8896 Briarwood · Oshtemo, MI 49009

$46,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured · 30 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.1/10.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +1.3/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

3 bed 2 bath home new carpet, fresh paint, central heat & Air conditioning.

Key facts

• Built 2026
• Listed 30 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $46k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $961 ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $46k).
• Recommended offer: $45k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Mattawan Consolidated School (suburban): math 51% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #50 of 540 in MI (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Mattawan Later Elem School (math 60% / reading 62%, grade B, #190 of 1,397 statewide, top 14%, 782 students, 27% FRL); Mattawan Middle School (math 45% / reading 59%, grade C+, #95 of 493 statewide, top 20%, 817 students, 28% FRL); Mattawan High School (math 45% / reading 73%, grade C+, #87 of 713 statewide, top 12%, 1,171 students, 19% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.0%/yr); 382 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 339 units permitted in Kalamazoo County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $318 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Kalamazoo County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $45,310 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.52% ✓
• Cap rate: 31.36%
• Cash-on-cash: 89.53%
• DSCR: 4.98
• GRM: 2.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 86.8%
• Equity multiple: 4.81×
• Total profit: $49,029
• Equity at exit: $6,859

10-year hold

• IRR: 89.2%
• Equity multiple: 9.02×
• Total profit: $103,267
• Equity at exit: $3,977

Cash invested: $12,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 49009

• Rents YoY: -5.0%
• Active inventory: 382
• Price-to-rent: 2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,619 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$241
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$58 /mo · $690/yr
• Insurance: −$19
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$340
• Net cashflow: $961

Break-even live

Break-even rent $402

Max offer price $46,000

Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $993	-5% $977	+0% $961	+5% $945	+10% $929
Rent	-10% $833	-5% $897	+0% $961	+5% $1,025	+10% $1,089
Rate	-1.0pp $984	-0.5pp $973	base $961	+0.5pp $949	+1.0pp $937

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $11,500
• Closing costs: $1,380
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4797 S 4th St Kalamazoo, MI	2.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1064	$1,669	$1.57	15d	1	0.18mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-05-30
   days on market $46,000 Active 30 DOM
2. 2026-05-12
   price $46,000 81-char remark

   Show marketing remark (81 chars)

   3 bed 2 bath home new carpet, fresh paint, central heat & Air conditioning.

3. 2026-05-08
   status Active 81-char remark

   Show marketing remark (81 chars)

   3 bed 2 bath home new carpet, fresh paint, central heat & Air conditioning.

4. 2026-04-10
   historical 81-char remark

   Show marketing remark (81 chars)

   3 bed 2 bath home new carpet, fresh paint, central heat & Air conditioning.

5. 2026-04-02
   listed $45,000 Active 81-char remark

   Show marketing remark (81 chars)

   3 bed 2 bath home new carpet, fresh paint, central heat & Air conditioning.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,425
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,577
• − Property taxes: −$690
• − Insurance: −$230
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,554
• − Management: −$1,554
• − Depreciation: −$1,338
• Taxable income: $11,482
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,756
• After-tax cash flow: $8,775/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is in good condition with recent updates, making it move-in ready for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value.
• Both Replace carpet — Fresh carpet improves comfort and aesthetics.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value. ↑
• Both Replace carpet — Fresh carpet improves comfort and aesthetics. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mattawan Consolidated School
• NCES district ID: 2623250
• Math proficiency: 51% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 62% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $76,525
• Composite: 50.67/100
• National rank: #1825
• State rank: #50 of 540 in MI

Livability — Oshtemo

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Kalamazoo County · 224,317 people
• Metro: Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
• Population (ZIP): 47,971
• Household income: $80,930
• Rent vs Own: 35.6% rent · 64.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1579.0

Population outlook (Kalamazoo County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 280,982 people
• By 2030: 292,068 · +3.9%
• By 2040: 312,191 · +11.1%
• By 2050: 331,196 · +17.9%
• By 2075: 379,021 · +34.9%
• By 2100: 396,579 · +41.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 9% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Kalamazoo

• 2024 margin: D (+17.7) · D 58.0% · R 40.3% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -1.8pp toward R · 2008: 19.5pp · 2024: 17.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+17.7 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+13.3 2008: D+19.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -207.34%
• Current HPI: 209.5649
• Rent YoY: ▼ -4.96%
• Metro: Kalamazoo-Portage, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

+2.2% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-12 Price Changed $46,000 Zillow
• 2026-05-08 Relisted — Zillow
• 2026-04-10 Delisted — Zillow
• 2026-04-02 Listed $45,000 Zillow