38 Bellhaven Way · Hilton Head Island, SC
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$489,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Single famіly hοme, сіrcle cul‐dе-sac, on oversized сοrner lot. Perfect mid-island location. Walk and bike to Shelter Cove Community Park and Mall, Marina, The Arts Center, and many restaurants. New stainless steel appliances, refrigerator, dishwasher, garbage disposal, stove, microwave, hot water heater, washer & dryer. Recently replaced roof and HVAC. LVT wood floors, tiled kitchen, carpets, master on main floor. Large covered front porch and rear balcony. . Expansive two car garage with workshop room, storage room. Generous lot with fenced yard and plenty of paved parking. No monthly regime fees. Community Pool and Pavilion. Recently resurfaced tennis court. Only tw
Key facts
- Oversized corner lot
- Mid-island location
- 4,356 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community pool; Clubhouse; Barbecue area; Tennis courts
Exterior
- Parking: Oversized two-car garage
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: 2 stories; Faces northwest; Detached property
- Construction: Built with block, stucco, and wood siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Balcony; Rear porch; Deck; Patio; Porch; Paved driveway; Fence (privacy, yard fenced); Sprinkler / irrigation; Exterior storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Self-cleaning oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Main level primary bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Luxury vinyl plank; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, heat pump); Central cooling (electric, heat pump)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Smooth ceilings; Window treatments; Workshop / storage space
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $489k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $405k (17.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $405k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#157 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Beaufort 01 (town): math 42% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #17 of 80 in SC (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hilton Head Island Elementary (math 50% / reading 49%, grade D, #168 of 597 statewide, top 31%, 709 students, 56% FRL); Hilton Head Island Middle (math 33% / reading 42%, grade F, #90 of 229 statewide, top 42%, 856 students, 52% FRL); Hilton Head Island High (math 70% / reading 82%, grade A-, #34 of 196 statewide, top 17%, 1,345 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 846 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,824 units permitted in Beaufort County in 2024 (618 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
- Beaufort County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $137k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $364k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.56%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,668
- List price
- $489,000
- Delta
- 484.45%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Cobblestone Ct | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 1,444 (+7%) | 5mo | $457,500 | $317 | 74 |
| 1 Bellhaven Way | 0.04mi | 3/3.5 | 1,471 (+9%) | 15mo | $510,000 | $347 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.21% appreciation · 3.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $72,202
- Equity at exit
- $225,609
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $241,735
- Equity at exit
- $352,214
Cash invested: $136,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29928
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 846
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,048 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,564
- Tax from tax record
- −$252 /mo · $3,026/yr
- Insurance
- −$204
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$850
- Net cashflow
- $111
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $388 | -5% $250 | +0% $111 | +5% $-27 | +10% $-166 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-209 | -5% $-49 | +0% $111 | +5% $271 | +10% $431 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $358 | -0.5pp $236 | base $111 | +0.5pp $-15 | +1.0pp $-144 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $122,250
- Closing costs
- $14,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Bellhaven Way Hilton Head Island, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $3,500 | $2.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2 Jib Sail Ct Hilton Head Island, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1508 | $3,600 | $2.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 10 Cobblestone Ct Hilton Head Island, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $3,600 | $2.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 47 Shelter Cove Ln Hilton Head Island, SC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $4,563 | $2.92 | 15d | 18 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-13$489,000 Active 743-char remark
-
2021-01-08soldstatus $363,900
-
2018-07-27$330,000
-
2016-07-19$324,900
-
2009-04-21$349,000
-
2007-12-17soldstatus $285,000
-
2007-12-14soldstatus $285,000
-
2007-04-12$299,000
-
1997-07-11soldstatus $149,900
-
1996-12-02soldstatus $33,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,026 · $252/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,026 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,577
- − Mortgage interest
- −$27,392
- − Property taxes
- −$3,026
- − Insurance
- −$3,242
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,886
- − Management
- −$3,886
- − Depreciation
- −$14,225
- Taxable loss
- −$7,081
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,699
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,034/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beaufort 01
- NCES district ID
- 4501110
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,430
- Composite
- 40.56/100
- National rank
- #3699
- State rank
- #17 of 80 in SC
Livability — Hilton Head Island
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #157
- US rank
- #14648
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hilton Head Island, SC
- County
- Beaufort County · 163,770 people
- City population
- 40,243
- Metro
- Hilton Head Island-Bluffton, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,785
- Household income
- $97,576
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 216.0
Population outlook (Beaufort County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 211,915 people
- By 2030
- 227,272 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 253,861 · +19.8%
- By 2050
- 275,126 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 311,022 · +46.8%
- By 2100
- 321,286 · +51.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 2% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Beaufort
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.5) · D 42.1% · R 56.6% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -14.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.5 2020: R+10.0 2016: R+14.3 2012: R+17.5 2008: R+10.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- Current HPI
- 243.4136
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.23%
- Metro
- Hilton Head Island-Bluffton, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+1342.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — RSMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $489,000 RSMLS
- 2021-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $363,900 Public Records
- 2018-07-27 Listed $330,000 RSMLS
- 2016-07-19 Listed $324,900 RSMLS
- 2009-04-21 Listed $349,000 RSMLS
- 2007-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $285,000 Public Records
- 2007-12-14 Sold (MLS) $285,000 RSMLS
- 2007-04-12 Listed $299,000 RSMLS
- 1997-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $149,900 Public Records
- 1996-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $33,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,026 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…