CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
38 Bellhaven Way
C- Composite 50.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$489,000

38 Bellhaven Way · Hilton Head Island, SC 29928
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,351 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1997 4,356 sqft lot $362/sqft · 484% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Single famіly hοme, сіrcle cul‐dе-sac, on oversized сοrner lot. Perfect mid-island location. Walk and bike to Shelter Cove Community Park and Mall, Marina, The Arts Center, and many restaurants. New stainless steel appliances, refrigerator, dishwasher, garbage disposal, stove, microwave, hot water heater, washer & dryer. Recently replaced roof and HVAC. LVT wood floors, tiled kitchen, carpets, master on main floor. Large covered front porch and rear balcony. . Expansive two car garage with workshop room, storage room. Generous lot with fenced yard and plenty of paved parking. No monthly regime fees. Community Pool and Pavilion. Recently resurfaced tennis court. Only tw

Key facts

  • Oversized corner lot
  • Mid-island location
  • 4,356 sq ft lot

Tags

OVERSIZED CORNER LOTMID-ISLAND LOCATIONNEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESRECENTLY REPLACED ROOFRECENTLY REPLACED HVACLARGE COVERED FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community pool; Clubhouse; Barbecue area; Tennis courts

Exterior

  • Parking: Oversized two-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: 2 stories; Faces northwest; Detached property
  • Construction: Built with block, stucco, and wood siding; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Rear porch; Deck; Patio; Porch; Paved driveway; Fence (privacy, yard fenced); Sprinkler / irrigation; Exterior storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Self-cleaning oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Main level primary bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Luxury vinyl plank; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, heat pump); Central cooling (electric, heat pump)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Smooth ceilings; Window treatments; Workshop / storage space
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $489k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $405k (17.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $405k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#157 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Beaufort 01 (town): math 42% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #17 of 80 in SC (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hilton Head Island Elementary (math 50% / reading 49%, grade D, #168 of 597 statewide, top 31%, 709 students, 56% FRL); Hilton Head Island Middle (math 33% / reading 42%, grade F, #90 of 229 statewide, top 42%, 856 students, 52% FRL); Hilton Head Island High (math 70% / reading 82%, grade A-, #34 of 196 statewide, top 17%, 1,345 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 846 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,824 units permitted in Beaufort County in 2024 (618 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
  • Beaufort County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $137k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $364k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $404,811 (17.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.73%
Cash-on-cash
1.56%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$83,668
List price
$489,000
Delta
484.45%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
35 Cobblestone Ct 0.18mi 3/2.5 1,444 (+7%) 5mo $457,500 $317 74
1 Bellhaven Way 0.04mi 3/3.5 1,471 (+9%) 15mo $510,000 $347 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.21% appreciation · 3.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.53×
Total profit
$72,202
Equity at exit
$225,609
10-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$241,735
Equity at exit
$352,214

Cash invested: $136,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29928

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
846
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,048 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,564
Tax from tax record
$252 /mo · $3,026/yr
Insurance
$204
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$850
Net cashflow
$111

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,907
Max offer price $489,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $388 -5% $250 +0% $111 +5% $-27 +10% $-166
Rent -10% $-209 -5% $-49 +0% $111 +5% $271 +10% $431
Rate -1.0pp $358 -0.5pp $236 base $111 +0.5pp $-15 +1.0pp $-144

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$122,250
Closing costs
$14,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
35 Bellhaven Way Hilton Head Island, SC 3.0 2.0 1700 $3,500 $2.06 15d 1 0.05mi
2 Jib Sail Ct Hilton Head Island, SC 3.0 2.5 1508 $3,600 $2.39 45d 1 0.14mi
10 Cobblestone Ct Hilton Head Island, SC 3.0 2.5 1600 $3,600 $2.25 45d 1 0.22mi
47 Shelter Cove Ln Hilton Head Island, SC 2.0 2.0 1564 $4,563 $2.92 15d 18 1.08mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    listed $489,000 Active 743-char remark
  2. 2021-01-08
    soldstatus $363,900
  3. 2018-07-27
    listed $330,000
  4. 2016-07-19
    listed $324,900
  5. 2009-04-21
    listed $349,000
  6. 2007-12-17
    soldstatus $285,000
  7. 2007-12-14
    soldstatus $285,000
  8. 2007-04-12
    listed $299,000
  9. 1997-07-11
    soldstatus $149,900
  10. 1996-12-02
    soldstatus $33,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,026 · $252/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,026 · $252/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$48,577
− Mortgage interest
−$27,392
− Property taxes
−$3,026
− Insurance
−$3,242
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,886
− Management
−$3,886
− Depreciation
−$14,225
Taxable loss
−$7,081
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,699
After-tax cash flow
$3,034/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beaufort 01
NCES district ID
4501110
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$57,430
Composite
40.56/100
National rank
#3699
State rank
#17 of 80 in SC

Livability — Hilton Head Island

Score
64/100
State rank
#157
US rank
#14648

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A- Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hilton Head Island, SC
County
Beaufort County · 163,770 people
City population
40,243
Metro
Hilton Head Island-Bluffton, SC
Population (ZIP)
15,785
Household income
$97,576
Rent vs Own
16.7% rent · 83.3% own
Severe rent burden
216.0

Population outlook (Beaufort County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
211,915 people
By 2030
227,272 · +7.2%
By 2040
253,861 · +19.8%
By 2050
275,126 · +29.8%
By 2075
311,022 · +46.8%
By 2100
321,286 · +51.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 2% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Beaufort

2024 margin
R (+14.5) · D 42.1% · R 56.6% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-3.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -14.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.5 2020: R+10.0 2016: R+14.3 2012: R+17.5 2008: R+10.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.21%
Current HPI
243.4136
Rent YoY
▲ 3.23%
Metro
Hilton Head Island-Bluffton, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1342.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending RSMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $489,000 RSMLS
  • 2021-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $363,900 Public Records
  • 2018-07-27 Listed $330,000 RSMLS
  • 2016-07-19 Listed $324,900 RSMLS
  • 2009-04-21 Listed $349,000 RSMLS
  • 2007-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $285,000 Public Records
  • 2007-12-14 Sold (MLS) $285,000 RSMLS
  • 2007-04-12 Listed $299,000 RSMLS
  • 1997-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $149,900 Public Records
  • 1996-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $33,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,026 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…