2075
- 60,108 · -5.3%
- By 2100
- 62,120 · -2.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 2% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Korean 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sampson
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.8) · D 34.8% · R 64.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.3pp toward R · 2008: -8.4pp · 2024: -29.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.8 2020: R+22.5 2016: R+16.7 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.21%
- Current HPI
- 263.6889
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+240.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $75,000 TMLS
- 2013-05-20 Sold (MLS) $17,500 Hive MLS
- 2013-01-17 Listed $22,000 Hive MLS
Property tax history
-5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $298 · -44.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…